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October 28, 2019

7 @ 7:00

Visit the BMR comments section throughout the day for updates and helpful information!

1. Gold has traded between $1,509 and $1,490 to begin an important new week…as of 7:00 am Pacific, it’s off $12 an ounce at $1,492…Wednesday’s anticipated rate cut by the Fed, which would be its 3rd since July, could end up being a “hawkish” cut given the language it may choose in its new policy statement and the tone of Chairman Jerome Powell’s comments in a news conference that follows…as TD Securities noted this morning, “Our macro team is looking for the committee to communicate patience in deciding future policy moves as they assess the impact of the 3 cuts they have already delivered and look for the Fed to temporarily pause before resuming rate cuts in Q1 2020, which could see the yellow metal look for the lower bound of the range in the near-term”Silver, after shooting into the $18.30’s late last week, has eased off 20 cents to $17.80, the top of a resistance band (potential new support) beginning at $17.70Nickel is steady at $7.56 (see below)…Copper is also unchanged at $2.67 while Zinc has added a penny to $1.17…Crude Oil is up slightly at $56.70 while the Dollar Index has fallen nearly one-tenth of a point to 97.77…profits at Chinese industrial companies fell for the 2nd straight month in September as producer prices continued to slide, highlighting the impact of a slowing economy and a protracted trade battle with the U.S. on corporate balance sheets…the left is back in power in Argentina…voters have rejected the austerity measures of conservative President Mauricio Macri who has conceded defeat to rival Alberto Fernandez, but they’ve also embraced the policies that failed in the past and led to the current crisis…the ticket of Fernandez and former populist President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner won a decisive victory…just hours after the election the central bank imposed significantly stricter controls on the purchase of U.S. dollars, underlining the scale of the economic challenge the country faces…inflation has ballooned to more than 50% while GDP is expected to shrink by 1.2% by the end of the year…the European Union has agreed to extend the Brexit deadline until January 31, opening the way for an early U.K. election if Prime Minister Boris Johnson can persuade opposition parties to agree to hold one…under the EU extension offer, if the U.K. and the EU both ratify the withdrawal deal that Johnson struck with the leaders of the bloc’s member states earlier this month, the country could leave earlier than that date…

2. Indonesia has suspended exports of Nickel ore with immediate effect after a planned ban on shipments from the beginning of next year led to a rush to beat the deadline…the mineral meant for exports during the rest of the year will be absorbed by domestic companies with smelters, Indonesia’s Investment Coordinating Board Chairman Bahlil Lahadalia told reporters in Jakarta today…the government and Nickel miners agreed to halt exports immediately…Indonesian companies with outstanding export contracts will need to find ways to avoid possible penalties, Lahadalia said…China’s imports of Nickel rose to a 5-year high in September, suggesting that users there were in a rush to secure material…almost all of Indonesia’s Nickel ore goes to China…the move to halt Nickel ore exports is in line with President Joko Widodo’s plan to turn Indonesia into a processor of its mineral resources as opposed to a mere suppliuer of raw materials…in August, the government brought forward a planned ban on exports of Nickel ore by 2 years to the start of January, potentially removing millions of tons of supply from the market and threatening a global shortage…

3. The Dow is up a healthy 181 points as of 7:00 am Pacific…the one word that’s not being uttered on conference calls this earnings season is “recession”…the U.S. consumer – the engine of U.S. and global growth – is still holding up, according to CEOs and CFOs who have spoken on their company conference calls in the last few weeks…it’s a big reason why U.S. equity markets could race new record highs this week, opening the door to a fresh leg up in equities…almost 200 companies in the S&P 500 have now reported 3rd-quarter earnings…most have beaten expectations while the economic narrative on conference calls has shifted from “recession” earlier in the year to “slower, but stable growth”…for the first time since the Bank of Canada began fixing the date of its interest rate announcements in late 2000, we have rate decisions scheduled from the Bank of Canada and the Fed on the same day on Wednesday…in Toronto, the TSX is 31 points higher…Wallbridge Mining (WM, TSX) is up a penny at 52 cents…the stock jumped 43% last week, adding about $75 million in market cap, after the company delivered a whopper of a drill hole – 27 g/t Au over 38.4 m (core length, true width unknown) at a vertical depth of 500 m in the Tabasco zone of its Fenelon Property in Quebec…technically, a confirmed breakout has occurred above 47 cents…refer to our Sunday Sizzler for additional insights…neighbor Balmoral Resources (BAR, TSX) is trading at 18.5 cents with the company increasing the size of its private placement for the 2nd time to $3.5 million from the original $1.4 million

4. Canada Cobalt (CCW, TSX-V) is on the move in early trading after news post-market Friday…underground drilling on the first level of the Castle mine at Gowganda near Kirkland Lake is hitting new massive Cobalt, Nickel and Silver mineralization, but what’s also fascinating is that an entirely new high-grade discovery at depth is brewing about a couple of km to the east-southeast…a well-mineralized system immediately east of the Castle and 2 other past producing high-grade Silver mines is showing Gold and base metal potential in the under-explored Archean rocks near-surface and rich Silver-Cobalt potential below the Archean package in the Nipissing diabase at depth…with a new understanding of Castle East geology, aided by multiple drill holes, surface mapping, sampling and geophysics over the past 2 years, drill hole CA-1108 in the middle of the Nipissing basin is now interpreted to have clipped the edge of a potential new deposit with 1,194 ounces per ton Silver and nearly 1% Cobalt over 0.45 m within a 3.1-m core length grading 189 ounces per ton Silver at a vertical depth of 420 m…the odds of this being an isolated “high-grade” hit are extremely low given how these vein systems work in this district…those are exactly the kind of results that led to the discovery of the 3 other high-grade mines within a radius of 2 km…meanwhile, CCW is targeting significant Silver recovery from environmental rehab programs at both the Castle and Beaver mines, while the company reports that its due diligence period for the acquisition of the PolyMet Lab and mineral processing facility is proceeding positively and ahead of schedule…that facility would become the new home of CCW’s proprietary and environmentally friendly Re-2OX Process…CCW is at the cutting edge of the environmental trend with Re-2OX which is highly adaptable and solves an arsenic problem while effeciently recovering multiple metals…there are major economic opportunities related to the clean-up of a district that was the birthplace of Canadian hard rock mining…CCW is up 2 pennies at 37 cents as of 7:00 am Pacific…technical strength continues to build on the confirmed breakout through 33 cents…the rising 50-day is also preparing to cross above the 200-day…

5. Probe Metals (PRB, TSX-V) continues with a minimum of 10,000 m of drilling to expand current Gold resources and extend the coverage of regional exploration at its promising Val d’Or East Project…for the remainder of 2019, the drill program is focused on resource expansion and testing new target on the unexplored ground around the Pascalis and Courvan Gold trends…the exploration program also includes geophysical surveys that will broaden the scope of the company’s regional exploration…David Palmer, President and CEO, stated, “The Val-d’Or East Project has continued to exceed expectations in all aspects of exploration and resource growth.  The recently filed NI-43101 Resource Estimate saw Gold resources more than double from the previous estimate and we see significant upside in the project going forward.  Our belief in the Gold potential of this historically under-explored eastern half of Val-d’Or has been confirmed by our results to date and we will continue to unlock value from this area.  With a strong treasury, we intend to maintain this momentum during the remainder of 2019 and throughout 2020 with extensive drilling and exploration programs”

6. Barrian Mining (BARI, TSX-V) continues to generate strong volume…this morning the company announced results from a 3rd drill hole from a recently completed 1,838-m RC program at its flagship Bolo Gold-Silver Project in Nevada…hole BL19-01 represents one of the highest-grade Gold intercepts to date at Bolo, yielding 3.34 g/t over 29 m, including a higher-grade zone of 4.97 g/t over 13.7 m…the intercept occurs within a broader envelope of mineralization averaging 1.37 g/t gold over 84 starting from surface…these intercepts expand the footprint of Gold mineralization approximately 35 m vertically below the previous drilling on section…mineralization remains open at depth…Maximilian Sali, CEO and co-founder, commented, “We are thrilled with the impressive drill results we continue to release at Bolo, which rank very favourably among all other publicly reported Nevada Gold drill intercepts this year. The results demonstrate exceptional grade and width figures for Carlin-type oxide Gold deposits in Nevada.  Barrian’s choice to focus on Nevada was due to its exceptional Gold endowment combined with the generally low processing costs of heap-leachable Carlin-type oxide Gold deposits.  While Bolo is still an early-stage project, achieving one of the highest-grade intercepts to date with hole BL19-01 further reinforces our belief that there is excellent potential to significantly expand the known Gold zones and make new discoveries.  We continue to look forward to additional results from the South Mine fault and the Uncle Sam silver gold prospects”BARI is unchanged at 22 cents through the first 30 minutes of trading…

7.  A distinct, new high-grade occurrence of Gold mineralization has been found on McEwen Mining’s (MUX, TSX) Stock Property, part of the Black Fox Complex near Timmins…drilling at Stock West has returned 4 significant intersections – 6.7 g/t Au over 39 m (S19-101), 5.6 g/t Au over 30 m, including 9.1 g/t over 13 m (S19-98), 5.6 g/t over 29.1 m, including 15 g/t over 5.1 m (S19-105), and 3.2 g/t over 17.5 m, including 4.3 g/t over 9.5 m (S19-04)…”Results from our first drill holes suggest the potential to define a significant new zone of mineralization at Stock West…Sylvain Guerard, VP-Exploration, stated, “The economic importance is enhanced by being well located right next to our mill and the underground workings of the historic Stock mine”…all 8 holes that were drilled (assays are pending for 2 more holes) intersected the favorable host rock, a coarse-grained magnesite-fuchsite-dolomite carbonated altered ultramafic unit…assay values from the well-mineralized intersections are consistent across the intervals, with Gold present in both the veinlets and within the ultramafic itself…in addition, a pyrite-rich felsic dyke has been intersected in 3 holes…this dyke occurs next to the ultramafic intrusive unit and carries visible Gold throughout…these styles of mineralization differ from most other mineralization on both the Stock and Black Fox properties…

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October 27, 2019

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October 26, 2019

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The Week In Review And A Look Ahead!

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October 25, 2019

7 @ 7:00

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1. Gold has surged to a new 2-week high as it gains traction above $1,500…the yellow metal has traded between $1,502 and $1,515 so far today…as of 7:00 am Pacific, it’s up $9 an ounce at $1,509…Silver, a reliable leading indicator in a precious metals uptrend, was making noise earlier this week and has really caught fire today, exploding through a resistance band between $17.70 and $17.80 before cutting through $18 like a knife through butter…the metal is now up 49 cents at $18.27…$20 Silver is now not far off…a number of factors are driving Silver including an improved industrial demand outlook…many investors are also realizing they have been under-positioned in Silver relative to GoldPalladium is holding above $1,750…Nickel is 5 cents lower at $7.57…Copper is up slightly at $2.65 while Zinc is unchanged at $1.15…Crude Oil has retreated 12 cents to $56.11 while the Dollar Index has added one-fifth of a point to 97.80…overseas, the European Central Bank has lowered its expectations for euro zone growth, predicting the rate will decline to 1.0% next year before rebounding modestly to 1.3% in 2021…inflation is expected to remain muted at 1.2% in 2020 and 1.4% in 2021…fresh U.S. economic data just out – consumer sentiment dipped slightly in October to 95.5, according to the University of Michigan’s Surveys of Consumers…that’s down from a preliminary reading of 96, but above a final September print of 93.2

2. Voters in South America’s 2nd-largest country will head to the ballot box on Sunday, less than 3 months after a dress rehearsal for the vote set off a shockwave in financial markets…it is widely expected that Argentina’s President Mauricio Macri will be defeated by the opposition ticket of leftists Alberto Fernandez and ex-leader Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner…socialist policies and corruption were the genesis of today’s problems in Argentina – at present, inflation is running at an annual rate of 55%, the peso has plummeted, billions of dollars of foreign reserves have fled the country, the economy has been in a deep recession and the country has also had to delay payments on around $100 billion of local and foreign debt…

3. The political left in Canada seems to have no problem with the concept of surrendering this country’s sovereignty to foreign institutions…case in point yesterday when the B.C. provincial government introduced legislation, the first of its kind in North America (also advocated by Trudeau, not surprisingly), to bind the province to the United Nations Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous People which states that resource developments require the “free, prior and informed” consent of affected Indigenous peoples…the proposed law, Bill 41, drafted in consultation with Indigenous leaders, is meant to ensure that all provincial laws and policies align with “internationally recognized rights” of Indigenous people…Premier John Horgan stated, “I’m very excited about putting to rest the notion that there’s a veto involved here (over resource projects). “It’s about having certainty, and the first order of business is to ensure that the people who inhabit the lands and have inherent rights and title to those landscapes are full participants in a discussions about development”...the bill, per se, does not grant First Nations “veto power” over resource development, but does promise redress and restitution (not defined) when consent is not granted…in effecthowever, First Nations will have “veto power” and some will attempt to use it…we’ll see how this process plays out (the Bill still has to be passed by the B.C. legislature) but we’ve seen through the pipeline fiasco that NDP Premier Horgan cannot be trusted…

4. The war against Alberta continues…does federal Green Party leader Elizabeth May want Canada to plunge into a constitutional crisis?…May says NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh should make cancelling the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion a condition for co-operating with the federal Liberal minority government…she says Singh would be exposed as “insincere” in his opposition to upgrading the pipeline if he does not use opposition to the project as a bargaining chip in talks with the government…“The NDP has a lot more power to stop the pipeline,” she said, adding the New Democrats should be prepared to use that power…Singh has declined to discuss his plans for talks with the Liberals on parliamentary co-operation…after the election, Singh continued to express opposition to TMX, but said it is too early to say what the NDP would want in exchange for supporting a Liberal minority government…Trudeau said this week that he wants to pipeline project to be completed as “quickly as possible”, but of course we’ve heard those words before – talk is cheap…May said the Trudeau government’s support for the pipeline expansion did not pay off with seats for the governing party…“Pandering to climate deniers is not a good strategy,” she said…May has it wrong – a majority of British Columbians and Canadians support the TMX…the Liberals’ clumsiness on this issue, their inability to push the project ahead swiftly and the fact they campaigned in Quebec against Western Canada’s Oil and gas industry, cost them seats in Manitoba, Saskatchewan, Alberta and British Columbia…

5. Teck Resources (TECK.B, TSX) plans to cut 500 full-time-equivalent jobs as it focuses on trimming $500 million from its budget through to the end of 2020Teck wants to improve efficiency and productivity after reporting its 3rd quarter profit fell to $369 million, down from earnings of $1.28 billion last year…”While our financial position remains strong, we have implemented a company-wide cost reduction program with reduced spending,” said Teck chief Don Lindsay on a conference call…the company said in a regulatory filing earlier this year it had about 10,000 full-time “regular” employees as of the end of 2018, with about 4,400 in Coal operations, 2,500 in Copper and 2,200 in its Zinc mining sector…the job cuts will be made through attrition, the expiry of temporary contract positions and current job vacancies…the spending reduction target for the balance of 2019 is $170 million, with $120 million in capital reductions and deferrals…for 2020, the company plans to trim a further $330 million in spending, including $130 million from its capital plans…

6. The Dow is up 46 points as of 7:00 am Pacific…robust earnings from Intel (INTC, NASDAQ) helped ease worries about the impact of an ongoing trade battle on chipmakers…Intel’s results and upbeat forecast also helped lift other chip stocks..the benchmark S&P 500 index is set for its best week in 6, while the NASDAQ is eyeing its biggest percentage gain in 7 weeks after most high-profile companies reported rosy results…however, Amazon took a minor hit after disappointing quarterly results (first year-over-year profit decline since 2017), though one bright spot was Amazon’s advertising business which appears to be picking up speed again…more than 38% of S&P 500 companies have posted Q3 earnings thus far, according to FactSet…of those companies, 78% have beaten analyst expectations…the TSX is up slightly with precious metal stocks leading the way…Yamana Gold (YRI, TSX) has reported a strong 3rd quarter with the stock up 33 cents at $4.77 in early trading…the company posted adjusted net earnings of $49.5 million or 5 cents a share, more than double the consensus estimate…Yamana also reported net free cash flow of $99.9 million, exceeding the average of the 3 previous quarters…the 4th quarter is historically Yamana’s strongest…First Majestic (FR, TSX) is breaking out above a bullish flag formation, jumping 54 cents to $14.20Alexco Resource (AXU, TSX), also looking strong technically, has climbed 21 cents to $2.65…on the junior side, Canada Cobalt (CCW, TSX-V), which announced earlier this month that’ll it’ll be carrying out its first official Silver pour by the end of next week, has an opportunity to gain considerable traction on a breakout in Silver…the Venture has added 4 points to 547 as it pushes above its 10 and 20-day moving averages (SMA’s) for the first time since September…more layoffs in Canada’s cannabis sector this morning…embattled grower CannTrust Holdings (TRST, TSX) announced last night that iw was laying off 140 workers, a quarter of its workforce, between late October and the end of the year…

7. Eric Sprott’s recent words on Silver and bank liquidity issues are worth repeating in light of the action in the precious metal markets yesterday and today…“There is going to be a shortage of Silver.  We get information from dealers looking for supply and paying premiums, which is almost unheard of.  And when I look at the amount Silver going into ETFs and going into India, there is no way that there is not going to be a shortage”…on top of that, there is “a huge problem” happening under the surface – ongoing bank liquidity issues and how the Federal Reserve is responding to it…“There’s something happening underneath the surface where bank illiquidity is encountering a huge problem, and we are not being told.  Who knows what’s going on behind the scenes?  The most likely thing is somebody has blown up their derivatives book, and all the banks are calling in loans to other banks for fear…of the domino effect.  The repo market has come under tremendous stress”…the problem became visible to investors in mid-September when the repo rates surged close to 10%, he added…“The fact that they let it happen.  The fact that they weren’t aware that it was happening.  So there’s this huge illiquidity situation in the banking business which they thought they solved”

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