Gold has traded between $1,188 and $1,200 so far today…as of 9:30 am Pacific, Gold is up $4 an ounce at $1,195 and should continue to benefit from the more chaotic world we’re now in…Silver is flat at $17.11…Copper is down slightly at $2.64…Nickel has jumped 11 cents to $4.40…Crude Oil has retreated 38 cents a barrel to $52.79 while the U.S. Dollar Index has added one-fifth of a point to 100.54…
Gold investors need to keep an eye on India this week as the Modi government releases its 2017 budget on Wednesday amid terrible headwinds, mostly caused by the Prime Minister’s disruptive decision to invalidate more than 80% of India’s currency last November…there has been speculation that the Finance Ministry could cut the 10% Gold import tariff, though HSBC analysts say they have low expectations for such a reduction. “But if the ministry announces a cut, we would expect Gold to move higher, as India is a key physical demand market for bullion,” HSBC said…
New Gold’s (NGD, TSX) share price took a significant hit today after the company reported that initial production from its Rainy River mine in Ontario would be delayed by 3 months and that it would cost $195 million more to bring the project online…
China Dials Up The Rhetoric
China is preparing for a potential military clash with the United States, according to an article on the Chinese army’s website. “The possibility of war increases as tensions around North Korea and the South China Sea heat up,” Liu Guoshun, a member of the national defense mobilization unit of China’s Central Military Commission, wrote on January 20 – the same day as President Trump’s inauguration. “A war within the President’s term, ‘war breaking out tonight’, are not just slogans, but the reality,” Liu said in the Chinese commentary piece…
Nothing like a little military confrontation to get Gold and Oil humming…
Crude Oil Update
Oil prices are under mild pressure today as news of another increase in U.S. drilling activity spread concern over rising output just as many of the world’s Oil producers are trying to comply with a deal to pump less in an attempt to prop up prices…the number of active U.S. Oil rigs rose to the highest since November 2015 last week, according to Baker Hughes data, showing drillers are taking advantage of prices above $50 a barrel…
The Saudis are determined to do what they can to keep Crude Oil prices firm in 2016 ahead of a massive IPO of their state Oil company, Aramco…Saudi Deputy Crown Prince Mohammedbin Salman has said Aramco is worth between $2 trillion and $3 trillion…analysts say a public listing of 5% of Aramco could fetch between $100 billion and $150 billion, the most ever for an IPO…the Wall Street Journal has reported that the kingdom hired an energy consultant last year to assess its reserves of Crude Oil, opening a window to a closely guarded secret ahead of the IPO…the audit is a prerequisite for listing Aramco which could happen as soon as next year…the size of Aramco’s reserves will play a crucial role for investors in determining the worth of what some call the world’s most valuable company…
Venture Seasonality Chart
It’s rare for the Venture to have a bad or even mediocre February, so make sure you’re well-positioned now in order to capitalize on some profit opportunities in the month ahead…
As you can see in John’s seasonality chart, February has been the Venture’s best month on the calendar going back nearly 2 decades in terms of total returns…February’s average gain of 4.7% has outpaced that of December (4.1%) and January (3.8%), the other 2 strongest months of the year…
February is an “up” month two-thirds of the time – only December has been better (>80%) in that regard…
Venture Long-Term Chart
This Venture long-term chart demonstrates just how powerful this new bull market is…amazingly, far too many retail investors haven’t even recognized that the Venture commenced a new bull cycle early last year and that the Index started a new leg up in that cycle toward the end of December…
Note the breakout above the long-term downsloping channel, the +DI/-DI bullish cross, the strong reversal to the upside in the 300-day moving average (SMA), and the RSI(14) surge…the next big thing to watch for is an RSI(14) breakout above the long-term downtrend line going back a decade…
For reasons that few people may understand, this chart is telling us that Gold prices and/or commodity prices in general could soar anytime within the next 12 months…
In Today’s Morning Musings…
1. “Sweet Home Colorado“…
2. Very important pattern forming on Silver’s short-term chart…
3. “Probing” in on a potential multi-million ounce Gold discovery at Val d’Or East…
4. Stay Zealous for Zeolite!…
5. Daniel’s Den – food for thought!..
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