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January 10, 2020

7 @ 7:00

Visit the BMR comments throughout the day for updates and helpful information!

1. Gold has traded between $1,546 and $1,558 so far today…as of 7:00 am Pacific, the yellow metal is up $1 an ounce at $1,553Gold initially firmed up modestly after the release of a slightly weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs report this morning, then quickly gave up those gains, followed by a reversal higher…Gold has a strong new floor at either $1,550 or $1,500, meaning downside risk is limited at current levels…bullion should also start to benefit from traditionally strong buying ahead of Chinese New Year festivities later this month…Silver added 10 cents to $17.96…Palladium hit a new record high of $2,139 this morning…base metals are flat with Copper, Nickel and Zinc at $2.79, $6.35 and $1.08, respectively…Crude Oil has eased off 39 cents to $59.17 while the U.S. Dollar Index is up slightly at 97.50…the expected signing of an interim trade deal between China and the U.S. next week has been giving dollar a boost…the Canadian job market rebounded in December after its worst month since the depths of the financial crisis…a higher-than-expected 35,200 net jobs were created in December, entirely in full-time positions, while the unemployment rate fell to 5.6%, official data showed this morning…Ontario and Quebec led the way…wages for permanent employees rose by 3.8%, Statistics Canada said, lower than the 4.4% gain seen in each of the previous 2 months…

2. U.S. employers added 145,000 jobs in December and unemployment stayed at a 50-year low of 3.5%, capping a 10th straight year of payroll gains (the longest stretch in 80 years of data which points to steady growth heading into 2020)…private-sector wages advanced 2.9% from a year earlier, the smallest annual gain since July 2018…and revisions showed payrolls for November and October were revised down by a net 14,000…for all of last year, the Trump economy added 2.11 million jobs…that was off modestly from 2018’s robust gain of 2.68 million…a cooler pace of hiring reflected employers’ difficulty finding enough workers, global economic uncertainty and the fading effects of 2018’s tax cuts…today’s figures were slightly weaker than expected…economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal had forecast a gain of 160,000 new jobs in December, a 3.5% unemployment rate and 3.1% annual wage growth…in December, employers added jobs in construction and retail…the health-care and professional-services sectors grew, but at a slower pace…employment fell in manufacturing and transportation and warehousing…the Fed will stay the course with today’s numbers…

3. Was Iran’s launch of surface-to-surface missiles Tuesday against Iraqi bases housing U.S. and coalition troops just a smokescreen for something much bigger and sinister a few hours later, such as a deliberate targeting and downing of Ukrainian Airlines Flight 752 carrying 176 passengers and crew including 63 Canadians?…yes, there were dozens of Iranians on that plane, too, but this rogue regime – the world’s leading sponsor of state terror – thinks nothing of oppressing or even killing its own people for a larger goal…did the Iranians target this particular flight as part of their retaliation for the Soleimani killing because they knew there were no American passengers on board, that killing 63 Canadians, some Brits, Germans, Ukrainians and others would be just as effective and wouldn’t cross President Trump’s “red line” of killing an American?…as stated by the leaders of Canada, Australia and the U.K. yesterday, evidence suggests an Iranian missile brought down that Ukrainian plane, though for now they seem to be giving Iran the benefit of the doubt that this was simply an “accident”…knowing the regime, which denies the plane was brought down by a missile, it’s wiser to assume that Iran carried out this act deliberately…a full and proper investigation needs to be carried out…in the meantime, it’s difficult to imagine that Justin Trudeau will stand up for Canada in this matter like Donald Trump stands up for America…Trump will have his hands full maintaining deterrence with Iran this year – this is not a regime that will easily change its behavior, and it’s also one of the best at “plausible deniability”…continued Iran-U.S./coalition friction will help Gold reach new highs this quarter…

4. There is nothing that some fossil-fuel haters won’t attempt to do in order to carry out their radical agenda, encouraged by certain left-wing politicians who say they will use “every tool in the tool box” to help “save the planet”…tensions are rising further in northern British Columbia after the RCMP opened a criminal investigation after discovering “traps” and gasoline-soaked rags in the blockade by a breakaway First Nations group (these people belong in jail) against the $6.6 billion Coastal GasLink Pipeline…the Financial Post reported this morning that RCMP officers on patrol this week along the pipeline blockade found 3 stacks of tires covered by tarps and trees and were staged along with multiple jugs of gasoline, diesel, Oil and kindling as well as “bags full of fuel-soaked rags”…in a release late yesterday, the police said they had found the tires and fire-starting equipment on the Morice West Forest Service Road, which leads into a Coastal GasLink pipeline work camp…dozens of trees had also been felled along the road and other trees were partially cut, in preparation for felling, which the RCMP said created a dangerous hazard…“These concerning items have been brought to the attention of the Wet’suwet’en Hereditary Chiefs (they say they will defy a B.C. Supreme Court injunction against them).  They have also been advised that the RCMP has entered into a criminal investigation under Section 247 of the Criminal Code for Traps Likely to Cause Bodily Harm,” the release stated…Coastal GasLink, a natural gas pipeline project that stretches from Dawson Creek, B.C. to the under-construction $40 billion LNG Canada project in Kitimat, won an interlocutory court injunction against the protestors in the area and an enforcement order from the Supreme Court of British Columbia last week…the enforcement order gives the RCMP a mandate to get involved…

5. Canada Cobalt (CCW, TSX-V) has closed its deal to acquire the only facility (PolyMet Labs) in the Northern Ontario Silver-Cobalt District that combines bullion pouring, bulk sampling, commercial assaying and e-waste processing…just 90 minutes after that news came out, the stock was halted pending additional news, so it should be an interesting morning…the PolyMet deal, completed at an opportune time in the precious metals cycle, provides Canada Cobalt with multiple immediate and long-term revenue streams and other advantages as a fully integrated leader in Canada’s Silver-Cobalt heartland…the lab and mineral processing facility in the town of Cobalt, within just 50 m of a rail line and just a short distance from CCW’s Castle and Beaver properties, will also become the new home of the company’s environmentally friendly Re-2OX Process…Canada Cobalt’s newly-formed wholly-owned subsidiary, Temiskaming Testing Laboratories Inc. (“TTL“), the original name of this facility when it was launched at the height of the Silver rush in the early 1900’s, and privately-held PolyMet Resources Inc. have entered into a definitive asset purchase agreement pursuant to which CCW, through TTL, has agreed to purchase substantially all of the assets of PolyMet for approximately $340,000 in cash and 700,000 CCW shares with warrants…

6. The Dow is up 29 points through the first 30 minutes of trading as it tries to top the 29,000 level for the first time…yesterday saw record closes for the Dow, S&P 500 and NASDAQ…the TSX is down 16 points, though the Gold Index has rebounded 2 points to 252…the Venture is steady at 578…a strong new Venture support band stretches from 580 to 560Cannabix Technologies (BLO, CSE) has been on a remarkable run this month after ending 2019 at just 36.5 cents…the stock touched $1.09 in early trading this morning…on Tuesday the company announced improvements in a critical component of the company’s FAIMS system as it continues to make headway in developing the Gold standard of marijuana breathalyzers…the Venture, already with too many listings, welcomed 12 new issuers in December compared with 4 in the previous month and 12 in December 2018…the new listings were 6 capital pool companies, 5 mining companies and 1 clean technology company…total financings raised last month increased by 75%, compared with the previous month, and were unchanged from December 2018

7.  Nickel update:  Philippine Nickel production is expected to increase by over 8% a year in the next few years despite policy uncertainty that could limit project development, according to a report issued by Fitch Solutions Macro Research“We expect Philippine production to continue rising over the coming years although high levels of policy uncertainty could constrain project development, posing downside risks to our forecasts.  We forecast Nickel production to average 8.6% year-on-year growth over 2020-2028,” Fitch Solutions said in its industry trend analysis published this week…it said that the Philippines will regain its spot as the mineral’s top producer due to Indonesia’s Nickel ore export ban, which took effect this year…Indonesia hopes to accelerate the establishment of domestic smelters to capture more value than the current practice of exporting ore…the United States Geological Survey said in a report in February that Indonesia produced 560,000 tons of Nickel in 2018, taking the top spot, followed by the Philippines with 340,000 tons…

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January 9, 2020

7 @ 7:00

Visit the BMR comments section throughout the day for updates and helpful information!

1. Gold has traded between $1,559 and $1,540 so far today…as of 7:00 am Pacific, the yellow metal is down $6 an ounce at $1,549…President Trump gave a very Reaganesque speech yesterday, restoring deterrence to Iran…peace through strength, which the left and its friends in the mainstream media don’t seem to comprehend, has allowed the winds of war to recede for now, sending Gold down by as much as $72 from its Tuesday night high of $1,612…Trump will have to maintain that deterrence, and emerging this morning is a belief that the Iranians were responsible for the downing of the Ukraine 737 that killed all on board including 63 Canadians shortly after it left from an airport in Iran…Gold has a strong new floor at either $1,550 or $1,500, meaning downside risk is limited at current levels…bullion should also start to benefit from traditionally strong buying ahead of  Chinese New Year festivities later this month…Silver has retreated 22 cents to $17.85…Copper and Nickel are up slightly at $2.80 and $6.41, respectively, while Zinc is steady at $1.10…Crude Oil has eased off 46 cents to $59.15 while the U.S. Dollar Index has rebounded one-fifth of a point to 97.15…the Labor Department will report U.S. non-farm payrolls tomorrow with economists expecting the tally to show a gain of 160,000…a Japanese billionaire is giving away more than $9 million (U.S.) to 1,000 people on Twitter to see if it improves their happiness…in an announcement on YouTube, the tech tycoon called the contest a “serious social trial” to see what impact a million yen could have on a person’s life (unfortunately the entry deadline expired at midnight Tuesday)…

2. Rhodium prices have skyrocketed, which analysts and traders are attributing to strong industrial demand – particularly from the Chinese car market – at a time when supplies are unable to keep pace…further, Rhodium is one of the smallest metals markets, meaning huge spreads right now between “bid” and “ask” prices in limited trading conditions…Rhodium has already jumped about 30% during this 1st half of January with prices last trading around $7,300 an ounce…some commodity analysts and traders say that the 2008 record high near $10,000 is the new target to watch, and prices could remain at historically higher levels even when they do finally correct…“Everyone needs this metal, and we are seeing speculators now entering the market,” said Jonathan Butler, precious-metals analyst and head of business development at Mitsubishi“This has all the makings of a squeeze, and who knows where it will end”…Suki Cooper, precious-metals analyst with Standard Chartered, described the market as undersupplied…“It has very much been a demand-driven story,” Cooper said…“The prospect for future supply is a concern.  But in the near term, it’s being driven by higher (auto) emissions standards.  And given that it’s a small market, we see that tightness materializing in much sharper moves higher”

3. Skeena Resources (SKE, TSX-V), focused on the Eskay Creek and Snip high-grade Gold opportunities in the Eskay Camp, continues to hit new highs…this morning the company provided the remaining results from its 2019 10-hole Phase I surface exploration drilling program at Snip…drilling totalled 1,924 m and tested the 200 Footwall Corridor…highlights included drill hole S-19035 which successfully intersected a new zone of high-grade Gold mineralization averaging 16.6 g/t Au over 5.10 m (core length) including 2 sub-intervals grading 96.2 g/t Au over 0.50 m and 39.8 g/t Au over 0.85 m in the 200 Footwall…this zone is located 100 m vertically below surface and 370 m east of the recently reported Phase I 200 Footwall discovery intercept which graded 1,132 g/t (36.4 oz/t) Au over 1.50 m (S19044)…the area surrounding the new zone is open down-dip and down-plunge…SKE is up a nickel at 84 cents as of 7:00 am Pacific

4. The Dow is suddenly at a new record high again, up 120 points through the first 30 minutes of trading…the TSX is up 42 points with the Gold Index dipping as low as 250 before rebounding to 252 as of 7:00 am Pacific…the Venture is off a point at 577…a strong new Venture support band stretches from 580 to 560Granada Gold (GGM, TSX-V) is up sharply on strong volume after drilling 33 m from surface grading 11.45 g/t Au at its Granada Gold deposit near Rouyn, Noranda…this intersection was within the existing resource but points to the strong potential for areas of significantly higher grade…also in Quebec, QMX Gold (QMX, TSX-V) – in a new uptrend – has retreated to its 20-day SMA at 8 cents…Eldorado Gold (ELD, TSX; EGO, NYSE) recently completed a private placement in QMX at 6 cents…Eric Sprott has purchased 39 million common shares of Jaguar Mining (JAG, TSX) at a price of 18 cents per share ($7 million)…the stock was purchased by way of a block trade with a single vendor…Sprott now owns nearly 50% of Jaguar…the company is developing a Gold project in Brazil…Oreninc tabulates that from May to August 2019 alone, Sprott financed 29 companies and invested a total of $176 million…the Venture, already with too many listings, welcomed 12 new issuers in December compared with 4 in the previous month and 12 in December 2018…the new listings were 6 capital pool companies, 5 mining companies and 1 clean technology company…total financings raised last month increased by 75%, compared with the previous month, and were unchanged from December 2018

5. Palladium One Mining (PDM, TSX-V) has entered into a binding letter of intent (LOI) to buy back an existing 2% net smelter return (NSR) royalty in respect of the historic Haukiaho deposit that forms part of the Palladium dominant LK PGE-Ni-Cu Project in Finland…“The historic Haukiaho deposit is now royalty free,” said Derrick Weyrauch, President and CEO…“Buying back the existing royalty on Haukiaho eliminates a dilutive overhang on the project while also providing future optionality”…the terms of the royalty buyback include a cash payment of $50,000 and issuance of 375,000 common shares of the company on closing…the Haukiaho zone is hosted in the basal unit of the Koillismaa complex and was first discovered in the 1960’s by Outokumpu while exploring for Copper and Nickel…widely spaced historic reconnaissance drilling indicates the mineralized zone extends for at least 12 km along this basal unit…the 2013 historic Haukiaho resource estimate only covers about 2 km of this 12 km trend…the Haukiaho deposit shares many similarities to the nearby Kaukua deposit yet has a higher Copper-Nickel endowment…the historic 2013 Haukiaho resource was based on very widely spaced drilling, and as such the company decided that additional infill drilling was necessary prior to conducting a National Instrument 43-101 resource estimate…as a result, in 2019, the company focused its efforts on the Kaukua deposit and published a resource estimate last September…PDM is up half a penny at 18 cents in early trading…

6. Galway Metals (GWM, TSX-V) has drilled 20.9 g/t Au over 4.75 m at its Clarence Stream Project in southwestern New Brunswick…the latest drilling continues to fill in the gap (now just 425 m vs. 1 km a year ago) with high-grade intercepts between the Richard and Jubilee Zones…given results in this gap area to date, Galway is demonstrating that its interpretation that the Jubilee, Richard and the George Murphy Zones, which cover 2.5 km of strike length, are part of the same system…none of these three zones is in the existing resource which will be updated to incorporate them around the middle of this year…Robert Hinchcliffe, President and CEO, stated, “The Richard and Jubilee Zones are expanding towards each other, which is what we thought would happen, but at higher grades than expected.  Given the strong exploration results and the company’s successful equity financing, Galway has increased its 2020 drilling budget at Clarence Stream to 25,000 m, up from 15,000 m previously.  Galway Metals believes that Clarence Stream is an emerging new Gold district in eastern Canada”…

7. Goldman Sachs is calling Gold a “better hedge than Oil” in the wake of heightened U.S.-Iran tensions…“While tensions in the Middle East have undeniably escalated with Iran reportedly committing to retaliating, we believe that the current risk premium embedded in Brent prices (through time spreads) is already elevated, with an actual supply disruption now necessary to sustain Oil prices near current levels of $69 (Brent) per barrel,” Goldman said in a research report yesterday…“History shows that under most outcomes, Gold will likely rally to well beyond current levels.  This is consistent with our previous research, which shows that being long Gold is a better hedge to such geopolitical risks”Goldman says the Oil market has effectively already priced in an outage of 800,000 barrels a day for 3 months or a 30% chance of a 2.7 million-barrel-per-day outage for 3 months…further, the aftermath of Abqaiq attack last September shows the market has “significant supply flexibility” when Brent is around $70 a barrel, even before shale production rises, suggesting “only moderate upside” in Oil from here…

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January 8, 2020

Daniel’s Den

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7 @ 7:00

Visit the BMR comments section throughout the day for updates and helpful information!

1. Gold shot up as high as $1,612 as Iranian missiles flew over Iraq last night, targeting military bases housing U.S. and coalition targets…there were no U.S. casualties in what seemed like a symbolic response for domestic Iranian consumption after the Trump administration took out Quds Force Gen. and terrorist Soleimani last week…Trump, who is scheduled to address the nation at 8:00 am Pacific (11:00 am EST), has so far shown restraint after last night’s Iranian aggression, temporarily de-escalating the situation…as of 7:00 am Pacific, Gold is down $2 an ounce at $1,572…strong new support at $1,550…Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei vowed further retaliation for the U.S.’s targeted killing of Soleimani, hours after last night’s attacks in Iraq…“Last night, they were given one slap,” he said in a speech broadcast live on state television…“Such military actions are not enough as far the importance of retaliation is concerned.  What’s important is that their corruption-creating presence should end”…Iraqi security forces said 22 surface-to-surface ballistic missiles fell on sites housing U.S. and coalition forces, including 2 that didn’t explode, but there were no casualties…Iran has about 2,000 of these missiles, partly paid for by the flawed Obama-led nuclear deal with Iran that gave the rogue nation and the world’s leading sponsor of state terror access to tens of billions of dollars…meanwhile, was Iran responsible for the downing of a Ukraine plane on its territory last night?…Ukraine has refused to rule out that the Boeing 737 that crashed in Iran and killed all 176 on board, including dozens of Canadians, was struck by a missile…asked at a briefing in Kyiv if the plane could have been downed by a missile, Ukraine’s Prime Minister Oleksiy Honcharuk refused to rule it out, but cautioned against speculation until the investigation concluded…Silver, which ran up as high as $18.93 last night, is now off 7 cents at $18.30…however, strong new support now exists at $18…base metals are firming up with Copper, Nickel and Zinc trading at $2.79, $6.33 and $1.09, respectively…Crude Oil has eased off 71 cents to $61.99 while the U.S. Dollar Index has added more than one-tenth of a point to 97.15…U.S. private payroll growth ended 2019 on a strong note with companies adding 202,000 positions in December in another sign of a healthy labor market, according to a report this morning from ADP and Moody’s Analytics…the total was well above the 150,000 consensus estimate from economists surveyed by Dow Jones and sets the stage for the government’s official count that will be released Friday…economists expect the Labor Department’s tally to show a gain of 160,000

2. Not surprisingly, inflows into exchange-traded products ended a record-breaking year on a strong note, according to the latest data from the World Gold Council (WGC)…in its monthly report, the WGC said that global Gold-backed ETF’s saw net inflows in December of 13.8 tons valued at $486 million…the increase came as prices rallied 4%, pushing back above critical resistance at $1,500 an ounce…according to the WGC, European investors led the way last month, investing $67 million in funds in France, Germany and Switzerland…looking at 2019 as a whole, the WGC noted that Gold holdings hit a new record level of nearly 2,900 tons in the 4th quarter…in total, global holdings for the year increased by 400 tons…North American Gold ETFs accounted for nearly half of all inflows in 2019, the WGC figures show, thanks to growing geopolitical tensions and the first Federal Reserve rate cuts in a decade…along with increased investor interest, the WGC also noted that global central bank demand also helped add to Gold’s bullish lustre last year…looking ahead, analysts at the council said that they expect investor demand to remain robust through 2020

3. Federal spending under Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has reached record highs, just as a new report warns that Canada is sitting on a “demographic time bomb” that will see spending on a rapidly aging population rocket…Liberal spending on public programs reached $9,066 per person in 2019, the highest in Canadian history when adjusted for inflation, according to a report by the Fraser Institute…the spending increase comes as the Trudeau government continues to expand various social programs through increased childcare benefits and higher pension plan contributions, among other things…Jason Clemens, executive vice-president of the Fraser Institute, said higher spending risks putting Canada into a difficult fiscal position that could take years to climb out of, particularly considering an aging demographic and projections of slower economic growth…

4. According to a Financial Post report this morning, senior RCMP officers are in contact with First Nations protestors opposed to the $6.6 billion Coastal GasLink pipeline, trying to negotiate a way for construction work on the project to resume in north-central British Columbia…“Our priority is to engage with CGL, Indigenous communities and government to facilitate a resolution without police enforcement,” RCMP Cpl. Madonna Saunderson said in a statement, adding that the force’s senior commander “has already been in direct contact with representatives of all these stakeholder groups, including the Hereditary Chiefs”…over the weekend, a breakaway group of hereditary Wet’suwet’en chiefs that oppose the natural gas pipeline (the elected chiefs and councils of the Wet’suwet’en support the project) actually asked the RCMP to “refrain from interference” with regard to their now illegal protest (the RCMP are just doing their job if they have to enforce a B.C. Supreme Court judgement and protect a company from those who are breaking the law)…the project is linking gas fields near Dawson Creek to the $40 billion LNG Canada export project in the community of Kitimat…

5. Discovery Metals (DSV, TSX-V) has drilled 34.7 m grading 617 g/t AgEq (200 g/t Ag, 3 g/t Au, 2.9% Pb and 1.6% Zn),including 3.7 m @ 2,524 g/t AgEq, in one of its first 4 diamond drill holes completed at its flagship Cordero Project in Chihuahua state, Mexico (Discovery acquired Cordero through the acquisition of Levon Resources) in  August 2019…results released this morning are part of a 30,00035,000 m Phase 1 drill program that Discovery plans to complete in 2020…the focus of Phase 1 is to 1) delineate, expand and then re-domain areas of higher-grade mineralization within the existing Cordero resource; and (2) test new high priority targets outside the current resource, including targets on the large 35,000 hectare property package that surrounds Cordero…Taj Singh, President and CEO, stated, “These first results from Cordero are very encouraging and support our thesis that within the very large resource area exists a shallow, higher-grade component that could redefine the Project entirely and vastly improve its economics.  The presence of higher-grade Gold in the most strongly mineralized areas is also positive.  Cordero has many attractive features: open-pittable, good metallurgy and excellent surrounding infrastructure.  We look forward to completing the exploration in 2020 required to re-scope and optimize this very exciting property”…results from the other 3 holes were highlighted by 61.6 m @ 42 g/t Ag and 0.39 g/t Au; 94.3 m @ 47 g/t Ag and 0.27 g/t Au; and 59.9 m @ 37 g/t Ag and 0.06 g/t Au…DSV is up a penny at 61 cents in early trading…

6. The Dow is 24 points higher after the first 30 minutes of trading in the wake of last night’s events in Iraq…the TSX is up 29 points while the Venture is off 1 point at 584…a strong new Venture support band stretches from 580 to 560Benchmark Metals (BNCH, TSX-V) has discovered a new and broadly mineralized zone at its Lawyers Project, just 50 m east of the known mineralization at Cliff Creek…results from Benchmark’s drill hole 19CCDD025 include high-grade and bulk-tonnage intercepts comprising 2.09 g/t Au and 87.8 g/t Ag or 3.19 g/t AuEq across 36.3 m core length, including 11.8 g/t Au and 513.2 g/t Silver or 18.24 g/t AuEq across 3.23 m core length…BNCH, at a new multi-year high, is up a penny at 47 cents…Kootenay Silver (KTN, TSX-V) has drilled 7.45 m grading 650 g/t Silver within 39.9 m grading 159 g/t at its Columba Silver Project in Mexico…the overall strike length of the F Vein has increased to 700 m…KTN is off a penny at 31 cents…more assays are pending (108 of 111 samples) from Canada Cobalt (CCW, TSX-V) after the first 3 samples from the first wedge hole at the company’s Castle East discovery returned 1,476 oz/ton Silver (51,583 g/t) over 0.60 m within 1.5 m grading 605 oz/ton…drilling is now being carried out from surface…

7. Goldman Sachs is calling Gold a “better hedge than Oil” in the wake of heightened U.S.-Iran tensions…“While tensions in the Middle East have undeniably escalated with Iran reportedly committing to retaliating, we believe that the current risk premium embedded in Brent prices (through time spreads) is already elevated, with an actual supply disruption now necessary to sustain Oil prices near current levels of $69 (Brent) per barrel,” Goldman said in a research report yesterday…“History shows that under most outcomes, Gold will likely rally to well beyond current levels.  This is consistent with our previous research, which shows that being long Gold is a better hedge to such geopolitical risks”Goldman says the Oil market has effectively already priced in an outage of 800,000 barrels a day for 3 months or a 30% chance of a 2.7 million-barrel-per-day outage for 3 months…further, the aftermath of Abqaiq attack last September shows the market has “significant supply flexibility” when Brent is around $70 a barrel, even before shale production rises, suggesting “only moderate upside” in Oil from here…

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January 7, 2020

BMR Evening Alert!

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7 @ 7:00

Visit the BMR comments section throughout the day for updates and helpful information!

1. Gold pulled back after yesterday’s fresh 7-year high in a healthy unwinding of temporarily overbought conditions, but the yellow metal remains on solid footing above the key $1,550 level…as of 7:00 am Pacific, Gold is up $4 an ounce at $1,569 after dipping as low as $1,559 overnight…UBS says the current backdrop is “quite supportive for Gold” and expects the metal to average around $1,600 an ounce this year…U.S. forces and Patriot missile batteries across the Middle East were on high alert overnight to possibly shoot down Iranian drones as intelligence mounted there was the threat of an imminent attack from Iranian drones against U.S. targets, according to media reports this morning…based on the intelligence, the U.S. is watching for potential attacks specifically against American locations in Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Jordan…meanwhile, cyberattacks, already seen as the top risk of doing business by executives, are likely to receive renewed attention – and spending – as tensions between the U.S. and Iran escalate…holdings of the world’s largest Gold-backed exchange-traded fund, SPDR Gold Trust, rose 0.10% to 896.18 tonnes yesterday, their highest since November 27Silver is up 4 cents to $18.16 as it tries to gain traction above $18…base metals are relatively flat with Copper, Nickel and Zinc trading at $2.78, $6.26 and $1.05, respectively…Crude Oil has eased off 55 cents to $62.72 while the U.S. Dollar Index has rebounded one-third of a point to 96.97…a report from Eurasia Group says the “decoupling” of the American and Chinese technology sectors represents a risk to global investors in 2020…noting that the divide had already disrupted core areas such as semiconductors, cloud computing and 5G, they warn that 2020 could see the split impact the broader economy…some tech experts have speculated that a division between U.S. and Chinese technology could eventually lead to the creation of 2 separate Internets – one led by China, another by the U.S. – in a phenomenon dubbed the “splinternet”Eurasia also warns that the technology separation would provoke further political clashes between the U.S. and China…“The two sides will continue to use economic tools in this struggle – sanctions, export controls, and boycotts – with shorter fuses and goals that are more explicitly political,” analysts wrote…

2. Goldman Sachs is calling Gold a “better hedge than Oil” in the wake of heightened U.S.-Iran tensions…“While tensions in the Middle East have undeniably escalated with Iran reportedly committing to retaliating, we believe that the current risk premium embedded in Brent prices (through time spreads) is already elevated, with an actual supply disruption now necessary to sustain Oil prices near current levels of $69 (Brent) per barrel,” Goldman said in a research report yesterday…“History shows that under most outcomes, Gold will likely rally to well beyond current levels.  This is consistent with our previous research, which shows that being long Gold is a better hedge to such geopolitical risks”Goldman says the Oil market has effectively already priced in an outage of 800,000 barrels a day for 3 months or a 30% chance of a 2.7 million-barrel-per-day outage for 3 months…further, the aftermath of Abqaiq attack last September shows the market has “significant supply flexibility” when Brent is around $70 a barrel, even before shale production rises, suggesting “only moderate upside” in Oil from here…

3. The absurdity of the United Nations is once again on full display as a UN Committee “working to end racism” is urging Canada to immediately stop the construction of 3 major resource projects until it obtains approval from affected First Nations…the Committee on the Elimination of Racial Discrimination, which monitors a convention to end racial discrimination signed by countries including Canada, is calling for a suspension of the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion, Site C dam and Coastal GasLink pipeline…the committee, made up of 18 so-called experts, says in a written directive that it’s concerned by the approval and construction of the 3 projects without the free, prior and informed consent of impacted Indigenous groups…of course, significant impact benefit agreements have been reached with a majority of First Nations covering those 3 projects but that’s apparently not good enough for the UN whose recommendation would literally put many hundreds of Indigenous people out of work…the UN committee has previously demanded a halt to Site C, which is opposed by the West Moberly and Prophet River First Nations in northeast British Columbia (more than $230 million in Site C procurement opportunities have been committed to Indigenous companies and around 400 Indigenous people are currently working on that project)…however, this marks the first time the UN committee has called for a stop to the Trans Mountain and Coastal GasLink projects…the right to “free, prior and informed consent” to resource projects is part of the UN Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples, which Canada has adopted but not yet incorporated into law as Trudeau wishes to do…the B.C. government has become the first jurisdiction in North America to commit to adapt its laws to meet the aims of the UN resolution but has not yet amended legislation…

4. The Globe and Mail reported this morning that RCMP will be cleared by the end of this week to enforce a Supreme Court injunction against protesters who are opposed to TC Energy’s (TRP, TSX) $6.6 billion Coastal GasLink Pipeline Project…Coastal GasLink launched its court case against protesters in November 2018, arguing that defendants Freda Huson and Warner Naziel are the architects behind the Unist’ot’en camp located near Houston, B.C., and that Unist’ot’en is affiliated with Dark House, 1 of 13 Wet’suwet’en Nation hereditary house groups…on December 31, a B.C. Supreme Court judge extended an injunction against protesters, saying construction of the natural gas pipeline has been harmed by Wet’suwet’en blockades…Wet’suwet’en hereditary leaders will likely have until late Thursday or early Friday to remove any obstacles that would prevent workers from getting to their construction sites on one section of the route…enforcement of the injunction order gives the defendants 72 hours to remove any structures in the way…Canada cannot allow an outlier group of First Nations disobey court orders and disrupt a major resource project…

5. Nighthawk Gold (NHK, TSX) has released drill results from seven holes (2,676 m) recently completed within high-grade Zone 3.5 and the southern area of Zone 3.0, part of the Colomac Gold project centrally located within its Indin Lake Gold Property in the Northwest Territories…highlights include 105 m (45 m true width) grading 1.35 g/t Au, including 34.50 m of 2.38 g/t, extending mineralization an additional 60 m to depth in Zone 3.5…this zone is located within the southern portion of the Colomac Main sill and represents one of the better-defined higher-grade areas…current drilling focused on expansion and infill drilling in areas within Zone 3.5’s down-plunge extension to the north and testing the underexplored southern region of Zone 3.0 located immediately north of Zone 3.5results to-date have confirmed that the mineralized sill shows a distinct widening to depth at Zone 3.5, and that a similar expansion of the deposit’s host rock (the mineralized top of the sill) to depth may exist for upwards of 3.5 kilometres of strike to the north…Dr. Michael Byron, President and Chief Executive Officer said, “Previous drilling confirmed that the well mineralized stratigraphic top of the sill (which faces east) at Zone 1.5 and the northern part of Zone 2.0 resembles a wedge form that widens significantly to depth.  Recent drilling has now confirmed that the top of the sill also appears to broaden exponentially to depth at Zone 3.5.  Additional drilling over the 3.5 km of sill that separates these two areas is expected to continue to confirm a universal widening of the mineralized portion of the intrusion to depth.  Should this hold true, Colomac may become a much larger Gold deposit and a stronger prospect for resource development with accelerated growth potential, as some areas have already shown expansions at depth to upwards of 3 times its near-surface true width”NHK is up a nickel at 52 cents as of 7:00 am Pacific

6. The Dow is 83 points lower through the first 30 minutes of trading as geopolitical concerns persist…the TSX, helped by rising Gold stocks, is up 31 points while the Venture has added 1 point to 583…a strong new Venture support band stretches from 580 to 560K92 Mining (KNT, TSX-V) is pushing higher after reporting that its Q4 production exceeded budget by 30%…23,646 ounces Gold equivalent were produced for the quarter at its Kainantu mine in Papua New Guinea…production for 2019 was a record 79,838 ounces of Gold or 82,256 AuEq ounces, compared with production of 47,237 ounces AuEq for 2019…mining operations in Q4 continued to focus on Kora North and comprised cut-and-fill stope mining from the K1 vein at the 1170, 1205 and 1125 mRL levels as well as development tonnes from the K2 vein on the 1225 mRL level…Skeena Resources (SKE, TSX-V) has hit a new high of 81 cents in early trading…Cannabix Technologies (BLO, CSE) has nearly doubled in value in recent sessions…this morning the company announced improvements in a critical component of the company’s FAIMS system as it continues to make headway in developing the Gold standard of marijuana breathalyzers…

7. Probe Metals (PRB, TSX-V) has commenced 2020 drilling at Val d’Or East…90,000 m are planned, one of the largest programs in the region this year, of which 55,000 m will focus on resource expansion, 20,000 m on infill drilling, and 15,000 m on exploratory drilling…3 drills are currently active on the property with another drill to be added next month…additional geophysical and geochemical surveys are planned to expand the limits of exploration within the company’s district scale land package to focus on new discoveries…advanced metallurgical, environmental and geotechnical work will continue to characterize potential development scenarios for the growing Gold resources…David Palmer, President and CEO of Probe, stated, “We anticipate another pivotal year for the project as we expand on the successes achieved during 2019.  The project has grown rapidly since our first exploration programs in 2016, doubling the Gold resource in successive estimates, yet we have still only scratched the surface for exploration.  In the past three years we have explored less than 5% of the area of the project and have already delivered a multi-million ounce resource with multiple new discoveries.  We believe we have confirmed our initial hypothesis that the Val-d’Or East area has the potential to host deposits on a scale similar to west Val-d’Or, which has produced more than 30 million ounces of Gold.  Our goal in 2020 is to continue unlocking ounces in this under-explored half of one of Canada’s most productive mining districts.  We will be working hard for our shareholders in 2020 as we continue to establish the Company as one of the preeminent Gold explorers in Canada”

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January 6, 2020

7 @ 7:00

Visit the BMR comments section throughout the day for updates and helpful information!

1. Gold hit a new 7-year high overnight and is trying to hold most of those gains, up $20 an ounce at $1,572 as of 7:00 am Pacific…tensions in the Middle East are running high after the killing of terrorist and top Iranian general Qasem Soleimani by the United States late last week…the U.S. detected a heightened state of alert by Iran’s missile forces as President Trump warned the U.S. would strike back, “perhaps in a disproportionate manner,” if Iran attacked any American person or target…meanwhile, Iraq’s parliament yesterday recommended all foreign troops be ordered out of the country after the U.S. killing of Soleimani and an Iraqi militia leader (another terrorist) in a drone strike on a convoy at Baghdad airport…Silver has jumped 26 cents to $18.28 as it tries to gain traction above $18…base metals are flat with Copper, Nickel and Zinc trading at $2.78, $6.20 and $1.05, respectively…Palladium has hit the $2,000 level again…Crude Oil has added 42 cents a barrel to $63.47 while the U.S. Dollar Index is down one-tenth of a point at 96.71…the Labor Department releases the December jobs report on Friday…in November, the U.S. economy added a whopping 266,000 jobs and the unemployment rate slipped to 3.5%, matching September as the lowest level since 1969…economists surveyed by the WSJ forecast non-farm payrolls grew by 150,000 in December with the jobless rate holding steady at 3.5%…

2. CNBC used hedge fund analytics tool Kensho to analyze financial markets after 20 crisis events in the Middle East over the last 3 decades, including the attacks on Oil facilities in Saudi Arabia last September…the analysis found that Crude prices see a positive change more than 80% of the time in the month following major events…Gold and stocks followed as the next most successful asset classeslooking at a 3-month horizon, stocks and Oil rallied further while safe haven assets gave up their gains…Treasurys and the dollar post negative returns over this time frame, on average, while Gold prices are actually flat…

3. Wallbridge Mining (WM, TSX) has cut 32.2 g/t Au over 9.7 m in drill hole FA-19094 from the Lower Tabasco zone at its 100%-owned Fenelon Property…this hole, together with previously reported intersections of 22.7 g/t Au over 48.01 m (in hole FA-19086 located 100 m up-dip), 20.9 g/t Au over 8.54 m (in hole FA-1952 located 110 m up-dip to the southeast) as well as visually strong mineralization with assays pending in FA-19103, have defined a high-grade core of the lower Tabasco Zone…in addition, the first 2 deep holes on the Lower Tabasco Zone both intersected the zone, confirming its continuation to a vertical depth of 850 m…the 2 holes are 240 m apart along strike, and over 200 m below intersections in holes #92 and #96…hole FA-19099, the visual description of which was reported in Wallbridge news release December 3, returned 5.06 g/t Au over 15.15 m…hole FA-19104 returned a 26-m core length intersection with visible Gold and sulfide mineralization (assays pending)…“These latest results confirm the presence of a high-grade core to the Lower Tabasco Zone, which is currently defined by three holes 80 to 100 m apart, all with grades of greater than 20 grams per tonne Gold, stated Marz Kord, President & CEO of Wallbridge“In addition, our first 2 deep holes have greatly expanded the known limits of the Lower Tabasco Zone.  A major focus of our fully funded 2020 drill program of 100,000 to 120,000 m will be to complete the infill drilling necessary to bring the Lower Tabasco Zone to resource stage by early 2021WM is up a penny at 91 cents as of 7:00 am Pacific

4. Ascot Resources (AOT, TSX-V) has released further high-grade results from drill holes completed at its Silver Coin deposit, part of its Premier Gold Project near Stewart south of the Eskay Camp…highlights of 30 holes included 6.69 m grading 30.8 g/t, 3.20 m @ 29 g/t, and 4.59 m @ 12.2 g/t…Silver Coin is located approximately 5 km north of the Premier mill and 800 m south of the Big Missouri deposit…in 1991, the Premier mill processed 102,500 tonnes of Silver Coin ore at a grade of 8.88 g/t Au…Ascot acquired Silver Coin in 2018 and is currently preparing a mine plan using side hill access…Derek White, President and CEO, stated, “This concludes results from our 2019 drill campaign at Premier.  This last set of holes produced some outstanding results for the company with thick high-grade intercepts.  Overall at Silver Coin we reported 34 individual intercepts over 10 g/t Gold, including one exceptional 273 g/t Gold interval.  The new intercepts underpin a better understanding and predictability of the geological model and provides Ascot a stronger base to work from for the development of the forthcoming updated resource statement and feasibility study”Ascot will be holding a Webinar this Wednesday at 1:00 pm PacificAscot, which has advanced sharply since the beginning of December, is up 2 cents at 95 cents through the first 30 minutes of trading with the stock testing resistance at the top end of a downtrend line on its long-term chart…

5. Amex Exploration (AMX, TSX-V) has mobilized a third drill rig to its 100%-owned Perron Property near Rouyn-Noranda as part of its continuing fully financed 100,000-m drill program…the third drill will be used to test regional exploration targets along strike to the east and west of the current 3.2-km-long corridor of known Gold mineralization (Gratien Gold zone to Eastern Gold zone)…approximately 20,000 m of drilling will be dedicated to testing unexplored or under-explored structures within the Beaupre rhyolite block, which hosts the Eastern Gold zone, the Gratien Gold zone, the Central polymetallic zone and the Grey Cat zone…the Beaupre block, a highly prospective package that is known to host Gold at the Perron Property, was the subject of a detailed drone magnetic survey flown late last year….Amex expects to announce the interpretation of the drone survey and new drill targets shortly…CEO Victor Cantore stated, “The third drill will be testing areas that have never seen or have seen only very limited drilling in a package of rocks that yielded exceptional Gold results for Amex in 2019.  Two additional drills are currently on site and will continue to explore and define the Eastern Gold zone, Grey Cat zone and Gratien zone.  Approximately 60,000 of our ongoing 100,000-m program has yet to be drilled.  With the completion of our two recent financings of approximately $13 million, the company is very well capitalized for an aggressive exploration program”AMX is off 2 pennies at $1.57 as of 7:00 am Pacific

6. The Dow has fallen another 131 points in early trading today with concerns focussed on the Middle East…the TSX, helped by rising Gold and Oil prices, is unchanged while the Venture has added 1 point to 589 after its 8-session winning streak was snapped Friday…Canada Cobalt (CCW, TSX-V) is up a penny at 67 cents…drilling resumes today from surface at CCW’s high-grade Silver discovery in Northern Ontario’s Gowganda Camp, 30 km south of Alamos Gold’s (AGI, TSX, NYSE) Young Davidson Gold mine and 75 southwest of Kirkland Lake…more assays are pending from CCW’s first 4 wedge holes, including the first hole that cut a spectacular 1,476 oz/ton (>50,000 g/t) over 0.60 m within 1.5 m grading 605 oz/ton (assays pending for the remainder of a strongly mineralized 4.65-m intercept)…the massive native Silver vein shoot has been discovered at depth immediately adjacent to 3 past producing high-grade Silver mines…meanwhile, the Archean rocks above and below the Nipissing diabase (gabbro) hosting the Silver are prospective for high-grade Gold…some quality non-resource issues are picking up steam to begin the first full trading week of 2020Score Media & Gaming (SCR, TSX-V) is up 3 cents to 84 cents as it closes in on a new 52-week high…Antibe Therapeutics (ATE, TSX-V) has added a penny to 46 cents while Bee Vectoring Technologies (BEE, TSX-V) is threatening to break out above mid-40’s resistance, unchanged at 46 cents…

7. Newmont Goldcorp (NGT, TSX; NEM, NYSE)the world’s biggest Gold-mining company, says it’s focused on returning capital to shareholders as a new decade begins…the company this morning announced a plan to increase its dividend by 79% to $1 per share…the increased dividend would become effective upon approval and declaration of the first-quarter dividend in April…“We are pleased to announce a planned increase to our annualized dividend by 79% to one dollar per share and will continue demonstrating our disciplined approach to capital allocation and the confidence we have in our business to deliver substantial future cash flows and returns for shareholders,” stated Tom Palmer, President and CEO…“Our first-quarter dividend will offer investors a highly competitive dividend yield and enhanced returns from owning shares of the world’s leading Gold company”

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