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May 17, 2016

BMR Morning Market Musings…

Gold has traded between $1,268 and $1,283 so far today…as of 9:30 am Pacific, bullion is up $5 an ounce at $1,279…Silver is 14 cents higher at $17.26…Copper is flat at $2.12…Crude Oil, hitting a 6-month high today, is up 57 cents at $48.29 while the U.S. Dollar Index has retreated one-fifth of a point to 94.37

U.S. regulatory filings yesterday showed that some influential investors bought into Gold through ETFs in the 1st quarter…billionaire financier George Soros, who once called Gold “the ultimate bubble”, returned to the metal after 3 years with 1.05 million shares in SPDR Gold Trust valued at about $123.5 million…Soros also bought shares in Barrick Gold (ABX, TSX)…

Meanwhile, well-known hedge fund manager John Paulson actually trimmed his Gold holdings…

Hedge funds took a bigger interest in Silver as they increased their bullish bets while increasing their short bets in Gold, according to the latest data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission through trading last Tuesday (May 10)…Silver’s long bet increased almost 6.7% to a new record high from the previous week’s level…the Gold-Silver ratio ended the survey period near 74 which is still well above what analysts say is the historical average at 60Gold’s net positioning decreased for the 1st time in 8 weeks but remained near its historic highs…commercial traders still hold extreme net short positions in both Gold and Silver…

“We’re in a secular bull market in Gold and most people don’t believe it,” stated Frank Holmes, U.S. Global Investors’ CEO and chief investment officer, in an interview with Kitco’s Daniela Cambone…

Below is a Bloomberg chart that shows how Gold ETF buying picked up again recently after bullion touched the $1,300 level…

Gold ETF Holdings

In today’s Morning Musings…

1GoldQuest Mining (GQC, TSX-V) delivers highest-grade surface sample ever recovered from the company’s Tireo belt concessions (what’s also important is where this was adjacent to)…

2.  The huge upside potential in Kootenay Silver (KTN, TSX-V) in a new Silver bull market…

3.  Skeena Resources (SKE, TSX-V) announces 3,000 m summer drill program to target high-grade extensions of past producing Snip mine in the “Heart of Gold” Camp…

4. Updates on GGI and BTR

5 Pure Gold Mining (PGM, TSX-V) hits more high-grade Gold at Madsen Project…

6. New addition to the BMR Top Opportunities List

Plus more…click here to take advantage of our Spring Sizzler Subscription Special in effect for a limited time only, or login with your username and password to view the rest of today’s Morning Musings… 

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Maximizing Your Leverage To Silver And A Company’s Growing Resources

Today we begin a series on Kootenay Silver (KTN, TSX-V), one of the top Silver and Mexico-focused junior exploration companies in the industry featuring known NI-43101 resources (Promontorio and La Cigarra deposits) with strong exploration upside, and new resources in the making at La Negra where a drilling discovery was made in 2014.

If you believe as we do that Silver prices over the next couple of years are going to go “through the roof”, then this company is a must-own stock in your portfolio. KTN also has a highly attractive tradable warrant with an exercise price of 55 cents until 2021 – talk about leverage!  (this warrant is the subject of our first audio segment with company President and CEO Jim McDonald this morning).

To view the rest of this article, click here to take advantage of our Spring Sizzler Subscription Special in effect until June 30 only, or login with your username and password…

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May 16, 2016

BMR Morning Market Musings…

Gold has traded between $1,270 and $1,290 so far today…as of 10:45 am Pacific, bullion is up $1 an ounce at $1,274…Silver has added a nickel to $17.13…Copper is up a penny at $2.12…Crude Oil has surged $1.30 a barrel to $47.51 while the U.S. Dollar Index is down slightly at 94.54

The Great Gold Rush of 2016 is gathering pace…holdings in exchange-traded funds have now surged by a quarter with investors taking advantage of lower prices over the past 2 weeks to enlarge stakes on rising concerns about central bank policy making worldwide…ETF holdings have increased to 1,822.3 metric tons, according to data compiled by Bloomberg, the most since late 2013 after bottoming at a 7-year low in January…importantly, over the past 2 weeks as prices lost 1.6%, ETF’s swelled 63.2 tons, rising every day…

An interesting report from Pinnacle Digest over the weekend.  “While Trump and Clinton remain tight in national polls, being prepared for a potential Donald Trump Presidency is something prudent investors are doing right now. He could transform international trade, the global monetary system and, at the very least, the American economy. These all directly impact your portfolio. Furthermore, President Trump could cause countries to dump treasuries, which will lead to a much weaker U.S. dollar…and that’s exciting for Gold.”

Lunacy In Ontario

The most incompetent and corrupt provincial government in the country, Ontario’s Liberals under Premier Justin Wynne, is about to embark on a massive “climate change” plan beyond anything it has already introduced…this is absolute lunacy and a classic example of how the political left in North America is using “climate change” to advance a Big Government, social engineering agenda (all the more reason it’s so important that Trump captures the White House in November in order to reverse this destructive ideology…while Trump scares some traditional conservatives, he could prove to be one of the most effective anti-left politicians in history)…

The Globe and Mail reported this morning that the Ontario government will spend more than $7 billion over 4 years on a sweeping climate change plan that will affect every aspect of life – from what people drive to how they heat their homes and workplaces – in a bid to slash the province’s carbon footprint (and, of course, “save the planet”)…

Ontario will begin phasing out Natural Gas for heating, provide incentives to retrofit buildings and give rebates to drivers who buy electric vehicle…it will also require that gasoline sold in the province contain less carbon, bring in building code rules requiring all new homes by 2030 to be heated with electricity or geothermal systems, and set a target for 12% of all new vehicle sales to be electric by 2025

Yes, in Ontario, government knows best…it picks the winners and the losers (and screws up just about every time)…

Ontario Liberal governments have repeatedly stumbled from one insane policy to another while impeding the private sector and racking up one of the biggest debts of any jurisdiction in the world…taxpayers are shelving out $1 billion per month just to pay the interest on the Liberal debt…now the Liberals want to convince everyone that these ambitious new plans will actually work and won’t create mass disruption for the province’s automotive and energy sectors while putting Ontario at a competitive disadvantage, especially if Trump and Republicans sweep November’s U.S. elections?…

The 57-page Climate Change Action Plan was debated by Premier Wynne’s cabinet last Wednesday and subsequently obtained by The Globe and Mail…stamped “Cabinet Confidential,” the document lays out a strategy from 2017 to 2021…it contains about 80 different policies, grouped into 32 different “actions”…each action has a price tag attached to it (knowing the Liberals, that price tag is far greater than what they think or are prepared to tell the people)…

Trump Underestimated

More evidence that Donald Trump continues to be underestimated…according to a key group of U.S. business leaders, the Trump train will be permanently derailed come November (we believe the opposite – Establishment Hillary is a seriously flawed candidate and will be crushed)…if you’re a contrarian, though, you have to love these numbers – a staggering 83% of American CFO’s said they believe Clinton will become the next President of the U.S. according to the latest CNBC Global CFO Council survey conducted between April 29 and May 11..the CNBC Global CFO Council represents some of the largest public and private companies in the world, collectively managing nearly $4 trillion in market capitalization across a wide variety of sectors…the U.S. companies on the list have a combined market cap of more than $2 trillion

Oil Update – Goldman Sachs Does A U-Turn

Oil prices are higher today after long-time bear Goldman Sachs said the market had ended almost 2 years of oversupply following global Oil disruptions and flipped to a deficit…supply disruptions from Nigeria, Venezuela, China and North America triggered a U-turn in the Oil outlook of Goldman Sachs, which long warned of overflowing storage and another looming crash in prices…

Oil Drilling

“The Oil market has gone from nearing storage saturation to being in deficit much earlier than we expected,” Goldman said, adding that the market “likely shifted into deficit in May…driven by both sustained strong demand as well as sharply declining production.”

In the Americas, major Oil exporter Venezuela seemed on the brink of meltdown, triggering fears of default by its national Oil company PDVSA which has to make almost $5 billion in bond payments this year…the country’s Oil production has already fallen by at least 188,000 bpd since the start of the year as PDVSA struggles to make the investment needed to keep output steady…

In China, output fell 5.6% to 4.04 million bpd in April, compared with the same time last year…

And in the United States, Crude production has fallen to 8.8 million bpd, 8.4% below 2015 peaks as the sector suffers a wave of bankruptcies…

Countering these disruptions, OPEC pumped 32.44 million bpd in April, up 188,000 bpd from March…this is the highest since at least 2008, according to a Reuters review…

In today’s Morning Musings…

1.  Is Tudor Gold (TUD, TSX-V) eyeing more land (and whose?) in the “Heart of Gold” Camp?…

2.  A multi-million ounce deposit gives this particular undervalued Gold stock much more upside potential…

3.  A fundamental shift in the long-term chart for Silver…

4.  A Venture non-resource stock with momentum on its side…

Plus more…click here to take advantage of our Spring Sizzler Subscription Special in effect for a limited time only, or login with your username and password to view the rest of today’s Morning Musings… 

SAVE 25% with a risk-free subscription (as little as $1 per day) as you gain full access to this and other exclusive BMR content and features including our upcoming new Top Opportunities List

May 15, 2016

Land Grab Accelerates In The Golden Triangle’s “Heart Of Gold” Camp

What a week it was in theHeart of Gold” Camp, capped off by stunning new staking information just obtained by the BMR research team from the B.C. Ministry of Energy & Mines’ web site.

  • Pretium Resources (PVG, TSX) reported its second-best drill intercept ever at its Valley of the Kings deposit – a staggering 37,117 g/t Au (1,309 ounces per tonne) over 0.5 m in hole VU-722 within a broader interval of 16 m grading 1,161 g/t Au (underground infill drilling);
  • Walter Storm, a highly successful entrepreneur who cashed in big on Osisko, completed a strong launch of Tudor Gold (TUD, TSX-V) on the Venture Thursday after announcing Tudor had entered into agreements for the acquisition of a majority interest in 2 key properties including Treaty Creek near Seabridge Gold’s (SEA, TSX) KSM deposits to go along with its Mackie Property (qualifying transaction) near the southern border of Colorado Resources‘ (CXO, TSX-V) KingPin Property;
  • And a prominent British Columbia mineral claims holder suddenly staked 80 sq. km in the district, contiguous to Colorado’s KSP western border and further south near ground held by CXO, Tudor and Teuton Resources (TUO, TSX-V).

What’s in store this week for an area where juniors are attracting rapidly increasing interest from investors as demonstrated by surging share prices, while larger companies are checking out the landscape?

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May 14, 2016

The Week In Review And A Look Ahead

TSX Venture Exchange and Gold

The underlying strength of the Venture was clearly on display last week as the Index rebounded sharply after a 12-point loss on Monday with a 22-point gain Tuesday through Friday to finish at 680 despite a continuing rally in the U.S. dollar.

More winning strategies and a look at 3 telling Venture “signs” in today’s Week In Review And A Look Ahead. 

Click here to read the rest of today’s report with more winning trading strategies while taking advantage of our Spring Sizzler Subscription Special, or login with your username and password.

May 13, 2016

BMR Morning Market Musings…

Gold has traded between $1,262 and $1,277 so far today…as of 10:00 am Pacific, bullion is up $8 an ounce at $1,271…Silver has gained 11 cents to $17.06…Copper is up a penny at $2.11…Crude Oil is off 54 cents at $46.16 while the U.S. Dollar Index has rallied half a point to 94.72

Reflecting sustained optimism toward bullion, holdings of SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest Gold-backed exchange-traded fund, stood at 27.17 million ounces yesterday, the highest since November 2013

Technical analysts at ScotiaMocatta said their view on Gold is neutral so long as it trades between the $1,303 resistance level and the $1,256 support…

In a research report today, commodity strategists at RBC Capital Markets noted that Gold’s 2016 upswing has been mainly driven by investors, while other sources of demand haven’t followed through.  “In fact, investment demand seems to be the only leg driving this one-legged rally. For us to turn positive, we would need to see this strength replicated elsewhere,” they said.  “Investor sentiment has turned amid a flight to safety, but that seems to be the only sentiment that has in fact shifted.”

Our take on Gold is that the tectonic shifts we’ve seen in this market from a technical standpoint over the last several months, confirmed by the behavior of the Venture and Gold stocks in general, strongly suggests the metal is now in the early stages of a major new bull cycle that will ultimately take prices much higher in U.S. dollar terms over the next couple of years…

Oil Update

Top Crude producer Russia has poured some cold water on the notion that recent drops in production in the Americas, Asia and Africa had wiped out a global production and storage overhang that helped pull down Oil prices by over 70% between 2014 and early 2016…Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak told reporters yesterday that the global Oil surplus stood at 1.5 million bpd and that the market might not balance out until the first half of 2017

In Alberta, Crude production outages from the Oilsands following forced closures due to the Fort McMurray wildfire still stood at over 1 million bpd as of mid-week, although operators said they were gradually ramping up output…there has been no facility damage but U.S. investment bank Jeffries cautioned, “We believe (assuming no pipeline damages) it will take weeks to ramp production.”

Oil Drilling

Meanwhile, U.S. Crude production has fallen 4.7% from a 2016 peak in January to 8.8 million barrels per day (bpd), according to U.S. Energy Information data, and output is down 8.4% from its 2015 high…

In today’s Morning Musings…

1.  New addition to the BMR Top 50 Opportunities List

2.  Goldstrike Project in Utah could be big winner for Pilot Gold (PLG, TSX)…

3.  Another ramp-up in the works (imminently) for the “Heart of Gold” Camp…

Plus more…click here to take advantage of our Spring Sizzler Subscription Special in effect for a limited time only, or login with your username and password to view the rest of today’s Morning Musings… 

SAVE 25% with a risk-free subscription (as little as $1 per day) as you gain full access to this and other exclusive BMR content and features including our upcoming new Top Opportunities List

May 12, 2016

BMR Morning Market Musings…

Gold has traded between $1,264 and $1,281 so far today…as of 9:45 am Pacific, bullion is down $7 an ounce at $1,2679..Silver has retreated 34 cents to $17.06…Copper has slid 4 cents to $2.11…Crude Oil has lost 20 cents to $46.03 while the U.S. Dollar Index has rallied one-quarter of a point to 94.13

Holdings of SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest Gold-backed exchange-traded fund, stood at 27.07 million ounces yesterday, the highest since December 2013

It was the culmination of 5 factors that helped the Gold market enjoy its strongest first quarter on record, according to the World Gold Council (WGC)…in its first quarter Demand Trend Report, released today, the WGC said that Gold demand totaled 1,289 tonnes, an increase of 21% from the first quarter of 2015…the biggest factor behind bullion’s unprecedented performance from January to March was a resurgence of global investment demand, specifically in exchange-traded funds…the report highlighted that ETFs saw inflows of 363.7 tonnes, more than reversing the total outflows seen in 2014 and 2015

The 5 factors that led to the Gold market’s 16% rally in the first 3 months of the year, according to the WGC, are 1) Growing instability in equity markets; 2) Weaker U.S. dollar; 3) Implementation of unorthodox monetary policy (including the introduction of negative interest rates); 4) Return of pent-up demand; and 5) Strong price momentum…

Demand in India, the world’s second-biggest Gold consumer, could rise as much as 10% in 2016 on a good monsoon rainfall, according to the WGC

Gold’s Continued Strength In Canadian Dollars

Gold has been in a new bull market in Canadian dollars since 2004, and the technical turning point came during extreme oversold conditions in the 2nd quarter of 2013 followed by a reversal to the upside in the 200-day moving average (SMA) in early 2014

Note the 3-year upsloping channel and the next Fib. resistance at $1,888…the bullish trend is firmly intact and up momentum, demonstrated by the SS, is increasing…

Gold In Canadian Dollars May 12

Oil Update

The International Energy Agency says global Oil stocks will experience a “dramatic reduction” in the second half of the year on the back of strong demand and falling supply by some major producers…a series of production outages around the globe have also taken barrels out of the market in recent weeks, providing support to prices…still, in its closely watched monthly report the Paris-based agency said that global Oil stocks will continue to increase in the first half of the year as Iran ramps up its production, adding to the nearly 2 years of oversupply that saw prices dropping to decade lows…

Oil Rig

The IEA said that the rise in Iran’s Oil production and exports after the lifting of international sanctions has been “faster than expected”Iran increased daily Oil output by 300,000 barrels in April to 3.56 million barrels a day, a level last achieved in November 2011…that helped to raise the combined output of OPEC last month to 32.76 million barrels a day, the highest since April 2008….production outside the Oil cartel continues to decline, the IEA said, led by a falling output in the U.S….

In today’s Morning Musings…

1.  Part 3 of our interview series with Lithium X Energy (LIX, TSX-V) CEO Brian Paes-Braga…

2. A TSX-listed Cobalt play (emerging producer) with potential to be a market darling…

3. What John’s latest Venture chart is saying…

Plus more…click here to take advantage of our Spring Sizzler Subscription Special in effect for a limited time only, or login with your username and password to view the rest of today’s Morning Musings… 

SAVE 25% with a risk-free subscription (as little as $1 per day) as you gain full access to this and other exclusive BMR content and features including our upcoming new Top Opportunities List

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