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November 10, 2011

BMR Morning Market Musings…

Gold is showing additional weakness this morning…the yellow metal managed to hold support around $1,750 overnight and bounced back as high as $1,777…during the last hour, however, Gold has turned south and is off $25 an ounce at $1,744 as of 7:50 am Pacific…Silver is 66 cents lower at $33.38…Copper has lost a dime to $3.35, Crude Oil has gained $1.14 to $96.88 while the U.S. Dollar Index is off slightly at 77.82…

The U.S. Labor Department said initial jobless claims fell by a slightly more than expected 10,000 to a seasonally adjusted 390,000 in the week ended November 5, the lowest level since April 2…the four-week average of new claims, seen as a better indicator due to the reduced volatility, dropped by 5,250 to 400,000, the lowest level since April 16…

Investors remain focused on events in Europe as the debt crisis in the euro zone deepens…in a crucial test of its ability to avoid a bailout, Italy managed to find buyers today for 5 billion euros of new debt but paid a painful price to get them out the door…investors demanded a yield, or interest rate, of 6.087% on the 1-year bills, the highest since 1997 and up from the 3.57% at a similar auction a month ago…the Italian treasury, however, took some pleasure in learning that demand was strong, at two times the amount on offer…

China’s exports rose at the slowest pace in almost two years in October as Europe’s woes crimped demand, adding pressure on policy makers to support growth in the world’s second-biggest economy…exports rose 15.9% year-on-year, down from 17.1% a month earlier…imports, however,  increased 28.7%, accelerating from a 20.7% pace, showing domestic consumption remains strong…economists at Barclays Capital cautioned that the jump in imports may have been exaggerated by producers taking advantage of the correction in global commodity prices to build inventories of crude oil and copper….official data released this morning howed that China’s copper imports in October stood at 383,507 tonnes, virtually on par with September’s imports, which were at a 16-month high, while imports of iron ore, a key steelmaking ingredient, fell to 49.9 million tonnes, the lowest since February…analysts expect that iron imports will rebound somewhat in coming months as mills restock and steel production picks up during the traditionally busy winter months…

The CDNX, which took a 49-point hit yesterday, is off another 6 points at 1615 as of 7:50 am Pacific…cracks are beginning to appear in this rally and next week may not be pretty…the Index fell below its 10-day moving average (SMA) yesterday for the first time since October 20 when the 20-day SMA provided support…strong and perhaps critical support exists around 1575 with the 20-day currently at 1595…the TSX short ETF’s, the HIX and the HXD, have both held important support and are gaining momentum…Adventure Gold (AGE, TSX-V) and RT Minerals (RTM, TSX-V) were both halted shortly after the opening bell this morning with news now out…AGE, RTM and Lake Shore Gold (LSG, TSX) provided an update on drilling progress at the Meunier-144 Property where deep drilling continues…the possibility of a down-plunge extension of the Timmins Mine and Thunder Creek orebodies still exists given early indications, but the best assay value obtained to date is 2 g/t Au over 1.1 metres from a zone located at a down hole depth of 2,925 metres…more assay results are pending and drilling continues, but assays are going to have to get a lot better than that…John’s chart this morning is on Currie Rose Resources (CUI, TSX-V) which is trading at 7 cents this morning…CUI has been around for four decades (without a share consolidation), so it will survive any turbulence or downturn in the markets…it hasn’t been a good year for CUI, but the company’s Sekenke Project in Tanzania offers strong potential though much more exploration is required…

We apologize for the abbreviated editions of Morning Musings in recent days…Jon’s mother has passed away, after a battle with lung cancer, and he has been attending to various matters…regular postings will resume Saturday…tomorrow is Remembrance Day and Canadian markets are closed…


21 Comments

  1. My sincere condolences to Jon and his family.

    Comment by Andrew — November 10, 2011 @ 8:01 am

  2. my prayers are with you Jon.

    Comment by dave — November 10, 2011 @ 8:28 am

  3. Jon,

    To you and your family, my condolences. I lost my mother this year and I can say that the pain you feel today will diminish and the happy, loving memories will replace them. It does take a while but it will happen and you will realize how blessed you were to have the mother you did.

    Comment by Wayne — November 10, 2011 @ 9:23 am

  4. Hi Jon,
    Sorry to hear this news. My sincere condolence to you and your family and I pray that God will give you and your family a big strength to bear this loss.

    Comment by Eric Benson — November 10, 2011 @ 10:19 am

  5. Sincere condolences to Jon and his family.

    Comment by Paul — November 10, 2011 @ 10:56 am

  6. Sorry about your loss, Jon. My condolences to you and your family.

    Comment by alec — November 10, 2011 @ 1:08 pm

  7. My condolences Jon. Be strong!

    Comment by Bruce — November 10, 2011 @ 3:53 pm

  8. My condolences Jon

    Comment by Scotty C — November 10, 2011 @ 4:53 pm

  9. My condolences to you and your family Jon

    Comment by jimmy — November 10, 2011 @ 5:47 pm

  10. I forwarded 2 different comments today, which were there but not showing now. Anyone else
    have this problem please ? i will try again. R !

    Bert

    Comment by Bert — November 10, 2011 @ 6:57 pm

  11. Jon

    You have my deepest sympathy.

    Bert

    Comment by Bert — November 10, 2011 @ 6:57 pm

  12. John

    It’s my understanding that the Canadian markets are open tomorrow.

    Bert

    Comment by Bert — November 10, 2011 @ 6:58 pm

  13. 2011 Stock Market Holidays – Stock Markets Closed
    New Year’s Day – January 3, 2011
    Family Day – February 21, 2011
    Good Friday – April 22, 2011
    Victoria Day – May 23, 2011
    Canada Day – July 1, 2011
    Civic Holiday – August 1, 2011
    Labour Day – September 5, 2011
    Thanksgiving Day – October 10, 2011
    Christmas Day – December 26, 2011(In lieu of December 25)
    Boxing Day – December 27, 2011 (in lieu of December 26)

    Comment by seamus — November 10, 2011 @ 8:21 pm

  14. stock markets are closed in Canada on Nov 11.

    Comment by M. — November 10, 2011 @ 9:21 pm

  15. Canadian and U.S. equity trading is open tomorrow. Canadian banks are closed so money transfers will not be processed till monday november 14th.

    Comment by Ed — November 10, 2011 @ 11:52 pm

  16. Jon, very sorry for your loss. This is a tough one for everyone and I know how devastating it feels.
    Best Wishes
    Patrick

    Comment by Patrick — November 11, 2011 @ 4:39 am

  17. On Friday, November 11, 2011, Canadian and U.S. equities and options markets are open. The Canadian and U.S. Bond and Fixed Income markets are closed, and there is no settlement for Canadian and U.S. equities.

    Comment by John - BMR — November 11, 2011 @ 5:08 am

  18. Thanks, John, sorry folks, my mistake yesterday. I made an assumption that I didn’t double-check. There will be a posting around 9 am Pacific today followed by a message from Terry re: Remembrance Day. Thanks to everyone for their condolences regarding my mom.

    Comment by Jon - BMR — November 11, 2011 @ 7:16 am

  19. Hi Jon. My sympathies to you and your family this day… funny how things go… my dad passed Nov 9th 1979, my mum is diagnosed with lung cancer on Nov 8, and yr mum passes on the 10th… bad month.. to everyone.. dont forget your priorities… what ever they are

    Comment by Jeremy — November 11, 2011 @ 7:36 am

  20. Jon

    You had more than enough on your mind, besides thinking about the market.
    Even today, i feel certain no one would mind not seeing a posting. Take it
    easy my friend ! R !

    Comment by Bert — November 11, 2011 @ 7:55 am

  21. Thanks, Bert, but we do have a short posting and then a Remembrance Day message from Terry…and then I will take a break the rest of today…

    Comment by Jon - BMR — November 11, 2011 @ 8:05 am

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