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October 20, 2016

BMR Morning Market Musings…

Gold has traded between $1,264 and $1,275 so far today…as of 10:30 am Pacific, bullion is down $2 an ounce at $1,267…Silver has slid 13 cents to $17.52…Copper is off a penny to $2.10…Crude Oil has retreated $1.10 a barrel to $50.50 after hitting a 15-month high while the U.S. Dollar Index has jumped one-third of a point to 98.20

Industry officials say that India’s overseas purchases of Gold likely hit a 9-month high in October as a flip in domestic prices to a premium prompted banks and refiners to resume imports ahead of the festival season…

Meanwhile, Swiss Gold exports to China hit their highest since January last month, Swiss customs data showed today, though a sharp drop in shipments to Hong Kong meant exports to the two combined were sharply lower than a year earlier. “Significantly more Gold was shipped directly to China,” Commerzbank said in a note.  “What is more, Swiss Gold exports to India climbed to their highest level since January, which points to demand recovering there.”

As expected, the European Central Bank left interest ranges unchanged today and maintained the parameters of its 1.74 trillion euro ($1.95 trillion) asset buying scheme…despite question after question from reporters in a Q&A session following the announcement, ECB President Mario Draghi continued to affirm there had been “no discussion” regarding the question of when the bank’s bond-buying program would be extended or even wound down (it was set up to continue to March 2017)…

BHP Billiton Talks About “Gender” Targets

BHP Billiton (BHP, NYSE) wants women to account for half of its workforce by 2025 as the world’s top miner seeks to change the gender balance in an industry dominated by men…

The company isn’t “as inclusive or diverse as we could be,” CEO Andrew Mackenzie said in a statement today…BHP has a workforce of about 65,000, including contractors, of which 18% are female…based on these numbers, its target would mean an additional 21,000 women employed by the middle of the next decade including both its own staff and contractors, according to Bloomberg calculations…

Debates Over, Election Less Than 3 Weeks Away

Chris Wallace of Fox News put in a star performance as last night’s debate moderator, keeping Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump focused on the substantive issues of the November 8th election, though it boggles the mind that the very last question of the 3 debates was on the U.S. national debt…few people seem to care anymore if governments rack up debt (rising interest rates over time would change the national conversation dramatically), and we also have great examples of that in Canada…

Trump, the consummate anti-politician, generally handled himself well against the tightly scripted and very polished Hillary Clinton last night but nonetheless failed to expand his base…strangely, he also opened a can of worms and gave the mainstream media the headline for the evening when he refused to commit to accepting the outcome of the election – then he actually doubled down on that mistake morning…a win for Clinton is now clearly predicted by the polls and her many allies in the media, and it’s hard to imagine even what the unpredictable Trump can do to alter the dynamics over the next 19 days…elections are like stocks and commodities, and Trump’s momentum has eroded since the first debate when he had his best chance to make a powerful impression with the voters…

If Clinton wins big, which seems increasingly likely, it’s possible she may also take the Senate and the House with her – a scenario that would likely be very Gold-bullish as it was when Obama completed a sweep in 2008 (and Jimmy Carter previously in 1976)…

In the midst of a disgusting campaign, pulled into the gutter by much of the liberal media aiming to distract the voters from the real issues facing America, it’s time for a lighthearted moment (and perhaps a Scotties’ tissue)…

Below is a billboard ad we saw yesterday in Vancouver…

hillary-donald

Gold Short-Term Chart

For momentum purposes, the first key area Gold needs to push into is the $1,270’s which would put the metal above both Fib. resistance ($1,268) and its 200-day moving average (SMA) at $1,265…RSI(14) has emerged out of oversold conditions after strong support held at $1,242

It’s obvious that physical buying has picked up to support prices, and it seems to us that the physical market would prevent Gold from dropping below $1,200 should that key level be tested…there’s also no evidence in the Venture’s behavior that Gold is in any danger of falling through the $1,200 floor, let alone the low $1,240’s support…

That makes this an attractive time to be “picking away” at high quality beaten-down Gold and Silver stocks…

gold-oct-20

In Today’s Morning Musings

1. The ebb and flow of BLO

2. Three opportunities under a nickel – plant the seeds!…

3. The coming Cobalt rush…

Plus more…click here to read the rest of today’s Morning Musings and all BMR exclusive content, through a risk-free Pro, Gold or Basic package, or login with your username and password…

October 19, 2016

BMR Morning Market Musings…

Gold has traded between $1,260 and $1,273 so far today…as of 9:45 am Pacific, bullion is up $8 an ounce at $1,269…Silver is 3 cents higher at $17.62…Copper is flat at $2.11…Crude Oil has surged $1.49 a barrel to $51.78 on a larger than expected Crude draw, while the U.S. Dollar Index is unchanged at 97.89

Holdings in global exchange-traded funds backed by Gold rose to 2,053 metric tons yesterday, the highest since June 2013

Gold prices in India swung to a premium for the first time in 9 months today as jewellers and dealers in the world’s No. 2 consumer of the metal ramped up purchases ahead of major festivals…dealers were charging up to $2 an ounce over official domestic prices, the first time premiums have been seen since mid-January, according to Bachhraj Bamalwa, director at the All India Gems and Jewellery Trade Federation…

Gold will rise to $1,347 an ounce during the next year, according to a poll of attendees after the London Bullion Market Association’s annual conference in Singapore this week…that’s a great sign – they’re not overly bullish…attendees were most excited about Silver which they see climbing to about $21 an ounce in 2017…more than 700 delegates, representing 34 countries, attended the 2016 conference, the LBMA reported…

The Fed releases its Beige Book at 11:00 am Pacific with key officials also speaking today…meanwhile, the German government sold 30-year bonds (bunds) today for an average yield of 0.65%…that’s above the 0.45% fetched in late July…world government bond yields have been on the rise recently as the perception that price inflation is creeping back into the world economic picture…

BHP Billiton (BHP, NYSE) Upbeat On Commodities

BHP Billiton (BHP, NYSE), the world’s largest mining company, sees early signs that commodity markets are rebalancing, with Oil and Natural Gas best placed to deliver gains into 2018

“Fundamentals suggest both Oil and gas markets will improve over the next 12 to 18 months,” CEO Andrew Mackenzie said today in the company’s first-quarter production report. “Iron Ore and metallurgical coal prices have been stronger than expected, although we continue to expect supply to grow more quickly than demand in the near-term.”

BHP joins Rio Tinto Group (RIO, NYSE) in expressing increased optimism on the outlook for commodities amid continued strong demand in China, the top consumer…raw materials will probably see a broad-based recovery in 2017 after an expected strong performance in the final quarter of this year on improving demand, according to Barclays

China Reports Steady Growth

China’s economy grew by 6.7% in the 3rd quarter, year-on-year, which was in line with market expectations…the figure was also the same as Q2…China also reported its retail sales increased by 10.7% in September from a year earlier, also matching estimates…industrial production was up 6.1% in September, year-on-year, which was a miss to the downside…overall, however, the numbers were deemed to be upbeat…

Oil Update

U.S. Crude hit a more than 1-year high today after government data showed that Crude stockpiles declined for 6th time in 7 weeks, as refinery activity fell and the country imported less product…

Meanwhile, China’s Crude output fell 9.8% to 3.89 million barrels per day (bpd), near its lowest in 6 years in the 2nd-biggest year-on-year decline on record…

“The fall in Chinese Crude Oil production is probably attributable to the low price level, which makes parts of production unprofitable. This makes it all the harder to understand why OPEC is talking prices up with its current debate about production cuts, and is thus helping precisely those Oil producers it would ideally like to force out of the market,” Commerzbank observed…

Oil Drilling

Saudi energy minister Khalid al-Falih said today that “he’s happy to see more rigs coming back” and that Oil markets were at the end of a considerable downturn as fundamentals were improving and supply and demand were rebalancing…he called on non-OPEC producers to help stabilize the market, saying their role was as critical as that of OPEC members…

Market forces are clearly working after a testing period of sub-$30 Oil prices…Oil demand is expanding at a healthy rate despite slower global growth,” he said…

The energy minister added that by freezing production or slightly reducing it, OPEC wants to signal to the market that it would like to see lower inventories and more investment…

Saudi Debt Offering

The Saudis are also in the midst of their first foray into the international bond market as the books get set to close on what could be a monster $15-$20 billion deal, so the recent pick-up in Oil prices has been timely…the debt offering is expected to debut this week and is a key part of the kingdom’s economic reform plan as it would give Saudi Arabia a sovereign benchmark that would help it open its capital market for future offerings, such as corporate issues…Saudi officials met with investors in New York yesterday…according to the price talk, the Saudi 5-year note would tentatively come to market with a yield 160 basis points above the U.S. 5-year Treasury note…the 10-year would tentatively be set at 185 bps above the U.S. 10-year, and the 30-year would be 235 bps above the U.S. long bond…

In Today’s Morning Musings

1. A real 450% return on ETF’s – we’ll show you how…

2. Technical strength builds in Venture and TSX Gold Index…

3Cannabix Technologies’ (BLO, CSE) update…

4. Daniel’s Den – update on 4 “major league” optionality plays with resources…

Plus more…click here to read the rest of today’s Morning Musings and all BMR exclusive content, through a risk-free Pro, Gold or Basic package, or login with your username and password…

Venture Alert

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Drilling Follows Up On 210 g/t Gold Over 12.5 Meters

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October 18, 2016

Billionaire Texans Are Buying This Stock (Part 1 Of 2)

At BMR, we remain bullish on a continued recovery in the Oil and gas sector – Go Oil Go! – with Crude prices quite possibly reaching the $70’s sometime next year on the strength of a series of fundamental and technical factors.  Contrary to what the Oil haters want to believe, the world will always need Crude – and more and more of it.

Africa Oil (AOI, TSX), TAG Oil (TAO, TSX) and Bengal Energy (BNG, TSX) are 3 of our favorite Oil plays and each is up significantly just in the past 2 months.

Tonight, another way to make money on The Great Oil Recovery as Daniel reveals an industry-leading technology and service company whose stock provides investors with tremendous leverage to an upswing in the industry.

This company provides engineered Oilfield production enhancement, industrial performance enhancement and environmental protection solutions, and the stock is trading at a 90%+ discount to its 2014 high! 

That’s probably why some astute Texas billionaires just bought $15 million worth of this company’s stock in the open market.

They’re billionaires for a reason.  Follow the money…

Click here to quickly become a BMR member and learn more about how this company can help super-charge your portfolio, or login with your username and password…

BMR Morning Market Musings…

Gold has traded between $1,255 and $1,265 so far today…as of 10:15 am Pacific, bullion is up $7 an ounce at $1,262…Silver is 17 cents higher at $17.61…Copper is flat at $2.11…Crude Oil has edged up 15 cents to $50.09 while the U.S. Dollar Index is flat at 97.76

According to analysts at Comerzbank, Gold’s net length has hit its lowest point in more than 4 months, but it’s the speed at which money managers are shedding their Gold bets that is the biggest surprise for the bank…

“In the last 2 reporting weeks, net long positions were decimated by around 42% or 106,000 – the most pronounced position reduction within the space of 2 weeks since the data series began 10 years ago,” Commerzbank stated…

While “weak” longs are being shaken out of the Gold market, ETF buying of the metal remains impressive…overall Gold holdings in ETFs now stand at 57.433 million ounces which is up more than 2% since the middle of September, despite the recent weakness in bullion and the drop below $1,300 an ounce…

TD Securities‘ analysts on Gold“We still see a place in many portfolios to hold Gold, with expectations of historically low global real yields, debt prospects remaining high, and the potential for some type of risk off move still threatening the equity markets, as the main attractors for maintaining the metals as a hedge,” TDS says. “And from these levels, even more-so if prices tripped down to $1,200/oz, the case for getting long grows, as we still expect that prices are headed toward $1,350/oz in 2017 under the current environment.”

Oil Update

Officials from Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, key players in shaping OPEC policy, said Oil at $50 to $60 (U.S.) a barrel would ensure adequate global supply, setting out a potential price band for the cartel before its meeting in Vienna next month.  “A $50 – $60 Oil price – absent a supply accident – is sufficient to develop the low-cost resources to provide increases that will be necessary over the next 3 to 4 years,” Andrew Gould, board director at state-owned giant Saudi Arabian Oil Co., said yesterday at the annual Oil and Money Conference in London…

Meanwhile, Analysts at Bernstein Energy said that beyond estimating Oil production and consumption, one way to gauge the supply and demand balance is to analyze fuel inventory changes.  “Global Oil inventories (industry and government) increased by 17 million barrels to 5.618 billion barrels in 3Q16. This is the smallest build since 4Q14, confirming that inventory builds are slowing as the market comes back into balance,” it said…

Shanghai Composite Index

Interesting new trend…China’s Shanghai Composite and commodities have been moving higher in tandem this year, breaking the pattern of 2014 and 2015…both are also closing in on breakouts above downtrend lines as you can see in this 2.5-year weekly chart…

Chinese stocks certainly look like they want to start accelerating to the upside (they were very strong overnight), in which case we’ll see if commodities continue to closely track the Shanghai…

ssec-oct-18

In Today’s Morning Musings

1. Cannabix Technologies (BLO, CSE) trades within a penny of new all-time high…

2. Last call for rejuvenated Nova Scotia Gold junior under a nickel?…

3. Callinex Mines (CNX, TSX-V) surges on high-grade VMS hit at Pine Bay…

4. Seabridge Gold (SEA, TSX-V) releases fascinating results on new hole at KSM Project in the Heart of Gold Camp (implications for Eskay Mining, ESK, TSX-V)…

5. A look at massive sulphides from Garibaldi Resources‘ (GGI, TSX-V) E&L Ni-Cu-Au deposit 12 miles southwest of Eskay Creek…

6. Mutliple reasons for owning Orca Gold (ORG, TSX-V)…

Plus more…click here to read the rest of today’s Morning Musings and all BMR exclusive content, through a risk-free Pro, Gold or Basic package, or login with your username and password…

October 17, 2016

BMR Morning Market Musings…

Gold has traded between $1,250 and $1,258 so far today…as of 10:15 am Pacific, bullion is up $5 an ounce at $1,256…Silver is up 4 cents at $17.42…Copper is flat at $2.11…Crude Oil has eased off 48 cents to $49.87 while the U.S. Dollar Index has retreated one-quarter of a point to 97.87

Gold continues to be underpinned by exchange-traded-fund inflows but held back by a muscular U.S. dollar.  “Admittedly, Gold is finding support from moderate but continual ETF inflows; since the beginning of the month, holdings have been increased by 19 tonnes, which is more than in the whole of last month,” Commerzbank stated this morning. “However, Gold is facing headwind on the one hand from the firm U.S. dollar, which appreciated for a time to a 2.5-month high against the euro this morning. On the other hand, rising stock markets and higher bond yields are keeping the Gold price in check.”

Yields on 10-year U.S. Treasuries have climbed to a 4-and-a-half-month high…

Hedge funds and money managers again reduced their net long positions in COMEX Gold and Silver contracts in the week to October 11, U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data showed on Friday (that’s a bullish contrarian sign, hopefully they’ll reduce net longs even more)…meanwhile, holdings of SPDR Gold Trust rose 0.40% Friday to 965.43 tonnes…

U.S. industrial production barely rose in September as a rebound in manufacturing output was offset by a decline in utilities production, suggesting just a moderate acceleration in economic growth in the 3rd quarter…the Federal Reserve said today that industrial output edged up 0.1% last month after a downwardly revised 0.5% decline in August…interestingly, mining production increased 0.4% as gains in Oil and gas drilling offset a drop in Crude Oil extraction…that left mining output rising at a 3.7% rate in Q3 following 6 consecutive quarterly declines…

Indian Households Spend More On Gold Per Month Than Clothing

A favorable monsoon season has given a lift to Gold buying out of India which is bringing some much-needed support to bullion at a time when the metal has temporarily lost technical momentum after the drop below $1,300

Indian households have the largest private Gold holdings in the world at an estimated 23,000 tonnes…that’s worth close to $1 trillion, and the amount surpasses the combined official Gold reserves of the United States, Germany, Italy, France, China and Russia…

Gold makes up a significant portion of Indian households’ regular monthly expenditures – more than clothing, utilities, consumer durables and entertainment and communication, according to a 2013 survey by the Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce & Industry (FICCI)…

indian-gold-buying

Oil Update

Data on Friday from Oil services provider Baker Hughes showed U.S. drillers added 4 more rigs in the week to October 14…that’s the 16th week in a row that Oil drillers have gone without making cuts, indicating more production to come…but the market is fundamentally supported by expectations that OPEC members would take action to support prices at their meeting in Vienna at the end of November…

Oil Drilling

Saudi Arabia is courting investors for what could be a whopping $15 billion-plus bond deal…it’s a massive offering that’s likely to see good demand, and possibly more so if OPEC succeeds in completing a deal that would trim production…unlike the situation in late 2014, the Saudis have every incentive now to help push Oil prices higher…the debt offering comes at a time when the Saudis do need to shore up their finances…the kingdom has been hit hard by the long period of Oil prices and the costly war in Yemen…with about three-quarters of its revenues coming from petroleum, Saudi Arabia has been running high deficts – $100 billion last year alone as Oil prices plummeted 30%…the debt offering will be the kingdom’s first international bond issuance…it should become the clear sovereign benchmark, allowing for broader development of debt capital markets in the country, according to Standard & Poor’s

In Today’s Morning Musings

1. Cannabix Technologies (BLO, CSE) takes off to a new 52-week high…

2. Aggressive accumulation continues in Orex Exploration (OX, TSX-V)…

3. Daniel’s Den – the value in Osisko Gold Royalties (OR, TSX)…

Plus more…click here to read the rest of today’s Morning Musings and all BMR exclusive content, through a risk-free Pro, Gold or Basic package, or login with your username and password…

October 16, 2016

Sunday Sizzler Report…

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