Gold has traded between $1,208 and $1,222 so far today…as of 7:15 am Pacific, bullion is down $1 an ounce at $1,212…Silver is off 13 cents at $17.05…Copper is down a penny at $3.04…Crude Oil is 56 cents lower at $90.17, after falling below $90 this morning for the first time since April of last year, depressed by surging Oil supplies and a darkening demand outlook in China and Europe…Saudi Aramco, Saudi Arabia’s national petroleum company, yesterday cut its official selling price for Crude Oil to the U.S., Europe and Asia, with the largest cuts in Asia where Oil producers are competing for market share…the U.S. Dollar Index, meanwhile, has retreated slightly to 85.81…
A blockbuster U.S. jobs report tomorrow may put more pressure on Gold; conversely, a number that misses big could be the catalyst that puts the brakes on the greenback’s parabolic rise and causes a major short-covering move in bullion…the ingredients for a possible Gold rally are clearly in place given sentiment levels and how the commercial “smart money” traders have significantly scaled back their net-short positions in recent weeks…
The European Central Bank kept interest rates at record lows today after last month’s surprise decision to cut further and announce fresh stimulus plans…
The Federal Reserve should be willing to overshoot its 2% inflation goal to make certain the economy is back on track, according to an influential Fed official known to be one of the most dovish on the rate-setting FOMC…Charles Evans, president of the Chicago Fed, told the Financial Times the central bank should be “exceptionally patient” in deciding when to raise interest rates…his own preference is to keep them at zero until 2016…
Today’s Equity Markets
Asia
Japan’s Nikkei average tumbled 420 points or 2.6% overnight…
Hong Kong’s pro-democracy rally extended into its 7th day…the city’s chief executive, Leung Chun-ying, is reportedly willing to let protests continue for weeks if necessary…the city’s markets are closed until Friday, while markets in Shanghai are shut until next Tuesday for China’s national day holiday…
Europe
European markets are down significantly in late trading overseas…
North America
The Dow is off 10 points as of 7:15 am Pacific…if the S&P 500 has a fourth down session in a row today, that will be a first for 2014…
This 3-month daily chart for the Dow shows a correction pattern similar to the one in August that found support at the rising 200-day moving average (SMA), currently at 16569…RSI(14), at 40% after yesterday’s plunge, found support at 30% in August…
The TSX has lost 127 points as of 7:15 am Pacific while the Venture is off another 8 points to 888…the Venture has declined in 12 out of 13 sessions and 19 out of 22 (entering today)…extreme oversold conditions have emerged that simply cannot continue to persist much longer – watch for a possible “hammer reversal” any day now…
Newstrike Capital Inc. (NES, TSX-V) Update
We continue to keep a close eye on Newstrike Capital (NES, TSX-V) which has really outperformed the sector over the last couple of months, and yesterday staged an unconfirmed breakout above the “neckline” on the 2+ year weekly chart we’ve been tracking…NES closed yesterday at $1.20, and is off 2 pennies at $1.18 through the first 45 minutes of trading today…the bullish reversal pattern here is an inverted head and shoulders…
On September 15, Newstrike released a very robust Preliminary Economic Assessment for its Ana Paula Project in Mexico’s prolific Guerrero Gold belt…we urge our readers to check that out…the deposit at Ana Paula can be described as having a high-grade core, surrounding by a lower grade envelope of Gold and Silver mineralization…the high-grade nature of this Gold mineralization starts just below surface and extends to approximately 700 m deep…
(It’s worth noting that the geologist who has played a key role at Ana Paula, the highly respected Dr. Craig Gibson, is also busy overseeing Garibaldi Resources Corp.’s (GGI, TSX-V) Rodadero and La Patilla projects in Mexico…with Gibson’s proven insight and ability to identify a discovery and put a resource together, we see very positive developments in the works at both Rodadero and La Patilla).
Getting back to Newstrike, yesterday’s move requires technical confirmation either today or tomorrow…RSI(14) at 63% formed a bullish “W” and certainly has room to move higher…
Richmont Mines (RIC, TSX) Update
If you’re of the opinion that the Gold price is going to reverse higher this month, a producer with excellent leverage to a higher Gold price is Richmont Mines (RIC, TSX) which made a spectacular move over the summer and has since retraced to an attractive area…key support is around $1.95, an important Fib. level which is also just a few pennies above the rising 100-day SMA…so a brief dip below $2 may represent an unusual trading opportunity, at least for brave investors in this current climate…
Richmont’s turnaround this year has been the result of success at the Island Gold Mine in Ontario…on Tuesday, the company announced an accelerated and expanded development plan for the high-grade 1.1 million ounce inferred resource identified below existing workings…
RIC is up a penny at $2.22 as of 7:15 am Pacific…
Ascot Resources Ltd. (AOT, TSX-V) Update
Ascot Resources (AOT, TSX-V) went on a major run in August thanks to results from its Premier Property in the Stewart area of northwest British Columbia, and the temporarily overbought technical condition that John pointed out has now essentially cleansed itself…
Drilling has recently been focusing on the old Premier mine area, as reported August 22 – Ascot’s last update on the project…plenty of high-grade targets exist at this past producer…the system has a known strike length of over 1,600 m and a dip length of up to 1,200 m but a majority of the target area has only been loosely tested from underground, with most work dating back to the 1920’s to 1930’s…
In March of this year, Ascot released updated mineral resource estimates covering the Big Missouri, Martha Ellen and Dilworth areas at the Premier Property totaling 4.6 million ounces AuEq (see March 31 news)…
Technically, support has been forming in the $1.70’s, slightly above the rising 50-day SMA…AOT should be watched closely – we suggest waiting for the company’s next update which should provide investors with clear insight into the stock’s near-term direction…
AOT is unchanged at $1.80 as of 7:15 am Pacific…
Highbank Resources Ltd. (HBK, TSX-V) Update
Also in northwest B.C., Highbank Resources (HBK, TSX-V) continues to make progress toward aggregate production at its Swamp Point North Project…the company is in a very favorable position of being able to supply aggregates in support of the continuing construction of the Port of Prince Rupert ($1.2 billion federal development project), and looks forward to exploiting opportunities regarding potential LNG projects – though the Liberal government needs to get its act together quickly with regard to the tax regime for LNG operators…
In its news release Tuesday, Highbank pointed out that it has “unwavering confidence in B.C. Premier Christy Clark’s and her ministers’ ability to conclude negotiations and set forward a fair liquefied natural gas tax regime.” We hope their confidence proves correct…
Technically, HBK has been holding up extremely well during the overall market downturn since the beginning of September with the stock actually up slightly since the end of August (closed at 28 cents yesterday) as it forms a strong base around the Fib. 61.8% retracement level…any near-term reversal in the Venture will certainly be helpful for HBK…even in the event of a modest dip lower, HBK will remain in a primary bullish uptrend (note the uptrend support line)…
Note: John, Terry and Jon do not hold share positions in NES, RIC, AOT or HBK…John and Jon both hold share positions in GGI.
Strong support on the Venture at 883.52 & we are very near.
Comment by Bert — October 2, 2014 @ 6:56 am
Strong support on the Venture at 883.52 & we have cut through it like
cutting through butter. Now to await the close.
Comment by Bert — October 2, 2014 @ 7:07 am
Buy SEV on this little pullback lots of news coming – they have major institutional support and anlayst coverage – make no mistake this will be a buyout target in the future – as for DVG another bigtime director just added to the board options granted at .33 – with the testing of their sector changing oilfield pumps about to start a 5 well pilot test any time now expect a ton of eyes on the story with success expect the stock to potentially test the $1.50 range great buying oppurtunity now!
Comment by berrypolin — October 2, 2014 @ 7:48 am
Jon, any idea why the selloff in BLO today?
Comment by chris — October 2, 2014 @ 8:43 am
BLO – WoW any thoughts, insights on the drop?
Comment by Frank — October 2, 2014 @ 9:13 am
DBV has corrected quite nicely from it’s week low of .125. Good support and it appears to be in strong hands now. Where can we see the share price head if news is decent, thoughts?
Comment by KevinMc — October 2, 2014 @ 10:00 am
Wow. Another 22 or loss for the venture. Well I guess we can say there is superb support at 0 pts.
Comment by tony t — October 2, 2014 @ 10:16 am
Jon
what happened with BLO today down 25% on massive volume??
Comment by Greg — October 2, 2014 @ 10:57 am
The argument has been that Gold moves opposite to the U.S.$.
Please be advised that the U.S. $, which has been in an
overbought position for awhile, has now started to move down.
Comment by Bert — October 2, 2014 @ 2:15 pm
BLO… I bought at 19 before the close on Teusday… thats why….. wtf???????
Comment by Jeremy — October 2, 2014 @ 2:16 pm
Good question, Greg. Part of it certainly overall market related (was someone forced to sell, maybe?), perhaps technically-induced selling as well during the day. There’s going to be volatility in this, especially in the current market environment (DBV, for example, got knocked down to 12.5 intra-day this week but look at it now). So these things can rebound and snap back very quickly. It’s best not to get too focused on day-to-day moves. I put a call into Rav this afternoon to get his take on everything hopefully by later today or tomorrow. Having said all that, the more volume on BLO the better. I look fwd to days of even higher volume with a price increase, like we’ve seen before on this.
Comment by Jon - BMR — October 2, 2014 @ 2:16 pm
BLO’s Level 2 was a thing of beauty earlier this week. Just over a million shares from 19.5 cents to $1.40. But these past two days all this stock came out of nowhere. Anyhow, once they get the prototype these levels will be a thing of the past. In the meantime, patience, patience, patience.
Comment by Chris — October 2, 2014 @ 2:34 pm
Agreed.
Comment by Jon - BMR — October 2, 2014 @ 3:06 pm
The low float with BLO also supports greater swings up and in today’s case down. Have to remember Jon’s mantra = patience.
Comment by Frank — October 2, 2014 @ 3:55 pm
any venture support levels now to look at?
Comment by STEVEN1 — October 2, 2014 @ 5:42 pm
Jon,
There is a company geologist meeting next week to discuss PGX next direction, so maybe this is why Dirk declined your invitation.
Comment by Robert — October 2, 2014 @ 6:15 pm
I can guess what is happening to BLO. They closed a 15 million unit PP at 0.05 cents on July 3rd, with a 4 month hold. That
hold comes off Nov 3rd, so I’ll wager the 5 cent PP holders are shorting BLO now and will cover with their PP paper in ~1 month.
The CNSX exchange has a “technical” glitch that not many people know about. The TSX has a “buy-in” facility, which basically means people
who are short a stock can be forced to buy back a short position (called being “bought-in” in the industry). The CNSX does not yet have
a “buy-in” facility, so one can short any CNSX listed company and hold that short for ages (months) with little risk of being forced to cover.
Comment by alphatrading — October 2, 2014 @ 6:49 pm
Good point, and whenever the PP holders sell, the key with BLO is volume to deal with that, and it’s generating volume to clean the market up. A lot more volume to come, I suspect, which will ultimately drive this much higher IMHO. It was tough to buy much of this in the low teens previously, so this kind of a dip with volume is a gift.
Comment by Jon - BMR — October 3, 2014 @ 2:52 am
I have been watching DBV very closely this a.m.,
bids increasing offers withdrawn, looks as if
someone knows something.
Bert
Comment by Bert — October 3, 2014 @ 5:45 am
Bert, there’s nothing this market could use more than a great hole out of DBV. That would change some dynamics. We’re seeing strength in DBV just prior to results that wasn’t seen in PGX. What that may suggest, we should find out very soon…
Comment by Jon - BMR — October 3, 2014 @ 6:05 am
Attention Steven
Rainbow Resources Inc. Proposes Name Change and Share Consolidation
Toronto, Ontario–(Newsfile Corp. – October 3, 2014) – Rainbow Resources Inc. (TSXV: RBW) (“Rainbow” or, the “Company”) announces that as part of the agenda for its upcoming annual and special shareholder meeting to be held on November 12, 2014 (the “Meeting”), the Company is proposing a name change and a consolidation of its issued and outstanding common shares.
The Company is proposing to change its name from Rainbow Resources Inc. to Braveheart Resources Inc. The consolidation of Rainbow’s issued and outstanding common shares will be implemented on the basis of up to one (1) post-consolidation share for ten (10) pre-consolidation shares.
The name change and consolidation are subject to TSX Venture Exchange as well as shareholder approval and will be considered by shareholders at the Meeting.
Comment by Bert — October 3, 2014 @ 6:09 am
So RBW does a 10 to 1 reverse split and then the share price goes right back it 1/2 a penny, that is wonderful….
Comment by Greg — October 3, 2014 @ 8:01 am
RBW shareholders vote no… there is no benefit for anything by doing that.. none what so ever…
BMR as a proponent of RBW AND the management need to go to bat for us as well…. talk to that wonderful and caring CEO…….
there is no shareholder basis for the consolidation … none…. am I wrong??
Comment by Jeremy — October 3, 2014 @ 10:47 am