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March 24, 2016

BMR Morning Market Musings…

Gold has traded between $1,211 and $1,224 so far today after yesterday’s pullback…as of 8:30 am Pacific, bullion is up $1 an ounce at $1,221…front-month Gold futures were down for 10 of 13 trading sessions through yesterday, touching their lowest since February 26…Silver has added 3 cents to $15.24…Copper is down 3 pennies at $2.25…Crude Oil has slipped 95 cents to $38.84 while the U.S. Dollar Index has rallied another one-fifth of a point to 96.17

Gold and commodities in general have been tripped up this week due to confusing signals sent by the Fed – very poor communication, actually, because central bank members have been all over the map in the last 10 days…to traders, the comments from St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard yesterday and several other Fed officials, such as Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker, suggesting the possibility of a rate hike as early as next month, contrast sharply with the dovish message sent after the Fed’s meeting last week…

Has so much changed in just 1 week?…the central bank took no action on rates and slightly downgraded its view on the economy in its March 15 policy statement…the forecasts of Fed officials also showed that most members favored 2 rate hikes this year, versus an earlier forecast of 4 hikes…

Bullard said policymakers should consider hiking rates at their next meeting, suggesting there is a risk in overshooting inflation. “You get another strong jobs report, it looks like labor markets are improving, you could probably make a case for moving in April,” Bullard said…meanwhile, a normally dovish Fed member – Chicago Fed President Charles Evans – said Tuesday he expects to see 2 rate hikes this year…Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker said “there is a strong case that we need to continue to raise rates”…and, on Monday, Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart also suggested the U.S. could be in line for another hike as soon as April…

Despite its rally this week, the Dollar Index still faces technical pressures after its recent breakdown…other supportive influences for Gold include the “Brexit” worries about the U.K. leaving the European Union (immigration problems in Europe, even more evident after the attacks in Brussels the other today, could certainly influence Britain’s June referendum), as well as potential for still-lower interest rates due to economic worries in key markets such as Japan and Europe…

Trudeau:  “We’re Not At War With ISIS”

The real reason Justin Trudeau ended Canada’s bombing mission against ISIS in Iraq is that Trudeau simply doesn’t comprehend the scale of the ISIS threat against the West…he actually doesn’t take ISIS or Islamist extremism seriously, as demonstrated by his comment to media yesterday that “Canada is not at war with ISIS”…how could a leader of a country be so foolish and naïve, especially after the horrific attacks this week in Brussels that followed the massacre in Paris last November?…even the socialist President of France, Francois Hollande, recognizes that his country is at war with ISIS…and Canada somehow is not?…this is pacifism and ignorance at its extreme…ISIS has declared war against Canada and all of the West…Canada is a country that has always punched above its weight in conflicts and has helped defeat evil in the past…Trudeau, however, has chosen to downplay the crisis with ISIS as he tries to show a politically correct and “tolerant” Canada while falsely claiming that “climate change”, not radical Islamist terrorism, is the world’s biggest threat…it’s like Trudeau is in a parallel universe (Tuesday’s budget indicated that as well, a $30 billion boondoggle that did nothing to improve Canada’s security or defense capabilities)…

The facts are that ISIS, referred to as merely a “JV team” by President Obama a couple of years ago, has an army of at least 30,000 jihad fighters in Iraq and Syria…it is extremely well-funded and has already conducted or inspired more than 70 terrorist attacks in 20 countries (including the U.S. and Canada) other than Iraq and Syria where its carnage has taken a much deadlier toll (including genocide against Christians and others)…in addition, what we also know now is that ISIS has established a chemical weapons factory in Syria and, as reported yesterday by the Associated Press, has trained at least 400 fighters to target Europe in deadly waves of attacks, deploying international terror cells like the ones that struck Brussels and Paris with orders to choose the time, place and method for maximum chaos…

ISIS makes al Qaeda look like amateurs…rest assured, ISIS is plotting to kill not hundreds but tens of thousands of Europeans and Americans and Canadians and other “infidels” through attacks that would dwarf 9/11…a well-funded terrorist organization with its hands on weapons of mass destruction is a nightmare scenario, and the only way this army can be defeated is by attacking it with boots on the ground…in other words, a large NATO ground force, supplemented by troops from various Muslin countries, is probably the only way to stop ISIS…in the meantime, though, Trudeau (and Obama) will keep pretending that everything is okay while they lecture us about the danger of stirring up hatred against Muslims…

God forbid but there will come a point, we predict, when the West’s inability to deal effectively with ISIS and Islamist terrorism will have enormous consequences beyond what anyone can currently imagine…there will be safety in Gold which got its kick-start after 9/11

In today’s Morning Musings…

1.  Venture chart update…

2.  The “Drone Deal” moves closer to landing on the CSE…

3.  Aphria (APH, TSX-V) shows technical and fundamental momentum…

Plus more…to view the rest of today’s Morning Musings, login with your username and password, or click here to gain full access to this and other exclusive BMR content and features…

15 Comments

  1. Happy Easter everyone.

    God Bless.

    Comment by John - BMR — March 24, 2016 @ 10:04 am

  2. Happy Easter all. Will the GGI Easter bunny deliver some good news next week?

    Comment by Dan1 — March 24, 2016 @ 12:17 pm

  3. Thanks John. Happy Easter to you and Jon as well, and to your families, hope you have an awesome long weekend.

    Comment by DBReese — March 24, 2016 @ 12:38 pm

  4. A buddy of mine pointed out that gold has been wacked recently because OI is so high. All manipulation.

    Comment by Sameer — March 24, 2016 @ 1:16 pm

  5. Jon – no BLO for you?? u backed out at the 30 rise???
    Trudeau is a pussy.. we are not at war is a statement to tell them that we are not against you, so dont come here and ruin my dream of snowballing my people that I am a courageous leader… fack!!!!! unreal

    Happy Easter to all… it is about new beginnings… make one in your life… as someone said.. be yourself… everyone else is taken:)

    Comment by Jeremy — March 24, 2016 @ 6:43 pm

  6. That was a typo (omission), actually, Jeremy, thanks for pointing that out. Fixed. I did sell one-third of what I had at .31 but have since bought that portion back, lowering the average price. A new primary uptrend is in place and the current price, just above the 20-cent support, is an excellent entry point IMHO.

    Trudeau—where is the common sense? Besides his weakness on terrorism, where his views are in exact alignment with Obama’s failed strategy, Tuesday’s budget raised an interesting question that the mainstream media just have not asked. If this idea of taking a budget surplus and turning it into a $30 billion structural deficit to “invest in growth” is such a good idea, why has it not worked in Ontario? Trudeau is going down the same path as the Ontario McGuinty-Wynne Liberals but Trudeau can’t point to Ontario as a model or an engine of economic growth. It’s also the most indebted jurisdiction in North America and taxpayers are forking out $1 billion a month just to pay the interest on that debt – just the INTEREST. How “progressive” is that?

    We need pipelines, we need LNG in B.C. – those are the smartest infrastructure projects this country could immediately invest in, and you have the private sector involved in those. But of course this PM wants to downplay Canada’s resource industry, just like his father did, and push a climate change strategy (part of NEP “2”) that will actually hurt the West and its resource industry.

    Comment by Jon - BMR — March 25, 2016 @ 5:19 am

  7. Jon – well said.. and glad you are still a BLO holder… thought you had bailed:) my average is around 12 even with the PP..:)
    Trudeau??? he will be proven to be a buffoon!!!! really bad policies and tree hugging mindsets doesn’t lead to growth in any industry except maybe importing more from CHina:)

    DVR – side-note http://partners.wsj.com/cme/how-satellite-technology-is-predicting-crop-yields-qa-with-thomson-reuters/ interesting fundamental info

    Comment by Jeremy — March 25, 2016 @ 9:34 am

  8. Interesting trading in VGN yesterday, surprised that somebody sold a bunch at .06 but then realized it provided me an opportunity to transfer shares from my non-registered to TFSA account at .06 and eliminate future capital gains on some of my holdings, I am assuming of course that there will be capital gains but it seems like a great story.

    Comment by Danny — March 25, 2016 @ 10:28 am

  9. Jon,in your opinion,if WRR was making sure they had the right testing procedure for their ore,then by now they would have that down,and now we should expect some quick follow up results from here?
    The volume came back the day after the PR and buying came back in.This alone seems to say we could possibly expect to see something quick.
    Just trying to get a handle on what WRR is doing.The volume and price have held after the selloff.Getting something out of these guys is like pulling teeth.

    Comment by robinandthe7hoods — March 25, 2016 @ 8:23 pm

  10. They very much have a discovery at Lapon Canyon, robinandthe7hoods, which Michel stressed to me himself when we spoke last, but they certainly haven’t communicated that very well to the market. Those high grades, so close to surface and 150 m apart (from hole 1 to hole 2), is a terrific start to any drill program. So they need to communicate this more effectively and passionately. The key thing now, besides results from the remaining holes, is the resumption of drilling which I understood to be around the end of March.

    Comment by Jon - BMR — March 26, 2016 @ 5:22 am

  11. Not only is it WRR that needs to communicate more effectively, so does Regoci and GGI. I’m sure they have drilled into something at Rambo by now if they were going after high grade shoots. Their track record is excellent when it comes to hit ratio. Will GGI deliver news on Rambo next week? I sure hope they at least update us on drilling and the type of mineralization encountered.

    Comment by Dan1 — March 26, 2016 @ 7:20 am

  12. Dan1, I don’t even believe GGI has started drilling at Rambo yet so don’t get too excited.

    Comment by George — March 27, 2016 @ 1:51 pm

  13. Not drilling yet George? How do you know? It certainly wouldn’t surprise me. Jon, have you heard anything regarding George comment that GGI haven’t even began drilling Rambo yet?

    Comment by Dan1 — March 27, 2016 @ 4:22 pm

  14. My understanding is that the drill program is underway, Dan1, and hopefully we’ll see some news from GGI on that this week plus the Grizzly.

    Comment by Jon - BMR — March 28, 2016 @ 2:41 am

  15. Thanks Jon

    Comment by Dan1 — March 28, 2016 @ 3:22 am

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