Gold has traded between $1,257 and $1,273 so far today…as of 8:30 am Pacific, bullion is down slightly at $1,264…Silver has added 7 cents to $17.30…Copper is up 4 cents to $2.15…Crude Oil is 26 cents higher at $49.39 while the U.S. Dollar Index has recovered from its morning lows and is now off just one-tenth of a point at 93.48…
Holdings in the SPDR Gold Trust are up nearly 1% this week despite the pullback in bullion prices…they rose slightly again yesterday to 915.90 tonnes…
Ronald-Peter Stoeferle, fund manager at Liechtenstein-based Incrementum AG and author of the In Gold We Trust report (the 2016 edition comes out next week), had this to say about a possible Brexit vote today in an interview with Kitco News: “A Brexit doesn’t change the landscape for the Gold market. According to our research, political events only have a minor impact short-term impact on Gold and don’t define the longer-term trend,” he said…while Stoeferle expects the Remain side to win today, he maintains that Gold is now in a bull market that will take prices to $2,300 U.S. by 2018…his firm sees a growing chance of the U.S. falling into a recession later in the year and that uncertainty should be positive for Gold…
Final opinion polls show the possibility of a very close vote today in the UK, though the markets are factoring in a Remain victory…the outcome will hinge on the large number of undecided (>10%) as well as the turnout level among different demographic groups…those under 30 are generally believed to be more in favor of the UK remaining in the EU, but will they actually take the time to vote?…it’s also worth noting that in the 2014 Scottish independence referendum and the 1995 Quebec referendum, there was a late swing to the status quo (risk-adverse voters) and markets suggest that’s likely to happen again today…
The Remain side also appears to have conducted an effective fear campaign as pointed out by former media mogul Conrad Black in an interview on CTV’s Power Play yesterday: “The tremendous effort that has been deployed by the UK government to frighten the country, I think has really been quite offensive and excessive, “ he said (he forget to mention that EU President Donald Tusk said an exit by the UK could lead to the end of “western political civilization itself”). Black added, “My concern is the tendency of Brussels as a fundamentally anti-democratic organization to demand more and more meticulous powers of interference in the lives of individuals and corporations and enterprise of all kinds in all of the member states.”
For the 3rd month consecutive month, the United Kingdom was the main destination for Swiss Gold exports…69.473 tonnes of Gold was exported to the U.K. from Switzerland in May, though that was down modestly from 78.8 tonnes in April…bullion into the U.K has flowed mostly into the reserves of Gold-backed exchange-traded products, a strong investment of choice this year among Westerners…
Fear For Canada, Not The UK: The Frog Flap – A Sign of Things To Come?
If this is a sign of things to come from Justin Trudeau’s Liberals on the regulatory front, you can forget about any new pipelines ever being built in this country…
A noisy frog that weighs about 1 gram and measures about 2.5 cm has led the Liberal government to issue an “emergency order” – yes, an EMERGENCY ORDER, under the Species at Risk Act, blocking part of a residential project south of Montreal to protect the habitat of the western chorus frog (the Feds of course have yet to see the real western chorus, the voices of voter discontent from the west that are sure to grow exponentially over the next few years as they did the last time they were in power)…
The federal department of “Environment and Climate Change” says the frog order was necessary to “prevent the loss or degradation of the habitat the western chorus frog needs to grow and reproduce”…Wikipedia says this type of frog “has a huge distribution, from Canada to the Gulf of Mexico, and New Jersey to Arizona.”
A “huge” distribution, says Wikipedia…
So, this federal ruling will protect 2 sq. km of land in the municipality of La Prairie, Quebec, that includes the area where 171 housing units of a project called Symbiocité were to be built…
The implications of this are obvious…
“We have based our decision on the best available scientific knowledge,” federal Environment Minister Catherine McKenna said in a statement. “We firmly believe that economic development and the protection of biodiversity can, and must, go hand in hand.”
If the Feds will put a 1 gram frog ahead of a housing project, what kind of roadblocks are they going to throw in front of a pipeline or other key economic/resource initiatives?…
In today’s Morning Musings…
1. Heart of Gold Camp update…
2. Gold Standard Ventures’ (GSV, TSX-V) favorite stock (besides GSV)…
3. Greencastle Resources‘ (VGN, TSX-V) “hidden” assets…
Plus more…click here to take advantage of our Spring Sizzler Subscription Special in effect until June 30 only, or login with your username and password to view the rest of today’s Morning Musings…
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Pay attention to the houses nibbling away at CXO, and how the level 2 on GGI is changing. I smell sumtin coming soon.
Comment by dave — June 23, 2016 @ 10:29 am
Just to play the devil’s advocate here, the passenger pigeon had a “huge range” as well. As did the buffalo.
This isn’t really anything new – pretty sure companies lost more money due to the spotted owl.
Comment by Mmurphy — June 23, 2016 @ 2:40 pm
Oh wow!! The noisy endangered frog thing again.. Wonder if it was that same damn endangered .. that ended up being not endangered Oregon Bullfrog that apparently jumped to Langley BC and ended up on property we were developing. Took 2 years to sort that fiasco out with the Enviros…!!!
Comment by GregJ. — June 23, 2016 @ 3:19 pm
Listen, in Saskatchewan and Manitoba it will probably be the GOPHER that will stop pipelines, watch!
Comment by Laddy — June 23, 2016 @ 3:39 pm
Probably, Laddy…to think that a few friggin’ frogs could block a major housing project is unbelievable, but that’s our new federal Environment and Climate Change Department…
Comment by Jon - BMR — June 23, 2016 @ 3:47 pm
Leave campaign fairing better than most pundits expected in early going, has a chance in UK vote…maybe Brits will take back their country after all.
Comment by Jon - BMR — June 23, 2016 @ 3:48 pm
Worth a listen – CEO Adam Travis
youtube.com/watch?v=gICxsHFP8J0&feature=youtu.be
Comment by Dan1 — June 23, 2016 @ 3:57 pm
Gold just hit $1310. The leave campaign has taken the lead with England and Wales currently at 55% favoring the leave side. This is as good as watching a Stanley Cup game 7 final with your team in the lead after 1 period!
Comment by John — June 23, 2016 @ 7:25 pm
Gold, silver, I’m speechless…
Comment by Laddy — June 23, 2016 @ 7:53 pm
Brexit leave wins gold up 75 buks
Comment by TheSkipper — June 23, 2016 @ 8:25 pm
Hi John, Jon, and Dan
With Brexit behind us, it is clear that gold is going higher (spiked to $1362 today).
A higher gold price puts companies that need $1400 gold and higher to be profitable in play. Many of these optionality plays (will outperform if gold breaks $1400 plus) will have been given little consideration by the market up to this point and should be relatively cheap.
One example is Geologix Exploration (GIX) which needs $1400 gold and higher copper prices to be profitable. It’s been trending up from $.015 to $.09 on speculation of a higher gold price. We investors/traders love cheapies like GIX. My request is can you guys at BMR come up with more stocks like Geologix (particularily the cheapies)that need $1400/$1500 gold to outperform in a higher priced gold market?
These stocks might even have their own category in your Top Opportunities Lists. Just a suggestion. I’m not running BMR!
Comment by John — June 23, 2016 @ 11:54 pm
Another anti-establishment vote (another one coming in November), and Brits have also chosen to repatriate their laws which to me makes sense given how Brussels operates. Western political civilization is not going to come to an end as a result of this decision, as the fear mongering suggested, but the EU has certainly been given a much-needed wake-up call. Obviously bullish for Gold, and the Fed’s hands are now really tied.
Comment by Jon - BMR — June 24, 2016 @ 2:13 am
Hmm. Italy has rumbled about leaving. While not perfect, the EU had evolved,and a redo is going to take years for everyone to come to terms with. This is gonna be ugly. UK had some oversight on immigration before leaving unlike other parts of EU groups. Germany isnt going to be the dispenser of bailout bucks any more either i suspect. Mkts acting like subprime oops is a reoccurring theme
Comment by david — June 24, 2016 @ 3:02 am