Gold is recovering today after dropping about $100 an ounce over four trading sessions…as of 8:45 am Pacific, the yellow metal is up $19 an ounce at $1,492…Silver, which endured its biggest one-day drop since 1980 yesterday, fell again this morning and touched nearly $33 an ounce before finally rebounding…it’s currently up $1.35 to $36.01…the amazing drop in Silver this week was magnified by traders and investors who sold out of sheer panic or who were forced to sell due to margin calls…the U.S. Dollar Index, which rallied sharply yesterday, is up another one-fifth of a point at 74.26…a sustained rally in the U.S. Dollar, which is possible, could put additional downward pressure on commodities over the short-term though we have seen periods when the U.S. Dollar and Gold have both climbed higher together…public opinion has never been more negative on the greenback since 2003…turnarounds or rallies are born in conditions of extreme bearishness…Goldman Sachs, which last month predicted this week’s major correction in oil prices, said this morning that oil could surpass recent highs by next year due to supply tightness…the Wall Street bank, seen as one of the most influential in the commodities business, said it did not rule out a further limited decline in oil prices in the short term…markets are getting a boost today from a positive though somewhat deceiving U.S. jobs report which showed that employment increased significantly more than expected last month as private companies created jobs at the fastest pace in five years…job growth, however, barely kept up with the expansion of the labor force and the jobless rate rose to 9% which underscores how difficult it’s going to be to put a serious dent in the unemployment rate…nonfarm payrolls rose 244,000 last month, the most in 11 months, according to the Labor Department but that number was aided by a move from McDonald’s to hire 50,000 new workers…the private sector accounted for all of the job gains last month with payrolls rising 268,000, the largest rise since February, 2006…April marked seven straight months of net job creation in the U.S. but 13.7 million Americans remain out of work…another measure of unemployment rose as well – the so-called “real” unemployment rate, which increased to 15.9 percent, up two-tenths from the prior month…the government calls the rate the “U-6” and it measures not just those looking for work and unable to find jobs but also those “marginally” attached to the labor force and those who are working part-time but who want full-time work…U.S. home prices have double-dipped nationwide and are now lower than their March, 2009 trough, according to a new report from Clear Capital…due to the fragile economic recovery, debt issues and global risks, there can be little doubt we’re in an extended period of very accommodating monetary policy from the Federal Reserve which should prevent any kind of a market meltdown…the CDNX almost touched its 200-day moving average (SMA) yesterday, reaching a low of 2045, and it did hit extreme oversold RSI conditions which strongly suggested a low was being put in…the CDNX is sharply higher this morning, up 49 points to 2097…RSI(2) can be very effective in picking market lows as John illustrates in this chart…
Currie Rose Resources (CUI, TSX-V) staged a bullish reversal yesterday on CDNX volume of 1.1 million shares…we believe this could be a superb month for Currie Rose as exploration resumes on its properties in Tanzania…we are particularly excited about CUI’s Sekenke Project which runs in between and surrounds two former high grade Gold mines including one of Tanzania’s original producers (140,000 ounces of Gold with an average grade of 15.4 g/t Au)…the ground immediately surrounding these former mines has to be considered highly prospective…indeed, Currie Rose has already identified a large structure (12 km x 800 metres) within a shear zone on the margins of a large granite intrusion that hosts numerous quartz reefs of the same type and even larger than those that developed at the nearby historic mines…the company has a map of this on its web site and it’s quite stunning…the Sekenke Project is in the prolific Lake Victoria Gold Fields of northwest Tanzania where numerous major deposits exist…the chart, which includes the completion of a “cup with handle” pattern, and the fundamentals both suggest Currie Rose is about to head higher…it’s currently off half a penny at 15.5 cents…Visible Gold Mines (VGD, TSX-V) appears to have found a bottom at 29 cents, just above its rising 500-day moving average (SMA), after hitting extremely oversold levels this week based on RSI and Stochastics…it’s currently up half a penny at 31.5 cents…20 cents appears to have been the bottom on GoldQuest Mining (GQC, TSX-V), as predicted, as it too fell into extreme oversold conditions…GQC is up 2 pennies at 23 cents…Gold Bullion Development (GBB, TSX-V) is an absolute gift below 40 cents in our view…it’s up a penny at 39 cents after dropping as low as 37.5 cents in yesterday’s sell-off…it’s amazing how investors can sometimes throw fundamentals completely out the window…GBB is edging closer to a 43-101…there is no denying the multi-million ounce potential of the LONG Bars Zone which makes the risk-reward ratio on GBB at the moment incredibly attractive…
Hello Jon, You don’t mention CQX currently down to .11! I’m not surprised because I don’t see what it offers (it’s all talk and speculation from someone that sounds as if it as a hobby for retirement). Are you going to provide that “Rollback” list of bargains that you mentioned in mid March? Thanks. 🙂
Comment by Andrew — May 6, 2011 @ 9:28 am
Will we see any coverage of Revett in near future?
Comment by J.C. — May 6, 2011 @ 10:25 am
has GBB already spun out the silver mine to share holders? If not, what is the date you must be a share holder to receive these shares?
Thank you.
Comment by john — May 6, 2011 @ 10:48 am
Hi Jon
What do you think about CQX at the moment, it has fallen a lot under so low volume for the last weeks. You say before that CQX was one of this years top pick. Is this still your opinion? CQX is also cooperating with VGD and VGD was one of a very few winners last day, the only positive I can see right now regarding CQX , can you give us your opinion for the moment about CQX
Thanks Jon and BMR!
Bosse
Comment by Bosse — May 6, 2011 @ 11:22 am
I am personally very disappointed where CQX is trading at right now and it all boils down to the company not taking advantage as yet of the opportunity they have at Wasamac….I will go into this more over the weekend…….keep in mind, this is a stock that can move in a real hurry as we saw in late November/early December…….
Comment by Jon - BMR — May 6, 2011 @ 11:32 am
Thanks Jon, do you mind if I ask if you still hold a position in CQX? Thanks and have a good weekend.
Comment by Andrew — May 6, 2011 @ 11:57 am
A lot of people losing the plot here. No one likes the action of late but it is all part of the most lucrative stock exchange in the world. I have made plenty of money over the years here and I dont see why this year will be any different. Things are pretty crappy right now but I’m positive there WILL be a rally this year and when it happens take your profits. Unfortunately I dont know when but it will happen and that will be the time for serious profits. Its all a big casino really but cash in your chips when the right time comes. Precious metals will be part of whatever replaces the current flawed system of currency so it is all just a matter of time.
Comment by Patrick — May 6, 2011 @ 1:48 pm
Seafield Analysis??
I noticed coverage of this stock is quietly being pushed under the rug. Last coverage was it was verging on the 10,000 SMA average? Roodenburg is steering this ship to disaster from what the charts looks like. I can’t believe BMR was recommending this stock ever since it popped in December. Any investors that got in during these last few months are definitely losing on this one, and unfortunately including myself!
Comment by Mike — May 6, 2011 @ 7:05 pm
Mike, your to funny. Patrick, we will see a little up move in the CDNX, but a further drop in the summer months possibly testing the 1920 range. The fall is going to be great. The panic mania for gold as many have talked about will be the fall of 2012. There will be some events in China that will cause an enormous rise in gold in nov and dec. of 2012.
Comment by david — May 6, 2011 @ 7:31 pm
David, what events in China are you referring to? Also, I’m curious to know about the fall of 2012. Thanks.
Comment by Bruce — May 7, 2011 @ 6:44 am
Would love to see BMR start to cover some stocks in the Yukon. The Yukon seems to me like Nevada was in the 1950’s. It is wide open still and we are on the heels of significant discoveries by Underworld Resources, Kaminak Gold Corp, ATAC Resources, etc. The field and drill season has just opened up there. There are a dozen or more juniors up there with small market caps and significant exploration programs for this summer.
Comment by Michael — May 8, 2011 @ 8:26 am