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1. Gold has traded between $1,307 and $1,316 so far today…as of 7:00 am Pacific, bullion is up $4 an ounce at $1,314…of course the Chinese market has been closed this week for the Chinese New Year Holiday, taking some of the energy out of the Gold market but bullion nonetheless continues to hold up well with solid support at $1,300…Gold holdings in global ETFs tracked by Bloomberg have been reduced by nearly 20 tonnes since the start of the month after they rose strongly in January (71.9 tonnes) for the 4th straight month…Silver has added 4 cents to $15.76 as it continues to grapple with key resistance in the $15.70’s…Nickel has slid 4 cents to $5.78…Copper is off a penny at $2.81 while Zinc is down 2 cents at $1.22…Crude Oil is up slightly at $52.69 while the U.S. Dollar Index, meeting important resistance, has retreated one-tenth of a point to 96.49…Canada’s job market began 2019 with an unexpected employment surge driven by jobs for youth in services and record private-sector hiring, a hopeful sign in an economy facing several other headwinds…employment increased by 66,800 in January, Statistics Canada reported this morning…that was driven by a 99,200 gain in services, which offset falling employment in goods producing industries…the gains were almost evenly split between full-time and part-time positions…

2. TD Securities says Gold appears to be in the process of creating a setup for a surge to the upside…“With traders’ hands still shaking following the December carnage in risk assets, interest is growing in the yellow metal.  We still think the macro story suggests we’re an inch too early for Gold to take off just yet, but we see a setup being created on the horizon for massive flow to the upside.  In fact, we estimate a break above the $1,335/oz range would lead to a significant round of long accumulation from the CTA (Commodity Trading Adviser) community”…

3. Trade talks between the U.S. and China are so far apart that neither side has put anything in writing yet, The Wall Street Journal reported this morning…according to the WSJ, the two sides have not even drafted an accord specifying the matters they agree and disagree on…the U.S. and China are trying to meet an early March trade deadline…if a deal is not struck before then, U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods will increase, barring some sort of extension…the report comes just a day after White House economic advisor Larry Kudlow said there is a “pretty sizeable distance to go” before China and the U.S. reach a deal…Kudlow also indicated, however, that President Trump remains “optimistic” the two sides will conclude a trade agreement – exact timing, of course, is the big question…Trump, perhaps trying to exercise some leverage, said yesterday that he won’t be meeting Chinese President Xi Jinping before the crucial March deadline, news that put some pressure on equities…

4. The Dow is off another 181 points through the first 30 minutes of trading…in Toronto, the TSX is down 99 points, though Gold stocks are showing some strength, while the Venture has slipped 2 points to 613…Amex Exploration (AMX, TSX-V) has surged to a new high in early trading, touching 67 cents on fresh buying ahead of more news…Amex continues to drill into high-grade Gold in the Eastern Gold zone (EGZ) of its Perron Project north of Rouyn-Noranda…earlier this week the company reported that drill hole PE-2019–24 cut 24 g/t Au over 5.85 m including 214.7 g/t over 0.65 m at a vertical depth of 235 m…meanwhile, PE2019–23 intersected 39.6 g/t Au over 0.75 m at a vertical depth of 135 m…this helps verify vertical continuity in the near-surface portion of the system…the zone has been intersected in the same section over a vertical distance of approximately 150 m, pierce point to pierce point, with a spacing varying from 25 to 50 m…in addition to these results, the company reports that the first 25 m step-out hole testing the lateral extent of the EGZ’s High Grade Zone has intersected visible Gold…GoGold (GGD, TSX-V) reported Q4 production this morning of 325,148 Silver equivalent ounces…numbers should continue to improve this quarter…the company also showed net income of $8.2 million (U.S.) for the 3 months ended December 31 after closing the previously announced sale of a 2% net smelter return royalty which resulted in net proceeds and an equivalent pretax gain of $11.8 million…

5. Great Bear Mining (GBR, TSX-V) hit a new high of $3.67 in early trading, thanks to a recommendation from Canaccord Genuity analyst Kevin MacKenzie…“While it still early days, we highlight the project’s comparable structural-geological setting, style of mineralization, and developing grade profile to that of many of the more established deposits within the camp.  While not definitive, we view these comparable elements as fundamental precursors for a potentially substantial discovery within the Red Lake camp.  Given the established milling capacity within the Red Lake camp (4,900 tpd), we highlight Dixie as a potential future acquisition target in terms of a near-surface, high-grade feed source.  While Dixie remains an emerging discovery, the associated potential synergies to multiple operators within the camp significantly de-risks the project’s development threshold, in our view.  We highlight Great Bear as a prospective investment for risk-tolerant investors”…

6. Carmakers may have to consider investing directly in Cobalt mines to secure supply over the next 3 to 5 years, as demand for the metal used in rechargeable batteries is set to continue to ramp up according to Ford Motor Co.’s senior manager for energy storage strategy and research Ted Miller..speaking at a mining industry event in South Africa, Miller said the auto industry is now in an “awkward position” of actually driving the Cobalt price on the back of EV battery production needs…“I fully anticipate we’re going to keep a lot of pressure on that Cobalt production,” he said…Cobalt, and its related supply-side risks with the bulk of metal coming out of the Congo, makes it “a unique case” according to Miller…Ford, which plans to launch new electric cars as soon as next year, has been reducing the proportion of Cobalt it uses to lower its dependency on the metal and wants to collaborate at all parts of the supply chain, even down to the miners of the metal, he said…while the company doesn’t see the need to participate in mining, or have direct Cobalt offtake agreements, that could be re-evaluated in the future…“We’ve had ongoing discussions with suppliers of raw materials, processed material and even mining sources to ensure that customers ultimately get the vehicles they need,” he said…

7. Simon Moores, managing director, Benchmark Mineral Intelligence, testified before the U.S. Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources earlier this week…he was summoned by the Senate Committee to testify on the Lithium, Cobalt, Nickel and Graphite supply chains for energy storage…“Benchmark Mineral Intelligence is now tracking 70 Lithium ion battery megafactories under construction across 4 continents, 46 of which are based in China with only 5 currently planned for the United States.  When I gave my last testimony in October 2017, the global total was at 17,” Moores said…he added that these megafactories are being built almost exclusively to make Lithium ion battery cells using two chemistries: Nickel-Cobalt-Manganese (NCM) and Nickel-Cobalt-Aluminium (NCA)…“This means the supply of Lithium, Cobalt, Nickel and Manganese to produce the cathode for these cells, alongside graphite to produce battery anodes, needs to rapidly evolve for the 21st century”…he presented a chart based on the assumption that all of these megafactories are built and run at 100% capacity utilization…“Under this scenario, Lithium demand will increase by over 8 times, Graphite anode by over 7 times, Nickel by a massive 19 times, and Cobalt demand will rise 4-fold, which takes into account the industry trend of reducing Cobalt usage in a battery,” Moores testified…

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1. Gold has traded between $1,303 and $1,312 so far today…as of 7:00 am Pacific, bullion is up $3 an ounce at $1,309…Silver has added a penny to $15.65 as it continues to grapple with key resistance at $15.75…contrary to the inflows seen in Gold ETFs throughout January, Silver ETF flows have been moving in the opposite direction despite recent price gains, decoupling somewhat from the momentum seen in Gold, with total known holdings down 1.6% throughout the month while the Gold/Silver ratio remains well above the 5-year average of 74, currently sitting just above 83…Nickel has jumped 7 cents to $5.84…Copper is unchanged at $2.82 while Zinc is up a penny at $1.24…Crude Oil has fallen 65 cents a barrel to $53.65 after U.S. Crude inventories rose and the country’s production held at record levels, but OPEC-led supply cuts and Washington’s sanctions against Venezuela are supporting the market…there was more downbeat economic news this morning out of the European Union, the world’s 3rd-largest economy…the EU’s European Commission cut its growth forecast for the euro zone to 1.3% in 2019, which is well down from a 1.9% growth rate forecast in November…the report laid part of the blame for the slower growth rate on U.S.-China trade tensions, but that’s a poor excuse – the Europeans need to get their act together in terms of more growth-oriented domestic policies…in Germany, industrial output in December was down 0.4% from November when a rise of 0.8% was expected…

2. The push against Bill C-69: Key senators are rightfully questioning whether the Trudeau government’s “project assessment” legislation will result in speedier approvals for major resource projects…at a committee hearing yesterday, senators argued the legislation is too complex and lacking in clarity to give industry proponents any confidence that their projects will not be bogged down in interminable reviews, with uncertain results and the likelihood of court challenges when controversial developments are okayed…despite government promises that good projects will be approved more quickly than is currently the case, Bill C-69 has been labelled the “No Pipelines Bill” by critics, with several provinces, including Alberta’s NDP government, demanding significant amendments…in testimony yesterday, senior government officials claimed the legislation contains several features that will make the review process more predictable, including an early planning phase in which parties will identify key issues to be assessed, tighter timelines and greater accountability by requiring ministers to publish reasons for decisions they make throughout the process…

3. In the wrong lane:  A poor attempt at “spin” by Timothy Lane, the Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada, who said yesterday that uncertainty over U.S. trade policies is holding back Canadian business investment and temporarily helping to slow growth…really?…that’s Canada’s problem?…the slow-growth Trudeau economy has nothing to do with over-regulation, poor regulation, a disastrous National Energy Program, and high taxes?…Lane knows the liberal Trump-hating mainstream media in Canada will eagerly use the excuse of U.S. trade policies as the reason Canada is struggling right now…at least he admitted a fact, “The past year has seen an important change in the relative performance of the two economies” (Canada and U.S.)…the same left-wing agenda that wreaked havoc on the province of Ontario has been pushed by the federal government since Trudeau got elected in late 2014, and the results speak for themselves while the U.S. economy – going in a much different direction under Trump – speeds along at a growth rate twice that of Canada’s…what’s more, Trump is promoting the U.S. resource sector while Trudeau is trying to diminish Canada’s resource sector with a greater urgency to get pot to market than Oil to market…

4. Oops – maybe these batteries need more Cobalt!…hoping to increase the appeal of their battery-electric vehicles, automakers have started rolling out an assortment of “long-range” models, such as the Tesla Model 3, Chevrolet Bolt EV, Jaguar I-Pace and Nissan Leaf Plus… under ideal conditions, these products can deliver more than 200 miles per charge and, in some cases, even 300…but as many owners discovered last week as winter storms slammed much of the U.S., cold weather does not qualify as “ideal”…a new AAA study finds that when the thermometer dropped to 20 degrees Fahrenheit, range fell by an average of 41% on the 5 models it tested…“We found that the impact of temperature on EVs is significantly more than we expected,” said Greg Brannon, AAA’s director of automotive engineering…the AAA study appears to be the first to have used standard, repeatable methodology to confirm the problem and compare the effect of winter temperatures on different models…it’s something all automakers are going to have to deal with as they push for further EV deployment…

5. The Dow is off 182 points through the first 30 minutes of trading…in the biggest bank deal since the 2008 financial crisis, BB&T will buy SunTrust Banks for about $28 billion in an all-stock deal, creating the 6th largest U.S. lender…the combined company will operate under a new name and have around $442 billion in assets, $301 billion in loans and $324 billion in deposits, and will rival U.S. Bancorp that has about $467 billion in assets…in Toronto, the TSX is down 23 points while the Venture has slipped 3 points to 617…very solid results yesterday from Marathon Gold (MOZ, TSX) which is up slightly again in early trading…drill holes MA-19–348 and MA-19–349 were strategically located between existing, strongly mineralized drill holes in the open-pit portion of the Marathon deposit…these holes succeeded in intersecting en echelon stacked QTP-Au (quartz-tourmaline-pyrite-Gold) veining with wide intervals of higher-grade intercepts…assays included separate intersections of 23 m @ 3.9 g/t Au and 10 m @ 3.6 g/t in MA-19–348, and 38 m @ 1.3 g/t, 24 m @ 1.96 g/t, and 29 m @ 2.1 g/t in MA-19–349 (near true widths)…those results demonstrate the extensive lateral continuity of the QTP-Au veining into adjacent drill holes both along and across strike…

6. Canopy Growth (WEED, TSX) announced this morning that it intends to increase its total investment in Canopy Rivers (RIV, TSX-V) by $30 million…the investment will be made through a private placement of subordinated voting shares in the capital of Canopy Rivers concurrent with Canopy Rivers‘ bought deal offering of subordinate voting shares for total gross proceeds of approximately $55 million…the financing is expected to close by month-end, after which WEED will own 27.3% of Canopy Rivers (vs. 26.5% now)…Bruce Linton, Founder and Co-CEO, Canopy Growth, stated…“The advantage of a strengthened Canopy Rivers/Canopy Growth relationship is that it accelerates and de-risks execution for invested companies.  The strength of the Canopy Rivers’ team, coupled with their selective approach to business development and execution of strategic investments, creates value for shareholders and for Canopy Growth.  By increasing Canopy Growth’s investment in Canopy Rivers, we are demonstrating our interest in growing great companies, developing selective opportunities and delivering Canopy’s shareholders more growth,” added Linton…

7. Simon Moores, managing director, Benchmark Mineral Intelligence, testified before the U.S. Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources earlier this week…he was summoned by the Senate Committee to testify on the Lithium, Cobalt, Nickel and Graphite supply chains for energy storage…“Benchmark Mineral Intelligence is now tracking 70 Lithium ion battery megafactories under construction across 4 continents, 46 of which are based in China with only 5 currently planned for the United States.  When I gave my last testimony in October 2017, the global total was at 17,” Moores said…he added that these megafactories are being built almost exclusively to make Lithium ion battery cells using two chemistries: Nickel-Cobalt-Manganese (NCM) and Nickel-Cobalt-Aluminium (NCA)…“This means the supply of Lithium, Cobalt, Nickel and Manganese to produce the cathode for these cells, alongside graphite to produce battery anodes, needs to rapidly evolve for the 21st century,” Moores testified…he presented a chart based on the assumption that all of these megafactories are built and run at 100% capacity utilization…“Under this scenario, Lithium demand will increase by over 8 times, Graphite anode by over 7 times, Nickel by a massive 19 times, and Cobalt demand will rise 4-fold, which takes into account the industry trend of reducing Cobalt usage in a battery,” Moores testified…

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1. Gold has traded between $1,311 and $1,316 so far today…as of 7:00 am Pacific, bullion is off $2 an ounce at $1,313…holdings of Gold by global ETFs and similar products as of the end of January stood at their highest level since 2013, according to data from the World Gold Council this morning…ETF holdings increased for the 4th straight month, this time by 71.9 tonnes to 2,512.8 tonnes…holdings have jumped by around 185 tonnes over those 4 months, reversing a decline in the 3rd quarter of 2018…Silver has retreated 4 pennies to $15.79…Nickel touched $5.93 overnight, a fresh 4-month high, before pulling back to $5.76…this latest move in Nickel is related to concerns that a force majeure by Brazil’s Vale on some Iron ore contracts could lead to restrictions in its Nickel supply – whether that actually materializes remains to be seen…Vale is the world’s top producer of Nickel…a Brazilian court forced production to stop at Vale’s Iron ore mine after a tailings dam burst last month, killing more than 300 people and compelling the company to tell clients it could not deliver on some Iron ore contracts…Copper is up 2 pennies to $2.81 while Zinc is steady at $1.23…Crude Oil has retreated 54 cents a barrel to $54.02 while the U.S. Dollar Index is up more than one-tenth of a point at 96.21…in economic news, the U.S trade deficit with its global partners fell in November for the first time after 5 straight months of increases as the shortfall with China and several other countries declined…President Trump delivered a rousing State of the Union address last night, including words he’ll likely be repeating a lot leading up to the 2020 elections against a Democratic Party that has lurched far to the left…“America was founded on liberty and independence and not government coercion, domination and control,” he said to Republican applause…“We are born free and we will stay free.  Tonight, we renew our resolve that America will never be a Socialist country,” he added as House Speaker Nancy Pelosi sat rather stone-faced behind him…at least 70 Democrats have so far endorsed the so-called “Green New Deal” which would dramatically transform America society…

2. U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, in an interview on CNBC’s “Squawk Box” this morning, expressed confidence in the progress of trade talks with China and said he and a U.S. delegation are heading to China next week with intent to make a March deadline…“We are committed to continue these talks.  We’re putting in an enormous amount of effort to hit this deadline and get a deal. That’s our objective”…Mnuchin said the administration had “very productive meetings” with Chinese Vice Premier Liu He…the White House has set a March 2 deadline to iron out complex trade issues with China…in particular,  the administration is looking for concessions on the ability of U.S. companies to sell in China, to stop the theft of intellectual property and other structural issues…

3. The Dow is off 62 points through the first 30 minutes of trading…infrastructure and defense shares are 2 of the winners from President Trump’s State of the Union address…drug stocks, meanwhile, are the biggest loser as Trump pushes for lower medicine prices…in Toronto, the TSX is off slightly while the Venture, which had its 8-session winning streak snapped yesterday, is down 5 points at 616 as cannabis stocks come under some additional pressure…Khiron Life Sciences (KHRN, TSX-V) was halted on news that the company has arranged a $20 million bought deal financing at $2.20…Khiron is positioned to be the dominant integrated medical cannabis company in Latin America…it has core operations in Colombia and is fully licensed in the country for the cultivation, production, domestic distribution and international export of both THC (tetrahydrocannabinol) and CBD (cannabidiol) medical cannabis…

4. Following completion of a $3 million strategic investment from Canopy Growth (WEED, TSX), 48North Cannabis (NRTH, TSX-V) announced this morning that it has closed the $7 million final tranche of that 75-cent private placement for aggregate proceeds of $10 million…the $7 million came from a leading U.S.-based private investment fund…the financing provides capital and liquidity to support the continued expansion of 48North, including the development of its 100-acre farm and large-scale extraction capabilities to significantly increase 2019 production and facilitate the rapid development of innovative, next-generation cannabis products…48North operates 2 indoor-licensed cannabis production sites in Ontario with over 86,000 sq. feet of production capacity…NRTH is unchanged at 71 cents in early trading…

5. Robert Friedland is beating the drums again:  Ivanhoe Mines (IVN, TSX) and its Chinese partners, Zijin Mining Group and Crystal River Global Ltd., have released an independent prefeasibility study (PFS) for the development of the Kakula Copper mine and an updated, expanded PEA for the overall development plan of the Kamoa and Kakula Copper discoveries at the Kamoa-Kakula Project in the Congo…“It has been a remarkable 25 years since my first keynote presentation at the very first Mining Indaba, in this beautiful city of Cape Town, South Africa.  In that inaugural speech in 1994, we shared with delegates how African Minerals, the founding, corporate trailblazer for Ivanhoe Mines, was focused on its quest for major discoveries in and around Southern Africa’s legendary mineral fields,” stated Friedland, in his usual colourful language…“Now, after more than a quarter of a century of exceptional field work by our team of visionary and tenacious exploration geologists, we are about to make the ‘Great Leap Forward’ from one of the modern world’s top mine finders to one of the world’s leading producers of Copper – as well as Palladium, Platinum, Zinc, Nickel, Gold, Silver and Rhodium from the other two major mining projects that Ivanhoe is developing in Southern Africa.  To all of our African Brothers and Sisters, you now can clearly see the fruits of the incredibly intensive efforts by our people over the past two decades, while overcoming countless challenges, to initially discover, then extensively expand, the Kamoa and Kakula resource base with a massive drilling and engineering effort”…the Kakula PFS analyzes the development of an initial 6 mtpa Kakula mine at the Kakula deposit in the southerly portion of the Kamoa-Kakula project’s discovery area…for this option, the PFS envisages an average annual production rate of 291,000 tonnes of Copper at a mine site cash cost of 46 cents (U.S.) per pound Copper and total cash cost of $1.11 per pound of Copper for the first 10 years of operations, and Copper annual production of up to 360,000 tonnes by year 4…an initial capital cost of $1.1 billion (U.S.) for this option would result in an after-tax NPV at an 8% discount rate of $5.4 billion (U.S.)…the IRR is 46.9% cent and the project payback period is 2.6 years for stage 1 of production…

6. Balmoral Resources‘ (BAR, TSX) released results this morning from the first expansion drilling in several years at its Grasset Nickel-Copper-Cobalt-PGE deposit…there was nothing dramatic or game-changing in the numbers, but BAR did expand the H3 zone of the deposit with broad mineralized intercepts and successfully intersected the lower H1 zone of the deposit at a vertical depth of approximately 775 m…this latter intercept adds over 230 m to the known vertical extent of high-grade and disseminated Nickel sulphide mineralization at Grasset…the late 2018 drill program also extended both zones of the deposit by approximately 100 m to the northwest…Grasset continues to remain open to depth and along strike to the northwest…drill holes GR-18–90D and GR-18–107 both returned Nickel sulphide intercepts of over 90 m in downhole width…both holes contain a higher grade core which returned 23 m grading 1.08% Nickel, 0.12% Copper, 0.03% Cobalt, 0.20 g/t Platinum and 0.51 g/t Palladium in hole 90D, and 0.51 g/t, and 53.50 m grading 1.11% Ni, 0.12% Cu, 0.03% Co, 0.22 g/t Pt and 0.55 g/t Pd in hole 107…drilling expanded the known extent of one of the broadest portions of the deposit, located near the base of the currently delineated resource…the high grade core of the Grasset deposit currently hosts an Indicated Resource estimated at 3.45 million tonnes grading 1.56% Ni, 0.17% Cu, 0.03% Co, 0.34 g/t Pt and 0.85 g/t Pd to a vertical depth of just under 500 m…

7. Atlantic Gold (AGB, TSX) has cut significant mineralization with average true widths of 15 m to 20 m outside of the current resource at its Cochrane Hill Gold deposit in Nova Scotia…the property is 80 km northeast of the company’s central processing facility at the Moose River Consolidated Gold mine…generally, Gold assays are distributed evenly across the mineralized zones…however, as in the case of drill hole CH-18–317, several intersections do include single metre assays with very high Gold values (hole #317 includes 1 m of 466g/t Au within a broader zone of 11 m averaging 43.7 g/t Au)…these higher-grade assays are frequently associated with visible Gold that occurs on the margins of bedding parallel quartz veins within the argillite host rock…Cochrane Hill’s current Measured and Indicated resources stand at 10.66 million tonnes at 1.16 g/t Au for 398,000 ounces at a 0.35 g/t Au cut-off grade…Inferred resources amount to 1.63 million tonnes at 1.32 g/t Au for 69,000 ounces at a 0.35 g/t Au cut-off…

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