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November 17, 2016

7 @ 7:00

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Check back later this morning for today’s Morning Musings.

1. Fed Chair Janet Yellen, in prepared comments prior to appearing before Congress this morning, made her strongest case to date in favor of near-term policy tightening, saying a rate increase could be “appropriate relatively soon”….the head of the U.S. central bank also cited the dangers of waiting too long, which could result in the Fed having to move too quickly in the future…the Fed is now widely expected to hike rates for only the 2nd time in more than a decade at its December 1314 meeting, particularly after the results of last week’s U.S. elections…meanwhile, U.S. consumer prices recorded their biggest increase in 6 months in October on rising gasoline costs and rents, suggesting a pickup in inflation…

2. The global Silver market is expected to post its 4th consecutive supply deficit in 2016, this time to the tune of 52.2 million ounces, according to the GFMS team of Thomson Reuters in its Interim Silver Market Review released at last night’s annual Silver industry dinner hosted in New York by the Silver Institute “While such deficits do not necessarily influence prices in the near term, multiple years of annual deficits can begin to apply upward pressure to prices in subsequent periods,” GFMS said…

3. Gold and Silver are essentially flat as of 7:00 am Pacific, Copper is up 3 cents while the U.S. Dollar Index is up another one-fifth of a point at 100.40 as Yellen testifies before Congress…North American equity markets, including the Venture, are in the green…

4What may have been a short-term top in the cannabis sector occurred yesterday as volume and prices spiked in numerous plays (also triggering circuit breakers on multiple occasions) including Canopy Growth (CGC, TSX) and Aphria (APH, TSX-V)…however, the stocks are pushing higher again in early trading today…

5. Cannabix Technologies (BLO, CSE) jumped as much as 39% yesterday, hitting a new all-time high of $1.10 before closing up 12 cents at 91 cents…at the end of last week, the company released images and new details on its Beta 2.0 Cannabix marijuana breathalyzer that’s now at an advanced testing stage prior to submissions for approval as a court-approved device by the Minister of Justice in Canada and the National Highway and Safety Authority in the United States…BLO is up 7 cents at 98 cents as of 7:00 am Pacific

6. Canadian Zeolite (CNZ, TSX-V) has only 24 million shares outstanding but has traded an average of nearly 1 million shares in each of the last 7 trading sessions with the stock hitting new highs…the company is enjoying success expanding its potential market for Zeolite being quarried from its turnkey operation in southern British Columbia…CNZ is off slightly at 91 cents as of 7:00 am Pacific

7. Cub Energy (KUB, TSX-V) is the Venture’s early volume leader after 30 minutes of trading with more than 7 million shares having changed hands…after yesterday’s close the company reported a Q3 net profit of $2.19 million (U.S.)…working capital of $800,000 and cash of $3.6-million at September 30 put the company in its best financial position in over 2 years…KUB is up 1.5 cents at 3.5 cents as of 7:00 am Pacific…it has 311 million shares outstanding…

November 16, 2016

BMR Morning Market Musings…

Gold has traded between $1,221 and $1,232 so far today…as of 11:00 am Pacific, bullion is down $4 an ounce at $1,225…Silver is 15 cents lower at $16.91…Copper has slipped 4 cents to $2.48…Nickel is up a nickel at $5.12…Crude Oil is flat at $45.75 while the U.S. Dollar Index has added one-third of a point to 100.44

World bond markets continue to see their yields rise in the wake of last week’s Trumpquake which has raised concerns about rising inflationary price pressures…St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said in London today that he favors a rate hike at the central bank’s upcoming meeting December 1314…that’s consistent with his earlier thinking…traders have assigned about a 94% probability, the highest level this year, to a Fed rate boost next month according to futures contracts…

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is on track to do something it has done only twice in the past 20 years…the blue-chip index, which has posted record closes for 4 straight sessions, had gained 8.6% year-to-date entering today’s session, outperforming the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ which were up 6.7% and 5.8% for the year, respectively…the last 2 times the Dow outperformed the S&P and the NASDAQ in a year when all 3 were higher were 2006 and 1996

Fund managers are betting on a post-election future where inflation finally takes root, the economy shows real growth, and cash is no longer king…in its first survey since Donald Trump’s upset victory last week, Bank of America Merrill Lynch found an abrupt change in investor sentiment…higher inflation, for example, is now expected by a net 85% of the fund managers surveyed by BofAML, a 12-year high…

This morning, the Labor Department reported weaker than expected producer prices for October as they were unchanged following September’s 0.3% rise…ahead of the report, consensus forecasts were calling for a 0.3% increase…on an annual basis the headline index is up 0.8% which is still the highest 1-year change since late 2014…headline core inflation, meanwhile, is up 1.2%, its highest level in 2 years…

CRB Index Update

The recent big jump in Copper prices is a sign of possible higher inflation on the way…however, the CRB Index, a basket of commodities sorted into 4 different groups, remains just barely above its 200-day moving average (SMA) of 181

The CRB has shown tremendous support at the 177 Fib. level and we believe it’s just a matter of time before momentum starts to build in the index after a period of consolidation that began in early June following the yearly high of 196, a 26% lift from the January low…RSI(14) continues to bounce along the 50% level…watch for an acceleration in the CRB Index into year-end based on the bullish bias in this 2.5-year weekly chart…the CRB is off slightly at 182 as of 11:00 am Pacific

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In Today’s Morning Musings

1. Marijuana stocks on a high – Aphria triggers a circuit breaker, others also go for a ride…

2American Manganese (AMY, TSX-V) hits new multi-year high…

3. Doubleview Capital (DBV, TSX-V) volume surges to levels not seen since early 2014 as Hat speculation builds…

4Daniel’s Den – could there be something brewing between Kopin and Apple?…

Plus more…click here to read the rest of today’s Morning Musings and all BMR exclusive content, through a risk-free Pro, Gold or Basic package, or login with your username and password…

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7 @ 7:00

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Check back later this morning for today’s Morning Musings.

1. The Venture has recovered 36 points from its 5-month intra-day low of 717 Monday morning which may have marked an important bottom…technically, the Index has climbed back above a downsloping channel that formed from the August high…the Venture is up 6 points at 753 as of 7:00 am Pacific

2Cannabix Technologies (BLO, CSE) has cracked the $1 barrier for the first time ever on massive volume in early trading…this follows the release at the end of last week of new images and details of its Beta 2.0 marijuana breathalyzer that’s now in an advanced stage of testing…

3. Canadian Zeolite’s (CNZ, TSX-V) Zeolite has been submitted to the Canadian Food Inspection Agency (CFIA) for certification for the animal feed market and also to the United States for its state-to-state registration…North American annual production is 200 million tonnes and the studied and recommended ratio of Zeolite is in the 2% to 4% range of total volumes consumed…upon approval from the CFIA, the company’s Zeolite will be submitted for organic certification with the Organic Material Review Institute…CNZ is up 4 pennies at 93 cents as of 7:00 am Pacific

4. Naturally Splendid (NSP, TSX-V) has hit a 19-month high of 55 cents during the first 30 minutes of trading…last week the company closed a $4 million financing which will enable it to aggressively capture existing sales prospects in the HempOmega, cannabinoid and bulk areas simultaneously…

5. Garibaldi Resources (GGI, TSX-V) has tripled the size of the E&L to 63 sq. km with the announced acquisition this morning of 4,100 hectares contiguous to all sides of the project through a deal with a private Chinese company…the additional ground includes a 6 km east-west belt of the “Kyba Red Line”, a key geological feature of the prolific Heart of Gold Camp…the E&L deposit has been confirmed as the first magmatic Ni-Cu-rich system ever found in this world class district and also contains important Platinum, Palladium, Gold and Cobalt values…new Chinese investors may have other near-term positive implications for GGI as well and that could turn out to be a key part of today’s news…

6. Doubleview Capital (DBV, TSX-V) enjoyed its best volume day yesterday since initially reporting the Hat Gold-Copper porphyry discovery in January 2014 which sparked a broad staking rush in northwest B.C.’s Sheslay district…DBV recently launched the first drill program at the Hat since the summer of last year and has immediately hit apparent strong mineralization including Sheslay Red Stock as revealed in multiple core photos released yesterday…in a news release the company confirmed it has “expanded this potential large-scale Gold-Copper porphyry deposit” based on visual analysisDBV is up a penny at 9.5 cents through the first 30 minutes of trading…

7. Orca Gold (ORG, TSX-V) intersected up to 30 m (true width 60% to 70%) grading 6.6 g/t Au in final metallurgical drill results released this morning from its Block 14 Project in Sudan…the hole was drilled at Wadi Doum, Orca’s high-grade satellite deposit, and has further confirmed the presence of a northern higher grade zone which will be targeted in the resource infill drill program currently in progress…

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November 15, 2016

“Game On” Again At The Hat For Doubleview

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Mitek Systems: Minting Money On Millennials’ Love For Selfies

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Mitek: Revolutionizing the financial services industry.

Mitek Systems (MITK, NASDAQ), a global leader in mobile capture and identity verification software solutions, recently released findings from a survey of more than 3,000 millennials in the U.S., Canada and the U.K. on their mobile preferences, purchase habits and financial goals.

“As the largest generation in the U.S., millennials get what they want,” said Kalle Marsal, CMO, Mitek. “For the first time, this survey shows how the most valuable millennial customers expect to use their mobile device camera for commerce and banking. Smart businesses should welcome this news since leveraging millennials’ selfie habit gives them an easy way to verify ID’s, authorize purchases, enroll new customers and achieve compliance in an increasingly regulated mobile world. Their most valuable customers have spoken and the answer is a win-win.”

Forward-looking businesses must have mobile capture, and Mitek’s the leader!

Key findings from the survey conducted by Osterman Research includes:

Millennials are addicted to their smartphone cameras: 85% take selfies and many are taking more than five a day. 

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By Daniel T. Cook, BMR Special Investigator

Click here to quickly become a BMR member and read the rest of this update on Mitek to find out how high this stock could climb, or login with your username and password…

BMR Morning Market Musings…

Gold has traded between $1,219 and $1,232 so far today…as of 10:15 am Pacific, bullion is up $4 an ounce at $1,225…Silver is 15 cents higher at $17.07…Copper off slightly at $2.52…Nickel is up a penny at $5.09…Crude Oil has jumped more than $2 a barrel to $45.41 while the U.S. Dollar Index has added one-fifth of a point to 100.09

Gold prices moved higher overnight as Asian investors snapped up bars and coins in a wave of physical buying after the precious metal slipped to its lowest level in nearly 6 months yesterday…

Soros Fund Management LLC more than doubled its holdings in shares of Barrick Gold (ABX, TSX, NYSE) during the 3rd quarter while selling its position in SPDR Gold Shares, the world’s largest exchange-traded fund, according to filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission…meanwhile, well-known hedge fund manager John Paulson maintained his SPDR Gold holdings, according to SEC filings…

Markets continue to be shaped by political developments in the United States…this morning, House Speaker Paul Ryan said the Republican dominated government will have to go “bold” and “big” to get the country where it wants to go…Ryan added, rather ironically given his statements and behavior during the recent election campaign, “Welcome to the dawn of a new unified Republican government. This will be a government focused on turning President-elect Trump’s victory into real progress for the American people.”

Trump promised at least twice as much infrastructure spending as Hillary Clinton along with across-the-board individual and corporate tax cuts, a reversal of burdensome regulations contributing to low growth, and a ramping up of military expenditures…the Trump agenda is a recipe for not only faster growth and higher inflation, but a significant jump in U.S. budget deficits which the Gold market should find attractive in due course…

Crude Oil Update

Oil prices have moved up sharply today from strong support on expectations that OPEC will agree later this month to cut production to reduce a supply glut…Saudi Arabia’s energy minister has said it’s imperative that OPEC reach a consensus on a deal to curb production…if the Saudis are now pushing for a cut, after deliberately knocking prices down in 20142015 to put the squeeze on rivals and increase market share, then odds are that a cut will happen…

Market sentiment has been buoyed by reports that key producers including Iran and Iraq were thinking about restraining production, perhaps after a little “shove” from the Saudis…

In Today’s Morning Musings

1. A new Venture adventure – 2nd leg of bull market now underway?…

2Cannabix Technologies (BLO, CSE) up through resistance – important update…

3. A Ross Beaty stock that’s on sale…

4. The new opportunity in Marathon Gold (MOZ, TSX)…

Plus more…click here to read the rest of today’s Morning Musings and all BMR exclusive content, through a risk-free Pro, Gold or Basic package, or login with your username and password…

7 @ 7:00

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Check back later this morning for today’s Morning Musings.

1. The dramatic moves in the Treasury market and Copper over the last week reflect a view that a faster growth, more inflationary environment is on the way in the United States…under such a scenario, the Venture can be expected to perform exceedingly well with the second leg of its new bull market beginning following the completion of the correction that began from the 22-month high of 848 August 11…this correction will end anytime within the next several weeks leading up to the Fed meeting December 13-14 when the central bank is expected to hike interest rates for only the 2nd time in more than a decade…

2. The Dow is aiming for its 7th consecutive winning session on a day that features several Federal Reserve speakers…as of 7:00 am Pacific, the Dow has retreated 41 points…the TSX has climbed 64 points on strength in commodities while the Venture is up 4 points at 734 through the first 30 minutes in trading…

3Crude Oil prices have recovered more than 3% this morning on renewed hopes for an OPEC deal at the end of this month…this comes amid news of an attack on a major Oil pipeline in Nigeria…meanwhile, Libya is adding to the supply problem as its production has doubled to 600,000 bpd in recent weeks…

4U.S. retail sales rose more than expected in October as households bought motor vehicles and a range of other goods, while September sales were revised to show a 1% increase vs. the previously reported 0.6% rise…

5Cannabix Technologies (BLO, CSE), showing fresh technical momentum, gapped up at the open this morning and is holding most of those gains at 68 cents as of 7:00 am PacificBLO has the wind at its sails entering the balance of 2016 as its Beta 2.0 marijuana breathalyzer enters scientific studies with live users…over 50 million BLO shares or an average of 1.7 million per day have traded on the CSE since the beginning of October while 18.7 million (604,000 per day) have traded in the U.S. during the same period…

6. Parlane Resources (PPP, TSX-V) continues to look strong, up half a penny at 30 cents after releasing more exploration details this morning, including the discovery of native Copper, from its 270 sq. km Big Bear Property bordering New Gold’s (NGD, TSX) Blackwater deposit in central British Columbia…PPP has only 12 million shares outstanding…

7. Equitas Resources (EQT, TSX-V), which has been mired in a steady downtrend since early July, is up half a penny at 5 cents in early trading after releasing rock sample results from its Crepori project in Para state, Brazil, that graded as high as 1,023 g/t Au – more than 30 ounces per tonne…while the company continues to develop its flagship Cajueiro Project, it now says additional efforts will be directed toward advancing some of the higher-grade targets in the portfolio, of which Crepori is one of the most promising…one wonders why that didn’t happen earlier…

November 14, 2016

BMR Morning Market Musings…

Gold has traded between $1,211 and $1,229 so far today…as of 10:30 am Pacific, bullion is down $5 an ounce at $1,223…Silver has slipped 47 cents to $16.89…Copper is up a penny to $2.53…Nickel has jumped 9 cents to $5.12…Crude Oil is off 63 cents a barrel to $42.78 while the U.S. Dollar Index has soared two-thirds of a point to 99.89 after briefly topping 100….

SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest Gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings fell 0.76% to 934.56 tonnes on Friday from 941.68 tonnes on Thursday…holdings have changed little (down just 5 tonnes or less than 1%) from 2 months ago when Gold was trading $100 an ounce higher in the $1,320’s

More than $1 trillion (U.S.) was wiped off the value of bonds around the world since last Tuesday’s historic U.S. election victory by Donald Trump whose policies are expected to boost spending and kick-start inflation…

The capitalization of a global bond market index slid by $450 billion (U.S.) on Thursday alone, a 4th day of declines that pushed the week’s total above $1 trillion for only the second time in 2 decades according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch data…losses continued in early trading today before reversing…meanwhile, global stocks have been the main beneficiary of the flight from bonds…yields on U.S. 30-year bonds, which are more sensitive than shorter maturities to the outlook for inflation, jumped the most last week since January 2009

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The Trump “Thump” whacks global bond markets.

“It is very much the market building up expectation or pricing in his election campaign language,” stated Tai Hui, chief Asia market strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management, in an interview on CNBC’s ‘Squawk Box’.  “His bias in terms of policy from an economist’s standpoint is very much inflation, inflation, inflation.

“Infrastructure, deficit spending, protectionism, immigration reform; everything he’s mentioned so far is going to push prices higher in the U.S.,” Hui said. “If you block immigrants, or even illegal immigrants working in the states, wages will rise. If you think about trade policy, if you block Chinese exports to the U.S., prices will rise.”

Expectations that a Trump presidency will increase infrastructure spending is helping to boost optimism in the industrial metals complex as well as in U.S. equities, while safe-haven assets like U.S. bond yields and Gold continue to suffer…the prospect of rising U.S. budget deficits, however, should start to sink in soon with investors, and keep in mind that rising interest rates will only compound the federal deficit/debt problem…

The Federal Reserve now appears likely to hike rates at its meeting next month for only the second time in more than a decade…the best thing for the Gold market would be to get a rate hike over with…

Warning From China

Apple iPhones and other U.S. goods could suffer sales hits in China if President-elect Trump goes through with his “naive” plan of slapping a large import tariff on Chinese products, a state-backed newspaper warned yesterday…

“A batch of Boeing orders will be replaced by Airbus. U.S. auto and iPhone sales in China will suffer a setback, and U.S. soybean and maize imports will be halted. China can also limit the number of Chinese students studying in the U.S.,” the Global Times article read…

Gold Fields & Silver Standard Eye Kirkland Lake Gold (KLG, TSX)

Gold Fields (GFI, NYSE) confirmed this morning that its wholly-owned subsidiary, Gold Fields Netherlands Services BV, has made 3 successive non-binding proposals jointly with Silver Standard Resources (SSO, TSX) to Kirkland Lake Gold (KLG, TSX) to acquire all of the outstanding shares of Kirkland Lake pursuant to a negotiated plan of arrangement for consideration consisting of cash and shares of Silver Standard or a combination thereof…its most recent proposal is valued at $1.44 billion CDN ($1.07 billion U.S.) in aggregate, nearly 50% above KLG’s current market value…

Gold Fields also confirmed that the Kirkland Lake board has advised that it determined that each of these joint proposals was not reasonably expected to result in a superior proposal relative to Kirkland Lake’s previously announced combination with Newmarket Gold (NMI, TSX) and that accordingly it would not be engaging in any discussions with Gold Fields or Silver Standard or providing them with due diligence access…

Kirkland Lake shareholders may find the Gold Fields/Silver Standard offer more intriguing than their board does…perhaps that’s why Kirkland management decided this morning to remind shareholders that there is only one transaction before them which is the business combination with Newmarket…shareholders must vote their proxies before 10:00 a.m. eastern time on November 23, 2016… 

KLG is up 62 cents at $8.66 as of 10:30 am Pacific

In Today’s Morning Musings

1. Venture and the TSX Gold Index reversing from morning lows…

2. Long-term Venture chart tells us to prepare for a HUGE upside move (soon)…

3Cannabix Technologies ready to “BLO” higher?…

4. Confirmed breakout above 1-year downsloping channel in Garibaldi Resources (GGI, TSX-V)…

5. Daniel’s Den the race is on for Copper in Ecuador…

Plus more…click here to read the rest of today’s Morning Musings and all BMR exclusive content, through a risk-free Pro, Gold or Basic package, or login with your username and password…

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