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May 1, 2011

The Week In Review And A Look Ahead: Part 2 Of 3

Gold Bullion Development (GBB, TSX-V)

Gold Bullion was off a penny for the week, closing at 46 cents, and announced a private placement financing after the close Friday which could add as much as $5 million to the company’s treasury…most of the financing is at 61 cents on a flow-through basis which is a departure from previous financings which have all been hard cash…nonetheless, the money is needed as GBB pushes to advance the Granada Gold Property…GBB was up 2.5 cents for the month of April and got as high as 56 cents on a buy recommendation from Doug Casey’s International Speculator…selling pressure, as indicated by the CMF, is at levels not seen since May of last year which we view as a positive contrarian sign…for the past eight weeks Gold Bullion has traded between its 300-day and 500-day moving averages (SMA), a pattern that seems likely to continue for the immediate future until an event or news produces the most likely scenario which we believe is an upside breakout…investor patience is critical here as this opportunity is as big as ever despite the share price slump which started in mid-February…GENIVAR is expected to complete an initial 43-101 resource estimate for the LONG Bars Zone sometime during the third quarter and that should spark significant new interest in GBB…given the obvious multi-million ounce potential of the LONG Bars Zone, the company’s current market cap of $73 million seems absurdly cheap despite a few miss-steps we believe GBB has made that we’ve already identified…more drill results were released April 5…there were no eye-popping numbers but that’s okay – virtually every hole continues to hit near-surface mineralization and tonnage keeps building…hole #179 (72.25 metres grading 1.25 g/t Au and 156 metres of 0.61 g/t Au) shows mineralization continues to push eastward from Pit #1…six holes drilled just NE and SE of #179 under the waste pile will be important to look for (holes #198, #199, #201, #248, #250, and #253 – assays to come)…hole #97 was a nice cut likely of Vein #2, 46.7 metres grading 1.51 g/t Au…holes like #69, #124, #136 and #193 don’t get most investors excited but they’re very important to the overall picture with long intersections of lower grade (177, 113, 189 and 165 metres respectively grading between 0.31 and 0.42 g/t Au)…Frank Basa will have no problem with those numbers, keeping in mind the “upgrading” effect at Granada…structure is there…more bulk sampling and different types of drilling will quantify and improve the grade…just a few holes reported from the southwest corner of the Block Model with many more to come from there – it continues to be a promising area…there were a smattering of holes from the Eastern Extension but nothing that jumped out at us…many more results are yet to come from the Eastern Extension including the northern part where good visuals were reported earlier…it’s interesting to note that on GBB’s drill map, three step-out holes have been drilled about 90 to 145 metres north of holes #55 and #108…we’ll be watching closely for results from those holes…assay results are now in on nearly half of the 228 holes completed so far (45,000 metres) in Phases 2 and 3…47,730 metres in total have been completed since December, 2009…the case for the LONG Bars Zone remains intact…much, much more drilling lies ahead as this is all about volume (which is why we wanted to see more than two rigs by 2011)…the 43-101 this summer will be extremely helpful in terms of pushing this exciting project forward…Gold Bullion is sitting on a potentially huge near-surface Gold deposit in one of the best jurisdictions in the world for mining and exploration during the greatest bull market in history for the yellow metal…on April 11, Gold Bullion announced its intention to spin off its Castle Silver Mine Property into a separate publicly traded company…such a move makes good strategic sense and Gold Bullion is hoping the proposed transaction will be completed before the third quarter of this year…that could be optimistic as this type of move typically runs into unexpected delays but the important point is that GBB is going in the right direction with this important asset…Castle is a significant former producer with a lot of unexplored potential for cobalt and silver, in particular, in addition to nickel and copper…GBB has gained 557% since we introduced it to BMR readers 16 months ago and much more excitement in our view is yet to come from the LONG Bars Zone…

Cadillac Mining (CQX, TSX-V)

Cadillac was unchanged at 17 cents on light volume again last week…the company issued a news release Wednesday, updating drilling progress by partner Visible Gold Mines (VGD, TSX-V) on the Cadillac Break Project that was optioned to VGD last December…two holes have been completed on the Kanasuta claims within 800 metres of Vantex Resources‘ (VAX, TSX-V) Moriss Zone discovery at its Galloway Project in Dassarat township, approximately 30 kilometres west of Rouyn-Noranda…Visible Gold is expected to drill two more holes before moving that rig eastward to ground within 2,800 metres of Richmont Mines’ (RIC, TSX) growing Wasamac deposit…no mention was made in the Cadillac news release of its seven 100% owned claims that are tied on to Wasamac…at the end of February the company announced it was “getting ready” for an exploration program at its Wasa claims and that it expected to announce details of its exploration program in the near future…in our view, Cadillac would be far better off optioning those claims as well to Visible Gold which is in a much better position in every way to aggressively tackle the great potential of that property…Wasamac has helped propel Richmont’s share price to an all-time high of nearly $10…despite our frustration that Cadillac has missed a huge opportunity so far to take advantage of the Wasamac situation, the company’s potential remains exciting given its strategic land package in northwestern Quebec, the astute acquisition of a former Gold-Silver mining camp in Utah, and the tight share structure…the current market cap is only $4.25 million which allows for plenty of upside…management’s challenge is indeed to show that it’s capable of “seizing the moment” and driving shareholder value through opportunities the company has been blessed with…

Abcourt Mines (ABI, TSX-V)

Abcourt was off half a penny for the week, closing at 16.5 cents…a declining 50-day moving average (SMA) has been putting some pressure on the stock which is supported by rising 200 and 300-day SMA’s at 15.5 and 14 cents, respectively…after announcing the closing of a $6.32 million financing April 21, ABI released more drill results last Tuesday from its Abcourt-Barvue Silver-Zinc Property near Val d’Or…the results from five additional holes suggest growing open pit reserves and resources…two zones continue to produce significant grades including 9.1 metres of 171.73 g/t Ag and 3.48% Zn in hole #20 (zone 1) and 7.3 metres grading 196.32 g/t Ag and 3.73% Zn in hole #19 (zone 1)…the 10,000 metre drill program continues…the last set of results from the company’s Elder-Tagami Gold Property near Rouyn-Noranda came out March 3…mineralization continues to expand to the west of the former underground Elder Mine…the Tagami area to the north, meanwhile, has untapped potential including some higher grades…the latest NI-43-101 resource estimate of 216,000 ounces was released in the summer of 2009…the possibility of Abcourt expanding that resource beyond 500,000 ounces certainly exists given the encouraging results to date (look what Richmont has done at Wasamac)…the heavy accumulation that began in Abcourt in December was no fluke in our view…this is a company with significant assets that could justify a substantially higher valuation…nearly 60 million shares of ABI changed hands on the CDNX in December and January – record volume for this stock, accompanied by a price jump from 14.5 cents…we’ve seen these type of volume surges before and they are always a very positive sign…Abcourt is being accumulated, and our best guess is that some savvy players like the assets in the ground…continued drilling success and even higher prices for Gold, Silver and zinc would be exciting developments for this stock which has a history of major moves…from mid-2005 to early 2006, Abcourt rocketed from 15 cents to nearly $1.40…

Currie Rose Resources (CUI, TSX-V)

Given its bullish chart patterns and the pending start of a major drill program at its properties in Tanzania, we consider Currie Rose to be one of our best opportunities for the month of May…the stock closed up a penny last week to 18 cents and remained above its 50-day moving average (SMA) throughout April…the 50-day has flattened out and appears ready to reverse to the upside in the very near future which would be another bullish development in addition to the just completed “cup with handle” formation…we are particularly excited about Currie Rose’s Sekenke Project in northwest Tanzania which we regard as the company’s #1 play as it holds major blue sky potential…Sekenke covers a lot of promising ground and runs in between and surrounds two former high grade Gold mines including one of Tanzania’s original producers…Sekenke will likely be the first target of CUI’s upcoming drill program…while its Tanzanian properties are the market’s major focus, Currie Rose could also benefit over the coming weeks and months from continued good exploration news from Trueclaim Exploration (TRM, TSX-V) which is currently conducting an 8,000 metre drill program at the Scadding Gold Property near Sudbury…Trueclaim, which released encouraging new assay results last week including 10 metres grading 3.5 g/t Au, has earned a 51% interest in Scadding and can acquire a full 100% interest by completing a feasibility study, paying $2 million to Currie Rose, and giving Currie Rose a 3% net smelter royalty…CUI announced a joint-venture deal January 25 with Australian-based Liontown Resources for Currie’s Jubilee Reef Gold Project in Tanzania…CUI’s focus is on the Sekenke and Mabale Hills Projects, so finding a partner for Jubilee Reef made sense…the deal commits Liontown to at least 5,000 metres of drilling at the property this year which will give Currie Rose a minimum of 23,000 metres of drilling at all of its properties in 2011…while Currie Rose has had its market cap shaved considerably, from a high of nearly $40 million to the current $16 million, what hasn’t changed is the quality of this company’s project portfolio which remains as high as it ever was in our view…Currie Rose has all the cash it needs ($2 million) to complete an initial major round of drilling (10,000 metres) this spring and summer in Tanzania, so there will not be any dilution of the stock at current levels as confirmed by President and CEO Harold Smith…

Richfield Ventures (RVC, TSX-V)

Richfield, moving of course in step with New Gold Inc. (NGD, TSX) was up 32 cents last week to close at $9.69…on April 19 it announced more outstanding drill results from its Blackwater Project in central British Columbia including 82 metres grading 3.29 g/t Au over the northern section which is a joint venture with Silver Quest Resources (SQI, TSX-V)…of course at the beginning of April, Richfield announced a plan of arrangement with New Gold for a takeover of Richfield (in NGD stock) valued at that point at $10.38 per RVC share or $550 million…the drop in New Gold’s share price has been a knee-jerk reaction to some potential share dilution without investors properly considering the enormous possible benefits down the road to this company if it were to add Blackwater as a producer…we’ve been speculating on a potential buyout of Richfield for some time now…the proposed deal is certainly a very positive fit for New Gold whose New Afton Project in the interior of British Columbia, not far from Blackwater, is on target to start production by the middle of next year…New Gold sees some obvious synergies between the two deposits…Richfield recently outlined approximately 4 million ounces of Gold in the indicated and inferred categories at Blackwater in a NI-43-101 resource estimate released March 2…will another company step into the picture and start a takeover battle for Richfield?…the possibility of that can’t be ruled out, especially with Gold as strong as it is and the likelihood in the minds of some that the current resource at Blackwater could be expanded significantly…we’re now living in a world where there is a fierce battle for resources of all types…Richfield is up 708% since we introduced it to BMR readers in December, 2009, at $1.20…the Blackwater Gold District is still full of opportunity for investors and we encourage readers to check out the web site, www.BlackwaterGoldDistrict.com…we also see great value in New Gold which has been exceeding analysts’ expectations with terrific numbers…New Gold’s AGM is this coming Wednesday, May 4, when the company will also be releasing its Q1 results and no doubt commenting on the potential benefits of the proposed Richfield acquisition…

4 Comments

  1. When is third quarter for gbb?
    Any guess as to monthly timing for Castle Mine spin-out and first 43-101 report?

    Comment by bob — May 1, 2011 @ 7:56 am

  2. My reference to the third quarter meant the July-August-September period, not to be confused with GBB’s third quarter….GBB’s year-end is June 30th…….it’s third quarter therefore is Jan-Feb-March…….

    Comment by Jon - BMR — May 1, 2011 @ 10:52 am

  3. With CQX aquisition of the mining camp in Utah and record prices of gold and silver is there any possibility of them reopening the mine and working it as is?
    To generate some sort of cash flow or is exploring the only way to go there?

    Comment by Ed — May 1, 2011 @ 1:42 pm

  4. Exercise your right to vote for a Conservative majority which has been the most market-friendly party in Canada, that’s OFCOURSE if U like generating an income from the stock market!!??

    Comment by Forb — May 1, 2011 @ 4:47 pm

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