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January 5, 2016

BMR Morning Market Musings…

Gold has traded between $1,075 and $1,083 so far today…as of 10:00 am Pacific, bullion is up $4 an ounce at $1,078 – still fighting resistance at $1,080…Silver is 12 cents higher at $13.97…Copper has rebounded 2 pennies to $2.11…Crude Oil has fallen nearly $1 a barrel to $35.94 while the U.S. Dollar Index has gained another half point to 99.39

Fund manager Adrian Day says Gold stocks are undervalued and may present a rare buying opportunity. “Relative to bullion, the Gold miners are selling at 70-year lows, while on most valuations metrics – price to ounces in the ground, price to cash flow, and so on – they are selling at 5, 10 and even 20-year lows,” says the President and CEO of Adrian Day Asset Management as reported by Kitco.   “And in terms of price, global Gold miners have made a complete round trip, selling at levels last seen prior to the onset of the bull market in 2001. Given that the price today remains a multiple of what it was then, this is nothing short of astonishing, and offers a once-in-a-decade buying opportunity.”

There have been five times over the last 30 years when the XAU index of major Gold and silver stocks has fallen more than 50%, Day says, adding that and on each occasion it was followed by a rally of at least 100% and sometimes 200% to 300%…

In today’s Morning Musings

1.  Updated chart for Nemaska Lithium (NMX, TSX-V) as it touches a new 52-week high…

2.  A rising star among intermediate Gold producers with a high-grade deposit on the fast-track to production…

3.  A Saskatchewan-based Gold producer that should shine in 2016 with earnings and price momentum…

Plus more…to view the rest of today’s Morning Musings, login with your username and password, or click here to gain full access to this and other exclusive BMR content and features…

53 Comments

  1. Picked up some more EQT at 8.5c today…waiting for Plan “B”.

    Comment by John - BMR — January 5, 2016 @ 10:43 am

  2. I am looking forward to any news from V.GGI and V.EQT. I think Garibaldi will be out first with good news.

    On another topic. Lupaka Gold Corp. (V.LPK) looks like it may be starting to rise back from the tax loss selling. Last @ .045.

    Comment by Andrew — January 5, 2016 @ 11:03 am

  3. BMR, EQT – I hope it works out. I’m just waiting to see what happens with GGI.

    Comment by 02charoc — January 5, 2016 @ 11:18 am

  4. A lot of people are worried about GGI grades and it’s just the first batch of results! The best geo of the region is on its team……there’s nobody more qualified on the Sheslay geology than Dr Razique so if it’s there he will find it imo!

    Comment by DDD4 — January 5, 2016 @ 12:04 pm

  5. GGI – Continuous selling. Not sure how much longer I can wait before unloading all my shares also and moving on. This just doesn’t feel right, like it didn’t with EQT. I keep saying this is a different situation. Time will tell I guess.

    Comment by 02charoc — January 5, 2016 @ 12:15 pm

  6. Not good cibc was on the buy side and now it is selling.

    Comment by Martin — January 5, 2016 @ 1:06 pm

  7. CIBC World Markets unloading today. Is this the same group that sold Dec 22nd?

    Comment by Dan1 — January 5, 2016 @ 1:24 pm

  8. GGI has dropped the ball here and people are getting frustrated and nervous….understandably. Let me first say that I havn’t sold any of my GGI shares and continue to hold a very large position but we all know good news travels lightning fast and GGI is moving too slow. I know Jon you have stated that Regocci was a former broker and he knows what the market wants….but I’m not sure he really does. I’m still dumbfounded how Noront can have assays back in a week and a half and yet here we wait. GGI hasn’t been a stellar stock performer either….end of year prices for the last 5 years

    End of
    2011 – .16
    2012 – .08
    2013 – .12
    2014 – .175
    2015 – .13

    Now with drilling being halted until they get assays back all momentum has been lost and the market is showing very little interest in either Grizzly or Mexico. Now we wait until they plot their new drill locations and start drilling….we won’t have that group of assays until June. The Venture as a whole is failing from lack of performance with these companies and lack of true mineable discoveries. Hence mining companies are now changing into drone manufacturing and growing pot. Common GGI….pick up the pace.

    Comment by weatheritout — January 5, 2016 @ 1:28 pm

  9. DBV.V up 3.5 cents now we GGI.V to start moveing

    Comment by kelly — January 5, 2016 @ 1:32 pm

  10. Does it matter what brokerage house was selling? Doesn’t seem to matter if CIBC was buying last week and selling today. Someone who had some money at cibc bought last week and likely a different person with a cibc trading account selling today.

    Comment by George — January 5, 2016 @ 1:41 pm

  11. DBV up on extremely low volume…means nothing unfortunately..other than looking better. We need either DBV or GGI to make a significant gain on big volume, million shares…that would mean something.

    Comment by weatheritout — January 5, 2016 @ 1:42 pm

  12. DBV.V only up 3 cents not 3.5

    Comment by kelly — January 5, 2016 @ 1:46 pm

  13. Jon, has anyone from BMR had an opportunity to speak with Regoci lately, or since the latest PP? It would be nice to get a vote of confidence during this wait period where investors seem to be losing faith that GGI has something significant. The Christmas Eve PP didn’t help.

    Comment by Dan1 — January 5, 2016 @ 1:59 pm

  14. My biggest concern from the start is how high expectations are on GGI’s results. When expectations are set too high and a company comes out with good grafes but short of the high expectations it sells off. People need to remember that these are the 1st holes on a grass roots property and most times it takes a few holes to better understand the geology. Keep an open mind and expectations low on the first holes. Once results are out, reassess the situation and proceed for there. If deposits were quick and easy to find there would be many discoveries every year but this isn’t the case. I’m not trying to be a basher or a villain.

    Comment by DDD4 — January 5, 2016 @ 2:08 pm

  15. weatheritout, I agree with a lot you say (I am nervous and frustrated) but when GGI do get back to drilling which could be in a week or two, I see assays coming out within 2 months. The fact that Christmas and New year holidays have interrupted proceedings does not help, but I would like to think that once drill results are out from the 1st 3 holes, we will see things happening.

    If Regoci fails to deliver on the news flow like he did last year, then the GGI stock price will be punished.

    Comment by Tom UK — January 5, 2016 @ 2:12 pm

  16. If results are good or promsing but short of market expecations and the price does go down I will take advantage of the buying opportunity.

    Comment by DDD4 — January 5, 2016 @ 2:12 pm

  17. Scandium International Mining (SCY) profiled by BMR yesterday hit $.19 intraday and finished the day at $.18 up 28% on heavy volume.
    Billionaire Robert Friedland’s scandium vehicle Cleanteq (CLQ on the Australian Stock Exchange) announced today an alliance with an American company to develop and PROMOTE aluminum/scandium alloys to the aerospace industry.
    Word is getting out. Scandium is going to be a big story in 2016.

    Comment by John — January 5, 2016 @ 2:38 pm

  18. can we all ditch some of the sniping? If everyone was of the same opinion for everything on the bd, what use would it be? are we sheep? comments that dont always jibe with your own, positive or negative, can also be used as a check on what your thoughts are, and are they valid? and the main reason we are falling down the SH rathole, is that there are no new results for anyone to chew on, so we chew on each other .

    Comment by david — January 5, 2016 @ 2:59 pm

  19. I could not help myself no more and vented a little. But I did it in post 60 and 61 yesterday, sorry.

    Comment by dave — January 5, 2016 @ 3:15 pm

  20. Precisely why I sold my Ggi shares at 14 cents. Not saying they don’t have anything but momentum is lost.

    Comment by tony t — January 5, 2016 @ 3:23 pm

  21. Tony T – did you sell recently? I’m trusting in BMR. I’m assuming assays will be out within a few weeks time?

    Comment by George — January 5, 2016 @ 4:12 pm

  22. Wow, it seems quite a few have thrown in the towel on GGI before assays. Sure the sentiment is low right now but that is the junior market for the last 7 or 8 years. It will take a major discovery to make serious coin these days.

    Comment by Dan1 — January 5, 2016 @ 4:53 pm

  23. A few more posts still added to yesterday’s musings that some may have not seen. Yes, by Jon and I.

    John, good day for SCY, was thinking at buying at open but got busy, maybe she drops some here.

    Comment by dave — January 5, 2016 @ 5:01 pm

  24. Many here posting about liquidating/having liquidated their GGI positions. Stock is severely oversold. I would argue that the “high expectations” and “low expectations” forces are evenly balanced for the moment.

    Comment by ConcernedCitizen — January 5, 2016 @ 5:11 pm

  25. George, it as been 9 weeks since Garibaldi update on hole 3, i would be surprise if we don’t have assays by next tuesday morning.

    Comment by Martin — January 5, 2016 @ 5:23 pm

  26. Martin – I will be surprised if we don’t have GGI assay results by FRIDAY..

    Comment by Jeff — January 5, 2016 @ 5:42 pm

  27. BMR – my apologies if my comments were “Stockhouse” like. Sometimes it’s difficult to keep one’s mouth shut…

    Comment by George — January 5, 2016 @ 5:55 pm

  28. Hey George. Yes I did sell my shares because I got burned for holding onto shares too long. I was lucky enough to get in at 5 cents and sold at 14. I just thought it was time to sell.

    Comment by Tony t — January 5, 2016 @ 6:03 pm

  29. Everything is possible Jeff. Just thinking about Regoci saying that they where “looking at something that mimic what was found at the golden bear mine” with the help of the RFX after hole 3 and now we are sitting at 12.5 cents and waiting? Am i missing something?

    Comment by Martin — January 5, 2016 @ 6:39 pm

  30. Hi Dave – SCY popped on BMR’s decision to cover SCY as well Kaiser’s short note to subscribers this morning. I’ve reproduced Kaiser’s note here as there is nothing new in it that you can’t view for free on his website – “Welcome to 2016 after a truly dreadful year during which Scandium Intl (SCY-T) not only outperformed all the other Spec Value Hunter picks, but the overall junior market and nearly all other resource juniors. Given the uncertain outlook about the overall global economy, and the time needed to push commodity prices back into an uptrend, SCY remains my top pick for 2016 for several key reasons: 1) it already has a world class orebody, 2) it does not need the price of the commodity to go up – in fact the price of scandium oxide needs to come down from Niocorp’s lofty $3,500/kg fantasy, 3) the company is funded to deliver its DFS and simply needs to execute for which it has ample technical qualifications, 4) the project is much closer to a production decision than any other candidate for primary, scalable scandium supply, and, 5) the world understands energy efficiency gains as a common goal regardless of ideology. The stock deserves to be in the $0.40-$0.60 range ahead of the DFS and the only thing holding it back is greater visibility.”
    I wouldn’t be surprised if the stock price retreats a bit so you might be able to get some paper at a cheaper price. However as Kaiser states all SCY needs is greater visibility to land a permanently higher stock price and by then it will be just a dream to acquire SCY shares in the teens.

    Comment by John — January 5, 2016 @ 6:47 pm

  31. Tony T – nice trade Tony. I wasn’t so lucky to get in that early. I bought in at 0.125 and now I’m basically back to even. I’m holding tight.

    Comment by George — January 5, 2016 @ 8:03 pm

  32. I’ll have to say again, ggi is in a unique position, awaiting 2 assay results and preparing to drill a third project, nowhere do I see another company is this position, I’m sure bmr is working deligently to enlighten us on GGI. These things take time, I know regoci seems to be a bit of a ( my words) slowpoke, but that doesn’t mean he doesn’t have the goods to deliver, I’m staying put, if you don’t have patience then this game is not for you. Anytime now Steve!!

    Comment by Tombc — January 5, 2016 @ 8:27 pm

  33. GGI: If you look at Regoci’s track record he’s always been sort of slow, we were all on here moaning and complaining that he would never drill the Grizzly, then boom he drilled the grizzly, I don’t know what the hold up is on the assay’s but I have to believe that they are coming very soon and I expect them to be ok, probably surprising on what they have come across, also we still don’t know who the individual or individuals are that took part in the recent financing, that could be a nice surprise too. Patience is the key as always

    Comment by Greg — January 5, 2016 @ 9:24 pm

  34. Thanks John, SCY looks good. Wish I got in around .12 to .14 – hopefully, it does come down some. I am very stubborn in buying after a strong move up. I belong to that theory of buy low and sell high. I have not been able to break that pattern.

    Comment by dave — January 5, 2016 @ 9:29 pm

  35. Concerned Citizen – no disrespect here, that is not my nature. I am posting and trying to get this board back to some normalcy. But GGI is not severely oversold. The RSI is only at 43 and the other indicators are not indicating this either. It has room to drop more. Disclaimer: I am not anti-GGI and truly hope they have a major discovery.

    George – I am sorry to hear you bought GGI where you did as many took advantage of the .05 to .06 range.

    Comment by dave — January 5, 2016 @ 9:37 pm

  36. “It has room to drop more. Disclaimer: I am not anti-GGI”

    Yet you are completely discounting the La Patilla results, Grizzly results, Rodadero news about to be delivered to GGI shareholders.

    Who was that person who pumped the turd known as EQT for weeks? Not me.

    Comment by ConcernedCitizen — January 5, 2016 @ 11:04 pm

  37. Nerves are frayed regarding GGI as these are the 1st results of what could be a new discovery. The IR people told me that Regoci wanted to make sure that the assays were done thoroughly and properly. This is why they have not been rushed.

    I don’t think we will have to wait long before they are announced. GGI can now release several NRs with no interruptions such as Xmas. That will build and maintain momentum. Many of us took advantage of the cheap shares that were available when Sprott sold off and I don’t blame anyone for taking some profits.

    Comment by Tom UK — January 6, 2016 @ 1:07 am

  38. When have you spoke with them Tom?

    Comment by Martin — January 6, 2016 @ 5:21 am

  39. That was before Xmas Martin, around 15th Dec. I also spoke to them on 23rd, but got very little info. I intend to phone again around lunchtime Pacific Time and see if they have any up to date info they can share. I will then post it on here.

    Comment by Tom UK — January 6, 2016 @ 5:39 am

  40. Scandium – might also want to look at GEM.V that would benefit. They are currently advancing talks with a Chinese co.

    Comment by George — January 6, 2016 @ 6:09 am

  41. That would be great tom uk, no nerves here, any further drop in the sp from nervous nellies would be a good opportunity to grab more, has room to retrace a bit more.gold up which is good.

    Comment by Tombc — January 6, 2016 @ 6:21 am

  42. TGZ- on the move today

    Comment by moemoney — January 6, 2016 @ 7:01 am

  43. AIX-up on lithium news

    Comment by moemoney — January 6, 2016 @ 7:23 am

  44. Concerned Citizen – I am not discounting anything on GGI and well aware of what they have going for them. I am simply saying that they are not severely oversold.

    I did not pump EQT, I told the story and of its potential, yes with many posts just as this board is filled with many on GGI. I would not call EQT a turd as it is not done and has much drilling left to go yet. Watch your tone.

    Comment by dave — January 6, 2016 @ 8:38 am

  45. That was some big news on EHT today. It’s on fire.

    Comment by dave — January 6, 2016 @ 8:47 am

  46. Dave, Sweden has had a lot of major problems with the Syrian refugee crisis – EHT appears to have tapped into an opportunity but the only thing I don’t like about the contract is that 90% of the $32 million comes on the shipment of the units and the balance after installation…nothing on the actual order…

    Comment by Jon - BMR — January 6, 2016 @ 9:11 am

  47. EHT – the PP included Don Johnson back in Dec. this was a chump change PP for him. Ex BMO biggie w ties to GSY

    Comment by david — January 6, 2016 @ 9:13 am

  48. David and Jon, interesting points. David, who is Don johnson, can’t say I ever heard of him. Some of you have great knowledge about the who’s up in Canada, it is helpful for me to learn. Thanks

    Comment by dave — January 6, 2016 @ 10:16 am

  49. Don Johnson…cmon…everyone knows Don Johnson….Miami Vice dude

    Comment by weatheritout — January 6, 2016 @ 11:18 am

  50. very retired ex BMO broker, lotsa cash,

    Comment by david — January 6, 2016 @ 12:40 pm

  51. KAM halted, should be interesting.

    Comment by Jon - BMR — January 6, 2016 @ 12:45 pm

  52. KAM has been on my watch list for a while but I have not bought any. I think they might have a BFS ready to publish.

    Comment by Tom UK — January 6, 2016 @ 12:59 pm

  53. Thanks David.

    oh weather – never watched miami vice. When your career is in the field, the last thing you want to do is come home and watch it too.

    Comment by dave — January 6, 2016 @ 2:02 pm

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