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February 2, 2010

BMR Morning Market Musings…

The bullish divergence we have been writing about recently between the CDNX, the TSX Gold Index and gold itself seems to have correctly predicted a move in the price of gold which is up again this morning to $1,115 per ounce…gold has now jumped $35 over the past two days, and a gentle pullback and a consolidation between $1,100 and $1,120 would be healthy from a technical standpoint…the bullish divergence theory has proven to be extremely accurate and suggests that gold and commodities in general are headed much higher…there are conflicting indicators, though, including a stronger U.S. dollar…the CDNX is up six points to 1,516 as of 9:50 am Pacific time…Ventana Gold (VEN, TSX), which is not part of our portfolio but which we wrote about yesterday, has indeed broken out technically and at 9:50 am is now at $7.80, up 44 cents…we were buyers yesterday at $7.20 and $7.34…Ventana is very undervalued, given the size of its resource at La Bodega in Colombia, and there seems to be a growing realization that it will have no difficulty winning its legal dispute with the La Bodega property vendors through the arbitration process or prior to that in a cash settlement…Ventana appears headed for its 100-day moving average just under $9.00…all is quiet with our portfolio this morning…Richfield Ventures (RVC, TSX-V) is showing signs of bottoming out at the $1.00 level where we consider it a very attractive long-term buy though it could still test support around the 90 cent area…

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