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May 20, 2010

BMR Morning Market Musings…

It’s another ugly day on the markets but the worst thing an investor can do right now is panic…Gold is off its lows of the day and is now up $2 an ounce to $1,193 as of 8:30 am Pacific time…the CDNX continues to take a beating and is down another 48 points to 1438….it’s now in an area (the 200 day moving average and the February low) where it’s reasonable to expect it will find strong support, at least temporarily…we’ve warned about the possibility of a 20 to 30% CDNX correction all year but pinpointing exactly when that might occur is an almost impossible task…what we’re seeing right now with the CDNX, in an historical context, is very normal within a bull market and will present us with some incredible buying opportunities…it’s important to understand this is not 2008 all over again…the underlying technical condition of the CDNX is far, far stronger than it was in the summer of 2008, and even a drop to 1,200 on the CDNX would not end this ongoing bull market…what we’re seeing right now seems very similar to the 2004 market that took a major dive in the spring and roared back afterward…Gold Bullion Development (GBB, TSX-V) dropped as low as 38 cents this morning but is bouncing back…GBB is currently down half a penny to 41.5 cents…through this market weakness, astute investors will gobble up every single share of GBB that some nervous nellies put up for sale because Gold Bullion ultimately is headed much higher based on the fundamentals of a major discovery at Granada…based on last week’s developments with Seafield Resources (a 10 million share day), we see little downside risk with SFF at the moment which appears to have bottomed out recently at 16 cents…Seafield is down 1.5 cents to 18 cents on low volume this morning…Kent Exploration (KEX, TSX-V) has also dropped into an area of very strong support….Kent is down 1.5 cents to 14.5 cents…the stock dropped as low as 13.5 cents last February and that’s possible again now but would make for a terrific buying opportunity…

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