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April 3, 2012

BMR Morning Market Musings…

Gold fell as low as $1,670 within the last hour but has clawed its way back to $1,676 as of 6:10 am Pacific for a loss of just $1 an ounce for the daySilver is 7 cents lower at $32.92…Copper is flat at $3.92…Crude Oil is 60 cents lower at $104.63 while the U.S. Dollar Index is up modestly at 78.91…

Traders will be looking later on today (11 am Pacific) a the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s most recent policy meeting for any guidance about what might be next on the table….as of 6:00 am Pacific, U.S. stock index futures are down slightly after yesterday’s multi-year highs…

We’re seeing positive technical signs in both the TSX Venture Exchange and the TSX Gold Index…the Venture, which has been showing strong support at an important Fibonacci retracement level around 1550, closed up 3 points yesterday to 1570…the TSX Gold Index, meanwhile, is emerging from a significant sell-off and has posted gains in each of the past three sessions…it closed yesterday at 340 with the next immediate target being a resistance band as shown in John’s chart below…recent intense selling pressure is abating with bargain hunters stepping in…

Gold Bullion Development (GBB, TSX-V)

Gold Bullion finally released its first NI-43-101 resource estimate for its Granada Gold Property…the stock responded favorably yesterday with a gain of a penny-and-a-half to 18 cents…the turnaround with GBB likely won’t be swift, especially considering the company has to raise more money, but the recent 11-cent low has got to be considered the bottom, so the recovery phase is underway…only 70% of the holes drilled to date by GBB were used in the resource calculation…given the fact also that the Granada deposit remains open in all directions, laterally and at depth, the possibility of a multi-million ounce deposit remains very much intact with a potential strike length of more than 10 kilometres…whether GBB is the best company to advance this project to the next level is questionable…Granada is all about volume and that means a massive amount of drilling, a large exploration budget and the right personnel to make that happen…if a larger company sees the potential of Granada through this 43-101,  then certainly a takeover would be a distinct possibility…

Spanish Mountain Gold (SPA, TSX-V)

Spanish Mountain is developing a low-grade deposit of its own in British Columbia…the company has been more efficient on the ground than Gold Bullion but it’s never easy developing a Gold deposit…SPA has seen its stock price drop in half from late last year for no obvious reason other than general market sentiment…interestingly, support for SPA appears to be holding at the 1,000-day moving average (SMA) which is beginning to flatten out and could reverse to the upside at some point this year…below is an updated chart from John on SPA which, like GBB, remains on our “Watch List”…RSI(14) appears to have bottomed out on this 2.5-eyar weekly chart produced after last Friday’s close…SPA closed yesterday at 47 cents…

Note: John, Jon and Terry do not hold positions in SPA.

Antioquia Gold (AGD, TSX-V)

Yesterday, we pointed out a promising play in GreenLight Resources (GR, TSX-V)…today, we suggest investors perform their due diligence on Antioquia Gold (AGD, TSX-V) which has a promising Gold project (Cisneros) in Colombia, approximately 55 kilometres northeast of Medelin in the general vicinity of AngloGold Ashanti and B2Gold’s Gramalote Project…Cisneros is a multiple deposit scenario, and AGD holds a unique advantage in the fact that it has a strong financial partner in a privately-held company (Desafio) which is Peru’s second-largest underground producer…Desafio holds 35% of AGD and is the exploration arm of another privately-held Peruvian company, Conscorcio Minero Horizonte…these companies bring many years of experience in the exploration, development and operation of underground vein deposits like Cisneros…Antioquia’s share price suffered during last month’s market weakness and AGD fell to an all-time low of 7.5 cents where their appeared to be capitulation…it closed yesterday at 9.5 cents for a market cap of just under $10 million which makes this very interesting based on the exploration potential…two deposits have already been discovered at Cisneros but no NI-43-101 resource estimate has been provided yet…the company is planning on drilling another 20,000 metres this year in an effort to build on known mineralized zones and identify new potential deposits over the 5,600 hectare land package which contains up to 60 artisnal Gold mines…below is John’s technical perspective on AGD in a 3.5-year weekly chart..this is a great bottom-fishing opportunity in our view…

Note: John, Jon and Terry do not hold positions in AGD.

Wildcat Silver (WS, TSX) and Volta Resources (VTR, TSX) Chart Updates

Wildcat Silver


Note: John, Jon and Terry do not hold positions in WS.

Volta Resources


Note:  John, Jon and Terry do not hold positions in VTR.

10 Comments

  1. Are you guys not featurign HDA anymore? just creeped out of oversold territory yesterday. Production starts in Q2…lots of room to move…

    Comment by db — April 3, 2012 @ 5:18 am

  2. MTU at an all time low. Good land package, as with AGE, but not sufficient liquidity for actively trading (again in common with AGE). Maybe of interest to someone who wants to bottom fish?

    Comment by Andrew — April 3, 2012 @ 5:40 am

  3. Gil & Don – congrats with RGX! Flying today after this morning’s news – I was still watching the chart and waiting for it to unwind. 🙂

    Comment by Andrew — April 3, 2012 @ 6:44 am

  4. GreenLight Formalizes Option Agreement on Keymet Property, New Brunswick

    Comment by Andrew — April 3, 2012 @ 7:21 am

  5. CEV looking weak technically, maybe fundamentally as well?

    Comment by Andrew — April 3, 2012 @ 7:27 am

  6. Kali’s parents were killed by a drunk driver, she lives in my neighbourhood.
    New Brunswick student recognized as TD Community leader

    TD Scholarship for Community Leadership 2012 recipient Kali O’Dell recognized for vision, leadership and community spirit
    TORONTO, April 3, 2012 /CNW/ – TD Bank Group is recognizing 20 of Canada’s most promising students by awarding each of them a 2012 TD Scholarship for Community Leadership. One of the most prestigious merit scholarships in Canada, it is valued at up to $70,000 per student. The scholarship recognizes and supports Canada’s emerging leaders, all of whom have demonstrated innovation and initiative while making a difference in their community. Each scholarship recipient exemplifies the best in community leadership from coast to coast.
    This year, TD recognized the achievements of Kali O’Dell, a Quispamsis student who has inspired social justice in her community.
    For the 17th consecutive year, TD will contribute more than $1 million towards the recipients’ post-secondary tuition and living expenses, along with a guaranteed offer of summer employment at TD for up to four years. Eligible students are in their final year of high school or CEGEP in Quebec.  To date, TD has donated more than $17 million to 340 students.
    “We are thrilled to recognize these exceptional students and community leaders with the TD Scholarship for Community Leadership. They offer us a glimpse of our country’s bright future,” said Frank McKenna, Deputy Chair, TD Bank Group. “TD is proud to support those who make a positive impact in their community.”
    TD Scholarships for Community Leadership – 2012 New Brunswick Recipient:
    Kali O’Dell has been tackling the issue of drunk driving since Grade 9 when she founded Teens Against Drunk Driving in Quispamsis at Kennebecasis Valley High School. Kali has done extensive public speaking, and has participated in several MADD public service announcements and school assembly programs to create awareness and encourage responsible choices in her community.
    For more information about this year’s recipients, as well as eligibility and application details for the TD Scholarships for Community Leadership, visit TD website

    Comment by Andrew — April 3, 2012 @ 8:51 am

  7. TODAYS SMILE. NEVER CRITICES A MAN UNLESS YOU WALK A MILE IN HIS SHOES.THAN WHEN YOU CRITICISE HIM YOU WILL BE A MILE AWAY AND YOU WILL HAVE HIS SHOES .

    Comment by gil — April 3, 2012 @ 1:28 pm

  8. A MERRY HEART DOETH GOOD LIKE A MEDICINE.SOURCE TBE BIBLE

    Comment by gil — April 3, 2012 @ 1:32 pm

  9. GBB as I predicted yesterday… dropped back as there is no volume to support the jump. The drill results are not really eye catching even though the result is endorsed by SGS. The stock may flow between 14-16 cents for awhile. If there is no large turnover (talking about average 1.5 million or more), it will slide back to drop below 14 cents. There are too may placement shares waiting to be dumped… small investors only… Beware!

    Comment by Theodore — April 3, 2012 @ 6:01 pm

  10. Rock-on Theodore, agree 99% 🙂

    Comment by ac — April 4, 2012 @ 12:31 am

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