Gold has enjoyed a solid day, trading as high as $1,785 this morning…as of 8:30 am Pacific, the yellow metal is up $27 an ounce at $1,781…there is near-term resistance at $1,800 and just below, so a minor pullback is very possible this week which could set up some better buying opportunities in certain Gold stocks…Silver is up 47 cents at $34.60, Copper is off 4 pennies at $3.54, Crude Oil, which has climbed for five straight weeks, is up another 54 cents to $94.85 while the U.S. Dollar Index is up nearly one-fifth of a point to 77.16…
The CDNX is up 2 points to 1652…the Index is currently trading in the middle of a strong resistance band and volume must increase, especially in order for the CDNX to push through the top end of that band which is 1700…this is a difficult market to trade and invest in at the moment and selectivity is key…
Visible Gold Mines‘ (VGD, TSX-V) announcement late Friday afternoon of a flow-through private placement at 30 cents was disappointing to say the least…given the selling by Pinetree’s Sheldon Inwentash in September, the resignation of board member Mike Curtis shortly thereafter, and now a financing involving no hard cash, the signs are not good…the biggest risk investors face with these speculative juniors is not just drill results, but how these companies are managed…VGD has a tremendous land package around Wasamac and a superb project at Joutel – none of that has changed – but President and CEO Martin Dallaire has surprisingly given confusing signals to the market recently and that’s never good…smart investors always look for consistency, clarity and transparency in a company’s approach…VGD is currently off 3.5 cents at 20.5 cents…
Richmont Mines (RIC, TSX) announced strong third quarter earnings this morning which were in line with our expectations – $6.08 million or 19 cents per share…the stock shot up to $13.35, just four pennies below its all-time high, on the news and a strong Gold market this morning…the company, however, has lowered its 2011 production guidance from 80,000 to 85,000 ounces to 75,000 to 80,000 ounces…Francoeur is taking longer than anticipated to reach commercial production which means a loss of development ore at the moment…the company now expects Francoeur to be in commercial production by the middle of next year…Richmont remains in strong shape, however, and an updated NI-43-101 resource estimate for Wasamac by year-end is on track…Wasamac has excellent potential to exceed market expectations in terms of its size, so any pullbacks in Richmont should be considered opportunities…this emerging intermediate producer has extremely bright prospects especially considering the outlook for Gold…the news this morning increases the likelihood of a short-term double top on the RIC chart as John showed yesterday…RIC needs to close above $13 to negate that possibility…it’s currently up 36 cents at $12.97…
John’s chart on Silver over the weekend was so interesting, we’re posting it again…we continue to investigate opportunities in Silver stocks, producers and speculative plays that could be top performers in 2012…
Jon, I’m assuming that VGD no longer meets BMR’s criteria as a quality stock to hold in the current market conditions as management is now questionable? Are you still holding VGD for it’s discovery potential? Thanks.
Comment by Andrew — November 7, 2011 @ 8:59 am
BMR – VGD, given the selling by Pinetree’s Sheldon Inwentash in September, the resignation of board member Mike Curtis shortly thereafter, and now a financing involving no hard cash, the signs are not good…the biggest risk investors face with these speculative juniors is not just drill results, but how these companies are managed…
Bert – The one stock, which i felt BMR had going for it. Now they drop
a bomb, so to speak. BMR have reminded all in the past, to do DD on
different stocks, now i am left to wonder, if they practiced what they
preached. oh boy !!!
Comment by Bert — November 7, 2011 @ 9:00 am
Bert, it doesn’t look good but if the resource is there it could turn things around. Inwentash hasn’t sold all his shares; he bought 1,000,000 about a year ago(Pinetree also hold at least 1/4m?). I don’t know why Mike Curtis resigned but I wish there had been a news release explaining it. I’m totally perplexed and unsure how to proceed!
Comment by Andrew — November 7, 2011 @ 9:09 am
I am holding on to my shares, at least until there is some news release. I believe there is still value in this company.
By the way Bert will you please inform me what specifically it was that we, and you, missed in our DD of VGD keeping in mind that we at BMR are not psychic.
Comment by John - BMR — November 7, 2011 @ 9:22 am
Thanks, John. That is the approach I am likely to take as well. If I dump now it will just decimate the stock price. Martin Dallaire is skilled at writing news releases, an update may stem the hemorrhage!
Comment by Andrew — November 7, 2011 @ 9:31 am
BMR – We at BMR are not psychic
Bert – How disappointing, i thought ye were. Anyway, it is not my
intention to continue with this negative frame of mind. R !
Comment by Bert — November 7, 2011 @ 9:34 am
I’m sorry to say that BMR’s recommendations, after initial success in the spring of 2010 when all boats were lifted, have been a disaster. They have flitted from one stock to another, beginning with a concerted campaign of pumping each new pick with all guns firing. Almost without exception, each new favorite has then proceeded to crash, at which point BMR simply placed it on the back burner and began promoting a new pick. VGD is just the most recent example of this. There have been many others: SD, GBB, GQC, CUI, VGN, ABI, etc., etc., etc. Sadly, we have a battlefield littered with dead soldiers, many of them long forgotten.
Comment by Roger — November 7, 2011 @ 9:40 am
Of course you’re forgetting the Richmonts, the Richfields, the Silver Quests, the Spanish Mountains, the Gold Canyons, the Probe Mines, and many other highly successful situations we’ve highlighted and keep highlighting, plus some great analysis on the Gold market…keep in mind the junior market is extremely speculative and risky, and many of these plays can fizzle out quickly and of course overall markets are volatile…only a small number of these juniors ever make it big…investors have to do their own due diligence and always consider risk and trade/invest accordingly…on balance, I believe we’ve done well…this is a free forum and everyone’s opinion is welcomed and respected…
Comment by Jon - BMR — November 7, 2011 @ 10:23 am
John, is there any point in an updated VGD chart, perhaps to see where support bands are and where resistance will be met if there is a positive news release?
Comment by Andrew — November 7, 2011 @ 10:27 am
I will update VGD chart later this week.
Comment by John - BMR — November 7, 2011 @ 10:54 am
Thanks, John – your TA will be much appreciated especially as I now have to look at a 2-yr chart to see the lows! 🙂
Comment by Andrew — November 7, 2011 @ 11:34 am
Hi John 🙂
What is your thoughts about GBB right now, how deep fall can we get? Can you do an chart update on GBB also?
And keep up the good work here.
Comment by Bosse — November 7, 2011 @ 3:52 pm
GBB just needs to get it’s house in order and move forward with it’s 43-101. Get the rest of the cores sampled and a plan going forward with regards to funding….there are options to raise money without further dilution. Announce a 4th round of drilling and we are off. IMO
Comment by Dan — November 7, 2011 @ 4:25 pm
VGD
It appears that VGD started trading yesterday in an abnormal
manner, which leads me to think that the p.p. may be between
0.15 & 0.20… Whether i am correct or not, the stock price
is beyond our control, but under the control of the powers’
to be. If any Canadian succeeds in playing this game, they
deserve the order of Canada. I compare it to a hockey game,
with the players on one side blindfolded. I may be considered
a complainer, but being an ordinary guy, trying to fight the
elements out there, leaves me throwing my support behind the
occupiers. Can you imagine that we, the ordinary folk, who toil
daily to try to make life more enjoyable for our families,
while we remain on this earth, only to see that SOME of the
wealthy out there, purchase the latest technology, just to try
to extract every last penny from my friend Andrew & me. R !
Comment by Bert — November 8, 2011 @ 6:20 am
Well Gordon Bennett! I wonder if Martin Dallaire can put two and two together and understand why his Company may be out of cash in Q1 2012!? I guess the reason for Mike Curtis’s resignation is not too difficult to determine – he was the financing expert! I’m a teapot!
Comment by Andrew — November 8, 2011 @ 7:33 am
BMR – Of course you’re forgetting the Richmonts, the Richfields, the Silver Quests, the Spanish Mountains, the Gold Canyons, the Probe Mines, and many other highly successful situations we’ve highlighted and keep highlighting, plus some great analysis on the Gold market…
Bert – While i’m in a bad mood, i might as well respond to the above noted suggestion that we
may have a memory loss. The producers were highlighted by BMR, more so, when the speculative stocks died & it was suggested by them, that we consider producers with cash. Not that i want an award or anything, always trying to be of assistance, but i can’t remember SQI ever being mentioned, until i brought it forward, but i do stand to be corrected. Did BMR misjudge the market, i think so ! R !
Comment by Bert — November 8, 2011 @ 8:15 am
I am sorry to say that I too am disappointed in the way the stock picks are presented.
Every new pick is presented with the most optimism you can ever hope to read on a stock site.
Then they die and the updates are reduced to a one-liner comment.
And Gold Canyon? I have been following this site for more that a year and have only read a couple of comments on this company. In contrast, GBB got an update two times a week. Including a visit to headquarters which resulted in less than satisfactory reporting.
As far as I can see the only winner that is still winning now is Richmont. My view is limited I admit.
Your (technical) analysis on the gold market is very good, I will give you that.
Again, I am not blaming anyone. But maybe it is time to rewrite your articles so new investors do not read the financial data while influenced by the (too) optimistic impressions given by this site.
Comment by Digga — November 10, 2011 @ 5:14 am