Gold is softer this morning ahead of today’s Fed policy statement…as of 6:25 am Pacific, the yellow metal is down $10 an ounce at $1,656…Silver is off 22 cents at $31.83…Copper has retreated 3 pennies to $3.76…Crude Oil is 56 cents lower at $98.39 while the U.S. Dollar Index is up nearly half a point at 80.19…
Dow futures as of 6:25 am Pacific are pointing to a modestly lower open…the Venture Exchange closed down 13 points on profit-taking yesterday to 1576…the Index is looking very strong and has plenty of support, so we view any additional weakness as an opportunity right now…
Fed Could Influence Markets Today
The Federal Reserve is set to issue its latest policy statement at 12:30 pm eastern today, followed by chairman Ben Bernanke’s news conference at 2:15 pm…the Fed is widely expected to keep monetary policy on hold with forecasts expected to show interest rates will be near zero for at least two more years…today’s new conference will include details of where Fed members expect the federal funds rate to be at the end of each of the next three years, and when they expect the first rate hike will occur…
Obama’s Campaign Speech
President Obama’s State of the Union address last night was more of the same from this President – government is the solution to America’s problems, an approach that really goes contrary to American tradition…Obama put very little emphasis on the debt and spoke at length about how government can do this, that and just about everything else at a time when it’s almost broke…how does that make any sense?…people’s expectations of government need to be reduced at this time, not inflated, and individuals need to exhibit more personal responsibility…one certainly can’t expand the scope of government in the United States without a major tax increase…of course Wall Street was blamed for the financial crisis (government certainly could never have contributed to it, could it?) and the “rich” need to cough up more to the government in taxes…quite simply, Obama wants to take from those who have and redistribute it to those who don’t…that’s what all good socialists aspire to do…he did not propose fundamental across-the-board tax reform which is necessary…the 2012 elections will be all about the role of government in Americans’ lives…Obama sees government as a positive force…government doesn’t need to be restrained or limited in his view…that’s very much the same thinking that guided Canada’s Pierre Trudeau, and Canadians are still paying for what he inflicted on this country…the only good thing about Obama’s speech last night was that it paints a very clear choice come November…if the Republicans can get their act together, Obama will thankfully end up being just a one-term President…
Europe – Massive Monetary Easing Required?
Europe needs “massive monetary easing” to get out of its debt crisis, otherwise Greece will likely abandon the euro in a year and a half, famous economist Nouriel Roubini told CNBC yesterday…private investors who lent Greece money, such as banks and investment funds, are meeting in Paris after talks on a debt swap that would change shorter maturity Greek bonds for longer maturity ones to give the country more chances to reduce its debt were inconclusive last week and earlier this week…
Silver
One of our readers was asking about the Sprott Physical Silver Trust (PHS.U, TSX) after our piece Monday regarding Silver after we listened to a presentation by Sprott Private Wealth CEO David Franklin at the Vancouver Resource Show…we’re very bullish on Silver and that was before hearing Franklin who called Silver “the investment of the decade”…anyway, below is a chart from John on the Sprott Physical Silver Trust which recently raised $350 million for a major physical purchase of Silver last week…
Seafield Resources Update
More solid results from Seafield Resources‘ (SFF, TSX-V) this morning from the company’s Miraflores Project in the Quinchia District of Colombia…drill hole #24 intersected 167.75 metres grading 1.05 g/t Au and confirms the continuity of mineralization at depth…another hole, #25, has extended mineralization of the breccia pipe to the southwest, outside of the known resource area…Seafield CEO Cesar Lopez is doing a terrific job with this company and we’re convinced it’ll be a great performer in 2012, especially with a turnaround in the markets…Seafield is also working on its Dos Quebradas Property and we wouldn’t be surprised if the company expands its presence in the Quinchia District or picks up additional land elsewhere…Lopez seems very aggressive and determined to make things happen…
BMR’s Rainbow Resources’ Interview
As mentioned yesterday, BMR has conducted an extensive and revealing interview with Rainbow Resources’ (RBW, TSX-V) President David Johnston…we’ll be incorporating that interview into a major article that’s being worked on now…we threw some tough questions at Johnston and he handled them gracefully and professionally…the bottom line with RBW is this…up until several months ago, the stock was essentially a shell…by acquiring Braveheart Resources, Rainbow’s fortunes have changed dramatically and the trading activity the past couple of months reflects that…Rainbow’s new assets include individuals such as Johnston and well-known and respected Calgary businessman Bob Libin, plus an attractive West Kootenay land package assembled and developed by Braveheart…one of the properties (Ottawa) was the #1 producer in the Slocan Mining Camp in the 1900’s with phenomenal grades (approximately 2,000 g/t Ag)…the International Property, though, could be the best of them all…Johnston says he’s eagerly looking forward to the upcoming 43-101 report on all the properties (which will include historical information) in the very near future…I also got the sense he may have some interesting “irons in the fire” as he clearly stated we can expect Rainbow to be very aggressive in 2012…
Below are a few excerpts from my very lengthy discussion with David Johnston that we’ll be turning into a major article…
About Building A Company
“The most important thing is your people.”
About Values
“Integrity – you have it or you don’t, that simple. You can’t have a little bit of integrity for one thing, and maybe just so much for another. You have it or you don’t.”
About Life
“All life is, is solving problems. Case closed. That’s all it is. If you get up in the morning and you got problems to solve, you’re lucky. And if you don’t have any problems to solve, you should throw yourself on your knees immediately and ask God to give you some problems to solve. When you get up and you got a handful of problems, just get at them. Start working on them. I’m a survivor, my father was a survivor. Most everyone I hang around with is positive. Negative people don’t migrate in my direction because I won’t allow them to suck the energy out of me.”
About The International Property
“We now have close to 16 square miles around the area we hope to make a mine. It has been almost seven years of our own development (through Braveheart). That property was a significant discovery in the early 1900’s but the Depression, the War, access issues and the crown grants being in the wrong hands prevented development. Access is now excellent, we have the crown grants and the area all around the crown grants.”
About RBW’s Overall Land Package
“When the oldtimers found the outcrops, when they found the rich veins on the surface, they followed them to the end and took the easy stuff away. Some of the adits we’ve been in, you can see where they mined and went in with hand tools. They went right by veins they never touched or bothered with. They never drilled a single hole, ever. So none of these areas has been drilled. The surface has only been scratched.”
About Vision And Going Forward
“Building shareholder wealth is our focus. We have the right people and the right strategy to do it. And some fabulous properties. Just watch.”
Additional Charts
John has three additional charts this morning including this update on Arian Silver Corp. (AGQ, TSX-V) which we first mentioned last week when it was trading in the upper 20’s…the company hopes to produce about 500,000 ounces of Silver this year at its San Jose Project in Mexico and will be updating its 43-101 resources after the current Phase 4 drill program which is nearing completion…so AGQ is currently generating cash flow and could benefit substantially from anticipated higher Silver prices as the year progresses…
Note: John holds a position in AGQ (Jon and Terry do not).
Two other interesting situations, from a technical perspective at least, are Huldra Silver Inc. (HDA, TSX-V) and Hana Mining Ltd. (HMG, TSX-V)…John has charts for both below…
Hulda Silver
Note: John, Jon and Terry do not hold positions in HDA.
Hana Mining
Note: John, Jon and Terry do not hold positions in HMG.
President Obama’s Campaign Speech
The Americans have a clear choice, re-elect a Democrat, or one
of the Rebublicans, who just can’t get their act together, so says
BMR.
Europe – Massive monetary easing required ?
Do the question mark at the end of the above noted line mean
they do or they don’t ?
RBW interview –
BMR – I also got the sense he may have some interesting “irons in
the fire” as he clearly stated we can expect Rainbow to be very
aggressive in 2012…
Bert – Isn’t that how we got in trouble in the past, having a sense,
while not having concrete proof.
——————————
Sorry BMR, but my brain just couldn’t resist. R !
Comment by Bert — January 25, 2012 @ 7:06 am
Thanks for the charts, John and Jon – nice surprise and for the glimpse into the RBW interview, sounds like the right guy at the helm.
Comment by Andrew — January 25, 2012 @ 7:33 am
Jon, are you in SFF right now? Thanks.
Also, this site allows you to track multiple tsxv quotes in real time, 100% FREE if anyone is interested:
level2stockquotes.com/real-time-tsx-stock-quotes.html
Comment by jake — January 25, 2012 @ 8:02 am
You’re welcome, Andrew….Johnston is as solid, solid guy…..he has been involved in a lot of successful projects in Calgary…also a great humanitarian as he has helped raise a lot of money for different charities and causes, locally and internationally….also a key member of the Calgary Flames Ambassadors Program….he has assembled a dream team at RBW and a terrific land package…..I have absolutely no doubt in my mind RBW is going to be a huge winner this year——he has established a pattern of success…..
Great to see Seafield break out….Lopez is another proven winner who is doing a fabulous job with that company….
Comment by Jon - BMR — January 25, 2012 @ 8:04 am
I am not referring to any CEO in particular, in fact, only having fun.
CEO, CEO sitting on a log,
All puckered up like a great big frog,
I sneaked up close & touched him with a wire,
He just went zzzzzzzzz like an old flat fire.
Comment by Bert — January 25, 2012 @ 10:15 am
I just got filled for another 5K of RBW. Gone are the
days when i would hold 100K shares or more. Have i
renewed my faith in BMR again, yes !!! everyone must
be given a second chance. R !
Comment by Bert — January 25, 2012 @ 10:23 am
When compare to Batero Resources Seafiled look dirt cheap :-)!
Comment by Martin — January 25, 2012 @ 1:44 pm
Nice end of day for RBW looking pretty solid with the possibility of a breakout above 0.255$ within days!
Looking foward to that interview!!!
Comment by Martin — January 25, 2012 @ 1:48 pm
Andrew i thing we have our anwers regarding our interrogation of surface mineralisations being mines at International, Watch out if silver break above 50$ with this one 🙂
Comment by Martin — January 25, 2012 @ 1:55 pm
You’re correct, Martin, but Silver won’t have to get above $50 for this one to surge. Sampling numbers like 15 to 25 ounces of silver per tonne near-surface, plus very high lead values of 40% to 60% (massive galena), are certainly an indication of something. In my discussion with Johnston, Braveheart (the private company) put several years of work into the International. Combine that with all the historical information dating back to the early 1900’s, to the recent 4th quarter work by Rainbow, and the airborne surveys currently being flown, it’s my belief the upcoming report from Moose Mountain – which will detail all of that acquired information – could be an absolute barnburner. Proper road access did not come into this area until the 1950’s. By that time, the crown grants for the International were in the wrong hands. Johnston, to his credit, finally snagged them in 2006. This is a 16-square mile property, about 4,000 hectares, and some small-scale mining was carried out in the early 1900’s but the Depression and WW2 prevented further mining and development. Proper road access wouldn’t come to the area until the 1950’s. Braveheart made additional improvements to access, and power and other infrastructure is also available. Interestingly, a Quebec company is working on a $350 million run-of-the-river hydroelectric project right near the International at Duncan Lake. I am not exaggerating when I say I have seldom seen such a no-brainer opportunity in the market. With just a $5 million market cap, the upside potential hugely outweighs the downside risk. I want our readers in on this as both John and I are, and let the Johnny-come-latelys take stock off our hands at much higher prices down the road.
Comment by Jon - BMR — January 25, 2012 @ 2:21 pm
Thanks Jon, much appreciated!
Comment by Martin — January 25, 2012 @ 3:15 pm
Something of significance– SGX Resources-V.SXR
Timmins drill program results imminent…DYDD
Comment by Bob — January 25, 2012 @ 4:27 pm
Bonsoir Martin, I nearly bought more RBW today, but level 2 looked like it may drop to .16 after the news release (and I’m a little cautious about that gap at .13) but then Gold shot up and Silver went over 33! I’ll see what tomorrow morning brings. Volume was good today also. a bientot. 🙂
Comment by Andrew — January 25, 2012 @ 6:35 pm
Wow… I thought people who are religious are supposedly not liars… I notice a couple of days ago that you predicted the ventur pretty accurately. Last year my friends at BMR . you did a terrible job in your predictions. I tried with my many years in investing to guide you boys without much success.Arab spring, High oil prices, Europe problems were very easy indicators of futur markets troubles. All year except one week in March you folks at BMR were very bullish for the markets..even with all those problems. Maybe after mid October your opinions change but in general for 2011 you were very bullish . Now your once again predicting Powerful bullish markets…. Have you taken the time to read the new IMF report…come on guys..wake up…don’t make the same mistake of last year. Finally..stay out of politics..
Comment by Andre — January 25, 2012 @ 6:37 pm
Andre, we’re certainly not perfect and we don’t pretend to be but I’ve believe we’ve gotten it right at several very important points with both Gold and the Venture, and we’ve got it right now. I don’t care what the IMF says about the economy. You need to look at what the Fed is doing and at China with easing of credit conditions there. And you can’t ignore the charts. I respectfully disagree with your point of view and there is no need for personal attacks, but I support your right to express your views in this forum. Everyone’s opinions are appreciated and valued whether we agree with them or not. So thank for for participating.
Comment by Jon - BMR — January 26, 2012 @ 3:51 am