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January 3, 2018

7 @ 7:00

Check back later today for Daniel’s Den and visit the BMR comments section throughout the day for updates and helpful information.

1. Gold has traded between $1,311 and $1,318 so far today…as of 7:00 am Pacific, bullion is off $2 an ounce at $1,315SPDR Gold Shares, the world’s largest Gold-backed exchange-traded fund, posted a modest inflow of roughly 15 metric tons during 2017…it’s reasonable to expect more ETF buying in 2018, enough to help Gold reach new multi-year highs…Silver is flat at $17.13…buying Silver on January 5 and holding through February 14 has resulted in a winning trade in 13 of the last 15 years…another factor in Silver’s favor at the moment, from a contrarian perspective, is that COT data has shown a net short position in the metal for the 3rd straight week…Copper and Nickel have retreated slightly to $3.21 and $5.55, respectively…Zinc is steady at $1.52…Crude Oil has jumped 64 cents to $61.01 while the U.S. Dollar Index has recovered one-quarter of a point to 92.12

2. Gold prices in 2017 made their biggest gains since 2010 but U.S. Mint coin sales were the weakest in a decade…the U.S. Mint confirms that the sales of American Eagle Gold and Silver coins were the lowest since 2007 and American Buffalo coins had their worst year ever…the majority of analysts blamed the results on range-bound Gold prices and excitement surrounding the U.S. equities market…the World Gold Council described the U.S. bar and coin market as lackluster in 2017 with demand only at 7.3 metric tons in the 3rd quarter, down from 17.7 tons during the same period a year earlier…2016 was the 3rd best year for bar and coin demand on record in the United States…

3. Crude Oil is getting a boost from events in Iran where anti-government demonstrators have taken to the streets over the past week to voice anger over the country’s economic woes…21 people have reportedly been killed and 450 people arrested during the protests which have become the most powerful challenge to the hideous, corrupt Iranian regime since mass demonstrations in 2009…the situation has reignited a geopolitical risk premium in global Oil markets amid concerns the civil unrest could result in Crude supply disruptions out of the Islamic Republic…so far, protests in Iran have had no impact on the country’s Oil production or Oil shipments but the situation could change if the U.S. were to impose fresh sanctions or dismantle the very flawed Obama-led international agreement to curb Iran’s nuclear program…that deal proved to be a gift to Iranian leaders who continue to sponsor terrorism and forment trouble in the Middle East…

4.  Long lineups to buy marijuana in California and a new ETF sent Canadian pot stocks roaring into the new year yesterday, and that action has continued today…the market for marijuana in California, the world’s 6th largest economy, is expected to reach $3.7 billion (U.S.) this year and more than $5.1 billion in 2019, according to research firm BDS Analytics7 other states and the District of Columbia have legalized recreational weed, boosting a market that Cowen & Co. predicts will grow to $50 billion by 2026, up from $6 billion in 2016ETFMG Alternative Harvest, a U.S. ETF that started trading December 26, is attracting strong interest…the ETF is dominated by Canadian stocks, including Canopy Growth (WEED, TSX), MedReleaf (LEAF, TSX) and Cronos Group (MJN, TSX-V)…Canada’s Horizons Medical Marijuana Life Sciences ETF (HMMJ.U, TSX) is up for a 7th straight session, surpassing a market cap of $500 million

 5. The Dow is up 56 points through the first 30 minutes of trading after a 105-point gain to kick off 2018the TSX has added 31 points while the red-hot Venture, after a confirmed breakout above critical resistance at 850, has surged another 16 points to 888Cannabix Technologies (BLO, CSE) gapped up to a new all-time high of $3.24 at the open and is holding that level as of 7:00 am PacificNaturally Splendid Enterprises (NSP, TSX-V) is drawing fresh interest this morning after announcing that Howe Street veteran Doug Mason has accepted the position of interim CEO…Mason has built a reputation for product innovation during a career in the public markets that spans more than 2 decades..

6. Datametrex AI (DM, TSX-V) and its San Francisco based joint venture partner Bitnine Global Inc. have arranged a non-brokered private placement of up to $2.5 million for Graph Blockchain…the financing is direct into the private company “Graph” so as not to dilute Datametrex AIGraph has completed the previously announced prototype for a utility company to analyze electric vehicle charging stations and has a contract with Revive Therapeutics (RVV, TSX-V) to develop the blockchain component in Revive’s proprietary patient-focused program…that program is enabled by DM’s artificial intelligence (Nexalogy) dedicated to the medical cannabis industry…

7. Great sign of an accelerating bull market in the metals sector in 2018 – volume is one of the best indicators of all, and exchange operator CME Group reports that average daily volume in metals markets increased 23% to a record 568,000 contracts during 2017…this far exceeded the average daily volume for all CME markets combined (gains in average daily volume for other markets included interest rates, 9%; foreign exchange, 7%; energy, 6%; and agriculture, 2%)…significantly, for just the month of December average metals volume rose 48% year-on-year to 531,000 contracts daily…

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January 2, 2018

7 @ 7:00

Check the BMR comments section throughout the day for updates and helpful information.

1. Gold has hit a new 3-month high as it begins the new year on a robust note, building on gains during the last half of December…as of 7:00 am Pacific, Gold is up $9 an ounce at $1,312…shorts are likely getting a little nervous…Silver has added 20 cents to $17.10…Copper is steady at $3.25…Nickel slipped as low as $5.54 but has since bounced back and is now up 2 pennies at $5.69…this could be a spectacular year for Nickel after an important turnaround in the metal during the 2nd half of 2017…Zinc is approaching a new 10+ year high, up 2 cents at $1.52…Zinc imports by China, the world’s largest consumer of the metal, jumped above 573,000 tonnes in the first 11 months of last year, up 43% from the same period in 2017…meanwhile, China’s war on smog reduced local output of Zinc last year and is expected to again cut supplies in 2018…Crude Oil flat at $60.40 while the U.S. Dollar Index has fallen one-quarter of a point to 91.99

2. Gold has started 2018 with its highest January opening since 2013…this is also only the 4th time ever that Gold has opened the year above $1,300…the yield curve, the spread between 10-year bond yields and 2-year bond yields, ended 2017 near multi-year lows, providing support to bullion as a non-yielding asset…meanwhile, India’s Gold imports surged 67% in 2017 from the previous year to 855 tonnes as jewelers replenished inventory amid a rebound in retail demand, according to GFMS…December imports stood at 70 tonnes, up 40% from a year ago…imports in the final quarter of 2016 were hit hard by Prime Minister Modi’s war on cash, but jewelers and dealers gradually started restocking bullion early last year…

3. A survey focused on small and mid-size businesses in China beat expectations today, reaching a 4-month high as the Caixin/Markit manufacturing PMI for December came in at 51.5…despite concerns about debt and a property bubble, China’s economic data showed robust growth in 2017 due in part to government spending on infrastructure and a pick-up in the overall global macroeconomic environment…China is targeting 6.5% growth in 2018 which would bode well for the commodity complex…

4. California has launched the world’s largest regulated commercial market for recreational marijuana, effective yesterday as it became the 6th U.S. state, and by far the most populous, venturing beyond legalized medical marijuana to permit the sale of cannabis products of all types to customers at least 21 years old…more than 1 in 5 Americans now live in states where recreational marijuana is legal for purchase, even though cannabis remains classified as an illegal narcotic under U.S. law…the marijuana market in California alone is valued by most experts at several billion dollars annually and is expected to generate at least a $1 billion a year in tax revenue…

5. Oil prices ended 2017 above $60 a barrel on Friday, a milestone not seen in more than 2 years, in another sign that a longstanding global glut is easing…inventory trends remain very encouraging which helps explain the fact that net bullish bets by speculative investors remain near all-time highs…last Thursday the Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported that U.S. Crude stockpiles fell for the 6th straight week to their lowest level since October 2015 for the period ended December 22…refiners have helped chip away at excess Crude supply by turning it into products such as gasoline and diesel, and fuel consumption is on the rise given frigid temperatures across much of the nation…the EIA anticipates that U.S. output in 2018 will eclipse the record of 9.6 million barrels a day set in 1970, though production saw its first weekly drop since October…meanwhile, unrest in Iran to begin 2018 is viewed bullishly by traders and highlights how investors will have to keep a close eye on geopolitical developments in 2018 and how they may impact Crude prices…

6. The Dow is off to a flying start in 2018, up 106 points through the first 30 minutes of trading…the Dow soared 25% in 2017, a little less than the NASDAQ (28%) but better than the S&P 500 (19%)…the TSX closed the year up only 6% while the Venture enjoyed a 12% gain…as of 7:00 am Pacific on the first day of 2018 trading, the TSX is up slightly while the Venture has added 7 points to 858technically, the Venture hasn’t shown this kind of momentum since 2016…the first key breakout just recently was above the 2017 downtrend line on the 2-year weekly chart…the Index is now threatening to confirm a second key breakout, through the 2016 and 2017 highs at 850…the significance of the Venture’s strong December cannot be underestimated as what this is leading to is the 3rd major defining moment in Venture trading going back to the fall of 2014Datametrex AI (DM, TSX-V) has appointed internationally recognized fintech, insurtech and artificial intelligence (AI) influencer and venture capitalist Spiros Margaris to its advisory board.  “We are thrilled to have Spiros join our advisory board and to be able to tap into his vast knowledge base, contact base and international following. He is world renowned as an expert in the key areas that Datametrex is focused, making his appointment strategic to the company’s growth,” stated Andrew Ryu, Chairman and CEO of the DatametrexWolfden Resources (WLF, TSX-V) announced the appointment this morning of Ron Little as a lead director of the company…Little was the founder of Orezone Resources, a company that went on to develop the largest Gold mine in Burkina Faso that was taken over in a deal worth $350 million by Iamgold in 2008

7. The hottest digital coin as 2018 kicks off is “Stellar” which has climbed more than 65% since Friday into the Top 10 List of largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization…by this morning, Stellar had a market cap of $10 billion as the 8th largest digital currency, according to CoinMarketCap…Stellar operates a network with the blockchain technology behind Bitcoin…unlike Bitcoin, however, Stellar’s transactions settle in 2 to 5 seconds and the cryptocurrency allows users to quickly exchange government-backed currencies, such as turning U.S. dollars into euros…Stellar’s coins are officially called lumens, or XLM…it’ll be fascinating to see what 2018 brings in the cryptocurrency space…

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January 1, 2018

BMR Evening Alert!

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Happy New Year!

Happy New Year, everyone, on this first day of 2018!

May this new year be your best yet, filled with peace, joy, good health and prosperity.

Check back later today for a BMR subscriber post ahead of tomorrow’s first day of 2018 trading on North American markets.

New Year’s Eve celebrations in Vancouver.

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