1. Gold has traded between $1,521 and $1,533 so far today…as of 7:00 am Pacific, bullion is flat at $1,527…the yellow metal is headed for its biggest monthly gain in over 3 years as concerns about a slowdown in global growth and hopes for rate cuts by central banks worldwide boosted safe-haven bids…meanwhile, Silver is set for its biggest monthly advance since June 2016…Silver is up another 7 cents this morning at $18.31…the metal now has exceptional new support around $17 and a clear path to the $20 level…Nickel has exploded above $8 today to its best levels since December 2014 as supply concerns continue to dominate trading…Nickel is up a whopping 68 cents a pound to $8.15 (see below)…Copper, Zinc and Cobalt are steady at $2.58, $1.03 and $14.29, respectively…Platinum has enjoyed a big week, reaching its best levels in 16 months…Crude Oil is off 36 cents a barrel to $56.35 while the U.S. Dollar Index has declined slightly to 98.44…U.S. inflation remains muted, allowing the Fed plenty of room to cut rates…the Commerce Department reported this morning that its Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index increased by just 0.2% last month, below expectations of a 0.3% rise…annually, core inflation, which is the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, increased 1.6%, unchanged from June’s reading and below the Fed’s 2% target…
2. No U.S. recession anytime soon, despite the anti-Trump mainstream media’s desire for one: U.S. households ramped up their spending in July, providing reassurance that the economy’s decade-long expansion continues to roll on even as manufacturing cools and global growth slows…personal-consumption expenditures, a measure of household spending, increased a seasonally adjusted 0.6% in July from June, a pickup from the previous 2 months…this continues a solid performance by the economy’s main driving force…spending gains bode well for 3rd quarter growth and the near-term economic outlook, helping counter risks including elevated trade uncertainty, trouble in over-regulated, over-taxed overseas economies, and a U.S. manufacturing sector that has cooled off somewhat…
3. Canada’s economy recorded a stronger-than-expected rebound in the 2nd quarter as exports recovered, but weak consumption and business investment cast doubts on the expansion’s sustainability…output grew at an annualized pace of 3.7% in the 3 months through June, Statistics Canada reported this morning, up from a paltry 0.5% increase in Q1…the rebound follows 2 straight quarters of hardly any growth…the underlying details, however, are less impressive…the rebound was driven by the fastest quarterly increase in exports since 2014, but growth in household consumption came to a near halt despite strong gains in incomes, and business investment shrank by the most in more than 2 years…as a result, domestic demand contracted in the 2nd quarter…
4. With all the talk about Gold and Silver these days, Nickel continues to shine the most among metals (up 60% this year) with another powerful move today taking it above $8 a pound to its highest level in nearly 5 years…major new development – key producer Indonesia just stated that it would ban the export of ore from December, a move the market has been anticipating but adds fresh fuel to Nickel’s bull market…Indonesia’s Energy and Mineral Resources Minister Ignasius Jonan said he has signed a new regulation on restricting ore exports, according to a Reuters report…ore exports were originally banned in 2014 but were reopened for certain minerals in 2017 to give miners time to build smelters to process minerals such as Nickel, Copper and Bauxite…meanwhile, adding to supply concerns, a Nickel plant in Papua New Guinea is under investigation after a spill of waste into a local bay that has angered local residents and government officials…the premium for cash Nickel over the 3-month contract on the LME has spiked to a 10-year high of $99 a tonne, signalling tight nearby supply…traders report that Nickel is tight all the way out to June 2020 right now…Nickel inventories in LME-approved warehouses have edged up this month but are still hovering at a 6-year low…
5. The Dow is up another 141 points after the first 30 minutes of trading...in Toronto, the TSX is 23 points higher while the Venture has added 2 pointes to 583 as it continues to attempt to overcome resistance at its 50-day moving average (SMA) in the mid-580’s…higher Nickel prices and expectation of fresh results from Nickel Mountain have given Garibaldi Resources (GGI, TSX-V) another boost in early trading with the stock up 3 cents at $1.70…the GGI chart is exceptionally strong going into month-end with high probability of an immediate/near-term breakout above nearest resistance in the mid-$1.80’s based on a range of technical indicators, meaning a potential gap-up Tuesday when markets re-open after the long holiday weekend…in addition, EL-19–53 has all the makings of one of the best holes drilled in Nickel sulphide exploration in many years…it will get the attention of major players in the Nickel market…theScore (SCR, TSX-V) is up 2 pennies at 67 cents as a bullish trend in that stock also intensifies…
6. Benchmark Metals (BNCH, TSX-V) announced this morning that it has mobilized a 2nd diamond drill rig to test and potentially expand the discovery of widespread intense alteration, multi-phase veining and mineralization at the central resource area of the Lawyers trend…the success of the continuing 2019 field and drilling programs has provided a more thorough understanding of the regional geology, presenting a major opportunity to significantly expand existing resource zones along strike and to depth…the Lawyers project is situated in north-central British Columbia, 45 km northwest of the Kemess mine…the 2019 drilling program has demonstrated success intersecting broad zones of alteration and mineralization in almost every hole (16 out of 17 so far)…to date, all of the 2019 drilling has focused on the core of the Lawyers trend (Cliff Creek, Dukes Ridge, Phoenix and ABG zones) to facilitate a new resource estimate early next year…the drilling has extended mineralization at depth to over 250 m below surface at Cliff Creek and Cliff Creek South and remains open within the central part of the Lawyers trend and along strike…additionally, drilling at Cliff Creek has extended mineralization to over a better than 1 km strike length…drill No. 2 will focus on step-out drilling along strike at 50-to-100-m intervals from known zones at the core of the Lawyers trend (Cliff Creek, Dukes Ridge, Phoenix and ABG zones)…Benchmark’s most recent step-out hole intersected over 140 m of intense alteration and multi-phase veining…BNCH is up 1.5 cents at 38 cents as of 7:00 am Pacific…
7. Fed bias: Former New York Fed President Bill Dudley’s push for the central bank to consider the 2020 election when crafting monetary policy is “grossly irresponsible” behavior, economist Larry Summers stated in an interview on CNBC…in a post on Bloomberg this week, Dudley suggested the Federal Reserve could, and should, try to sway the election against President Trump…Dudley urged current central bankers not to lower interest rates further to cover for any negative effects on the U.S. economy that may arise due to the President’s trade battle with China…“For a former trusted official of the Fed, whose thinking is inevitably going to be tied to the Fed, to recommend that they use rates so as to subvert the economy and influence a Presidential election is grossly irresponsible, and is an abuse of the privilege of being a former Fed official,” said Summers, who formerly was Treasury secretary under President Clinton and as an economic adviser to President Obama…
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