Gold has traded between $1,317 and $1,334 so far today to start the first full week following the UK’s bold decision to leave the EU…as of 10:00 am Pacific, bullion is up $6 an ounce at $1,322…Silver has retreated slightly to $17.70…Copper is up 2 cents at $2.13…Crude Oil is down $1.54 a barrel to $46.10 while the U.S. Dollar Index has rallied another full point from Friday to 96.26…the uncertainty created over the UK vote, and the strength in the dollar, has put the kybosh on any Fed plans to hike rates before November’s U.S. elections in our view…
Holdings in SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest Gold-backed exchange-traded fund, jumped 2% to 934.31 tonnes on Friday, the highest since July 2013, as bullion made its biggest single day price jump in more than 7 years…
The UK’s historic vote, as the country reclaims its sovereignty, was a shock to the global establishment and triggered a $4.3 billion surge in holdings in Gold-backed funds on Friday, the most in a single day in 4 years…it adds up to a net inflow of $32 billion this year, pushing the assets to the highest level since the 3rd quarter of 2013 according to data compiled by Bloomberg…
China’s Gold imports via Hong Kong rose nearly 68% in May to the highest since December, data showed this morning…
The strength in Gold since the U.K. voted to leave the EU should also spill over into Silver, according to HSBC…Gold rose to its highest level in more than 2 years Friday while Silver hit an 18-month high. “We think Silver may benefit from ‘leakage’ from heavy Gold demand,” HSBC says. “The jump in prices for Gold coins and small bars may also encourage price conscious buyers to turn to Silver.”
We have updated Silver charts in today’s Morning Musings…
UK Fallout
Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau has come under fire from Nigel Farage, the leader of the UK Independence Party, for being “out of touch” in backing British Prime Minister David Cameron in his bid to keep Britain in the EU…Farage also said that central bank governor Mark Carney, Canada’s former central bank governor, may have to resign for not being impartial during the referendum campaign which saw 52% of Britons vote to leave the EU…
“I’m afraid that the whole international political community rallied to Mr. Cameron and the status quo,” Farage said yesterday, referring to Trudeau, who was one of many world leaders (along with globalist/socialist Obama of course) who supported Britain staying in the EU…
Farage correctly added that Trudeau would have never endorsed Canadians giving up similar powers under NAFTA…
“I mean I’d love the Canadian Prime Minister to tell you guys that you’ve decided to make NAFTA a political union, and that you are going to transfer all Ottawa’s authority to someone else, that you are going to have foreign courts overruling you,” he said. “How long would you last? A day? A week? And yet that’s what the Canadian Prime Minister was effectively recommending to us. I wonder sometimes whether foreign leaders genuinely understand what the European Union is.”
He added that “whatever Trudeau said, the fact is that the United Kingdom now has an opportunity to chart a much freer course in the world.”
Farage also criticized Carney who repeatedly warned that Britain would face serious economic consequences if it left the EU, including a possible recession…Carney has defended his remarks, saying it was his duty as the central bank governor to point out risks to the economy…but Farage and others on the Vote Leave side have said he went too far…
Venture-TSX-Dow-NASDAQ Comparative
It’s always a positive sign for the Venture, and the risk trade in general, when the Index is outperforming the broader markets…in a Venture bull cycle, the chart below is the pattern that one typically sees…and the trend often stays intact for an extended period as it did throughout 2009 and 2010…the Venture bear market began when it started underperforming against the broader indices as well as Gold in the spring of 2011…
Over the last 6 months, the Venture is up 38% vs. a 4% gain in the TSX and slight losses on the Dow and NASDAQ…despite today’s weakness, and any potential of a further minor pullback, the outlook for the Venture over the 2nd half of the year is exceedingly positive…
In today’s Morning Musings…
1. Some major financings announced this morning as +$1,300 Gold creates more believers…
2. Pilot Gold (PLG, TSX-V) is showing grade and volume at Goldstrike in Utah…
3. Another big day for Orex Exploration (OX, TSX-V)…
4. Daniel’s Den – 4 unique exploration plays that may find appeal with Silicon Valley types!…
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