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October 14, 2015

BMR Morning Market Musings…

Gold has hit a new 3.5-month high, trading between $1,164 and $1,180 so far today…as of 10:00 am Pacific, bullion is up $10 an ounce at $1,179…Silver has added 19 cents to $16.09…Copper is up 2 pennies at $2.41…Crude Oil is down 19 cents at $46.47 while the U.S. Dollar Index, continuing to suffer technical deterioration, has fallen another half a point to 94.21

Gold is benefiting from weak U.S. economic data this morning and the growing realization the Fed may never raise interest rates under President Obama…the Commerce Department reported this morning that U.S. retail sales barely rose in September, edging up just 0.1% last month after being flat in August…economists polled by Reuters had forecast retail sales rising 0.2% in September after a previously reported 0.2% increase in August…excluding automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services, retail sales slipped 0.1% after a downwardly revised 0.2% gain in August…these so-called core retail sales correspond most closely with the consumer spending component of GDP…

Meanwhile, U.S. producer prices in September posted their biggest decline in 8 months as the cost of energy products fell for a 3rd straight month, pointing to continued deflationary pressures…the Labor Department said this morning that its PPI fell 0.5%, the largest drop since January, after being unchanged in August…in the 12 months through September, the PPI fell 1.1% after declining 0.8% in August…it was the 8th straight 12-month decrease in the index…

Fed rate hike this year?…not a chance…U.S. growth continues to be restrained by poor fiscal policy out of Washington, the same failed Obama approach (the promised “change” which has delivered only bigger government) that Justin Trudeau wants to import into Canada along with a return to deficit spending (fiscal indiscipline) that merely equates to future tax hikes…of course, it was Trudeau’s father who as Prime Minister introduced 14 deficits in 15 years and drove the country over the fiscal cliff…hopefully Canadians will wake up in time before this pre-Halloween scare becomes a reality…as investors, our annual TFSA tax-free contributions are slated to be reduced in half under a Liberal government as Trudeau just doesn’t seem to like the idea of middle class Canadians building up a large tax-free savings account…rest assured, the day will come under the Liberals or a Liberal/NDP coalition when a “tax-free” account simply no longer exists…they will tax everything they can get their hands on…

Are Canada’s Days As An Energy “Super-Power” Over?

Interesting article by the Financial Post’s Claudia Cattaneo this morning who argued, among other things, that “Parochial, environmental and Aboriginal groups opposed to building the infrastructure essential for Oil and gas exports have drowned reasonable voices and are getting their way. The Canadian energy strategy produced by provincial premiers this summer is a measure of what politicians are willing to support: a mishmash of ideas to appease all interests, and not a single mention of the Oil sands.”

Chinese Inflation Slows

Chinese inflation slowed in September, adding to concerns about weakening growth in the world’s 2nd largest economy…the consumer price index rose 1.6% in September from a year earlier, compared with a 2.0% rise in August, data from China’s National Bureau of Statistics showed today…China of course is the biggest source of global demand for metals, and accounts for around 45% of global Copper consumption…fears about China’s economy were a major factor in the commodity price slump over the summer…support for Copper prices, however, should come from the supply side as senior companies curtail production…

In today’s Morning Musings

1.  A Venture long-term chart that gives us great hope for the next 6 months…

2.  Discovery Ventures (DVN, TSX-V) gets aggressive under new CEO Dan Omeniuk…

3.  Another jump in Nevada Sunrise (NEV, TSX-V) – a more than 50% move in a week…

4.  Pure Energy Minerals (PE, TSX-V) in “perfect rhythm”, technically speaking…

5.  Equitorial Exploration (EXX, TSX-V) starts to stir…

6.  New Gold (NGD, TSX) as a great example of buying at the bottom of a downsloping channel…

Plus more…to view the rest of today’s Morning Musings, login with your username and password, or click here to gain full access to this and other exclusive BMR content and features…

23 Comments

  1. Watching this market the past two days is as exciting as “watching paint dry” xXxX

    Comment by Jeff — October 14, 2015 @ 9:45 am

  2. GBB creeping up, currently .04 bid/ .045 ask, should not be ignored, with the CA could be an easy double!

    Comment by Bob — October 14, 2015 @ 9:48 am

  3. Depends what stocks you’re in…

    Comment by Jon - BMR — October 14, 2015 @ 9:54 am

  4. Jon, love that comment.

    Comment by dave — October 14, 2015 @ 9:57 am

  5. Jon, I’m in the stocks that everyone’s that’s been chatting about namely, EQT,GGI, DBV and WRR.

    Dave any word on when the EQT pp closes??

    Comment by Jeff — October 14, 2015 @ 10:24 am

  6. I guess I’m in the same stocks as Jeff….lol

    Comment by DDD4 — October 14, 2015 @ 10:25 am

  7. Yup….its confirmed I have the exact same stocks as Jeff….lol

    Comment by DDD4 — October 14, 2015 @ 10:36 am

  8. eqt – doesn’t seem to be today or tomorrow for a close on the oversubscribed, dying to get in investors (incl insiders), based on the conversation I had today, still waiting for chqs etc!
    only thing that will pre-empt news on the PP is news from the camp, which is not something you can schedule. expressed my dislike for oversubscribed slowpokes to the office FWIW earlier today

    Comment by david — October 14, 2015 @ 11:36 am

  9. Jeff – EQT – no word. It was suppose to close today due to price protection rules by the exchange but we don’t see it closed. Hardy has gone tight lipped and is telling no one anything. I would not be surprised if the drillers were under a CA agreement. There was a hint thrown to me on that over the weekend. Last word to me was Hardy can’t and won’t let it go beyond Tuesday (yesterday), so if it was filed that means it could be announced by tomorrow. I must say that leaks are a wonderful thing, but it doesn’t look like we will get one. The news is either just gonna show up one minute or we get a halt. It’s vegas time on this one.

    Comment by dave — October 14, 2015 @ 1:35 pm

  10. PE and DVN did well today. I took a position on DVN early.

    Comment by dave — October 14, 2015 @ 1:37 pm

  11. EQT- I have a hard time believing that the PP was over-subscribed as they are having a very hard time closing it! Over-subscribed PPs close quickly and there aren’t as many delays in closing it.

    Comment by Ddd4 — October 14, 2015 @ 2:51 pm

  12. David, you say you talked to EQT office today and the PP is oversubscribed. If that’s the case then I can’t see them releasing news from the camp before it closes unless it is material and can’t wait.

    Comment by Dan1 — October 14, 2015 @ 5:19 pm

  13. Dave, thanks for the EQT update!! Much appreciated.
    Go Jays Go!!!

    Comment by Jeff — October 14, 2015 @ 6:05 pm

  14. D4 – EQT – I absolutely agree with you. I also have no idea why the insider sell last week. Kinda strange.

    Comment by dave — October 14, 2015 @ 6:06 pm

  15. Not strange at all Dave if the insider sold to participate in the 2nd tranche. We will see in ten days as it will be posted on Canadian insider. TMX just shows an insider sell, but not who. Who knows it could also be the new insider that acquired enough shares to qualify as an insider. Jmo.

    Comment by Dan1 — October 14, 2015 @ 6:21 pm

  16. google.ca/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=1&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CBwQFjAAahUKEwj52NrauMPIAhUFqx4KHdw9BZU&url=http%3A%2F%2F
    321gold.com%2Feditorials%2Fmoriarty%2Fmoriarty092513.html&usg=AFQjCNGIVpQWoDg9SGwmk3l4LB4Ma70LiA&bvm=bv.105039540,d.dmoRR-

    Comment by Guy Delisle — October 14, 2015 @ 6:37 pm

  17. Sorry Jon it’s a mistake !

    Comment by Guy Delisle — October 14, 2015 @ 6:38 pm

  18. Wow. What an insane game!!go jays go!!!!!!!

    Comment by tony t — October 14, 2015 @ 9:37 pm

  19. EQT – fwiw, supposedly, any news flashes sent from the camp will go out and the PP will be closed off (if its good) or resort to pleading (if its bad). Makela has been on site for a week now again, all fwiw, cause he should be on site IMO, so not an unexpected return to the camp. The delay in closing is bad for everyone. Are the slowpokes , initially excited, now hoping for a leak from camp, since its been a couple weeks of drilling to bolster their investment? Too many scenarios come to mind when this ‘hot’ PP drags on. The more time and energy spent on getting it behind you, is a distraction from the main event, drilling.

    Comment by david — October 15, 2015 @ 5:46 am

  20. Eqt- After more than 2 weeks of drilling EQT has probably more than 1000 meters drilled, the company know very well with the visual, what is coming |

    Comment by Guy Delisle — October 15, 2015 @ 6:06 am

  21. Dave, someone on SH is talking about EQT doing a JV on their property with an Australian mining company. Any truth to this rumour??

    Comment by Jeff — October 15, 2015 @ 6:38 am

  22. Yes, I’m starting to lose faith in EQT as they haven’t been able to close an over subscribed PP and most importantly they have been drilling for a while and yet there is no leaks of visuals so far…..no matter how careful they are word spreads quickly at camps and then the info makes its way outside the camps….if visuals are good one knows by how it’s trading as those who have heard the rumour load up.

    So far no excitement and they can’t get the PP closed as planned. I had high hopes for EQT to revive the sector but it might not be it……hopefully GGI and DBV can do it.

    Yes, I understand that sometimes finding the sweet spot doesn’t happen on the first or second hole but with all the data and prep work as well as the hype around it I would have expected something encouraging on the first few holes….

    Comment by DDD4 — October 15, 2015 @ 7:05 am

  23. Regarding EQT, the placement will close when they want it to. They have more than enough money to complete phase 2 so the extra money slowly making it’s way into their coffers is well…extra. If you listen to the latest Korelin report Kyler Hardy states that they only need 1.5 million (of the 3 million they have) to complete it, so they are well funded. Keep in mind they have likely taken in quite a lot more than has yet been reported in warrants that are exercisable at 10 cents.

    This is a very active stock for the venture and has produced a 200+% return since it’s low of 6.5 cents in late July .. and nearly a double since breaking out of it’s pennant at 11-12 cents…all this on high volume. It is trading at or near relative highs with millions of shares being held at a substantial profit. These returns are waaaaaay above average and not many are willing to part with their paper despite it.

    I’m more inclined to think that the path of least resistance from here is higher and when news does come it will likely favour the long side. Just my .02.

    Cheers.

    They’ve had

    Comment by Treb — October 15, 2015 @ 8:53 am

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