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February 5, 2013

BMR Morning Market Musings…

Gold has traded between $1,672 and $1,683 so far today…as of 5:25 am Pacific, the yellow metal is up $2 an ounce at $1,676…Silver is 14 cents higher at $31.90…Copper is flat at $3.74…Crude Oil is up 65 cents at $96.82 while the U.S. Dollar Index has climbed slightly to 79.62…Gold gave encouraging signs yesterday with an intra-day reversal despite strength in the greenback and weakness in the Oil market…

Today’s Markets

Asian markets were mostly significantly lower overnight, though China’s Shanghai Composite bucked the trend with a slight gain to close at 2433…China’s central bank pumped a record amount into money markets today in an attempt to satisfy demand for cash before next week’s Chinese New Year holiday…the liquidity injection is only short term in nature and does not constitute a shift in monetary policy, but analysts said it underscores how the central bank has honed its use of open market operations in recent months to ensure a more stable funding backdrop for banks, investors and companies…European shares are higher today as investor confidence was boosted by a series of earnings releases and positive business activity data in the euro zone, helping stocks to recover from losses yesterday…troubles are certainly not over in the euro zone, though…Spain is tackling a corruption scandal, as Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy denied allegations that he received secret cash payments…in Italy, there is growing uncertainty over the outcome of the upcoming elections with former Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi gaining ground…there are also fresh concerns over the health of the Italian banking system…stock index futures in New York are pointing toward a positive open on Wall Street after yesterday’s 130-point drop in the Dow…the Venture Exchange fell 12 points yesterday to 1217, slightly above the 50-day moving average which has provided support since early January…

Below is an updated Dow chart from John which shows the RSI(2) extreme overbought condition is beginning to unwind…more near-term consolidation can be expected as the Dow digests its impressive gains since late November…

Rainbow Resources (RBW, TSX-V)

Rainbow Resources (RBW, TSX-V) is off to a good start at its Jewel Ridge Gold-Silver Project in Nevada with a high-grade Silver discovery so close to surface, you could almost shovel it out of the ground…RBW intersected 601 g/t Ag over a 3-metre interval from 15.2 to 18.2 metres in hole JR-12-04…this argillic zone also included 1.1 g/t Au and 13.5% combined lead and zinc…Silver mineralization was continuous from surface to nearly 50 metres, grading 45.6 g/t…where there is one of these argillic zones, there is often a cluster of them…Greencastle’s 2004 drilling, surprisingly, did not assay for anything other than GoldRBW cut wide envelopes of low grade Gold and Silver mineralization in four out of the six holes drilled at Jewel Ridge, which is exactly what they had to do…the grades are consistent with what’s expected in the area and what can potentially be mined economically…the Silver discovery throws an interesting twist into Jewel Ridge as a lot of Silver was mined historically in the area…it appears Rainbow has two deposit types at Jewel Ridge – a sediment hosted Gold system with Silver values, and a polymetallic replacement system featuring higher grade Silver plus lead and zinc…it’ll be interesting to see how this plays out with further exploration…a conceptual geological model is being prepared for Jewel Ridge which will be another important step forward for this project…Rainbow is the first company to compile all of the available historical data on Jewel Ridge into one data base…combined with the fresh drilling data, Rainbow should be able to very effectively pinpoint the best locations for Phase 2 drilling…more results are expected soon from Jewel Ridge (rock sampling plus perhaps some historical data) while final assays are also pending from Gold Viking where Rainbow has made a Gold-Silver discovery in the southern part of the property…

Blackwater – 25 Million Ounces?

Some interesting comments from New Gold Inc. (NGD, TSX) director Pierre Lassonde who apparently told reporters following a speech at last week’s Roundup mining conference in Vancouver that “There is a 50/50 chance that it (Blackwater) will be a 25 million ounce camp“…Blackwater currently hosts a Gold resource of just over 10 million ounces…Lassonde said his projections are based not only on indicated and inferred resources in the Blackwater zone, but also on additional discoveries on nearby ground including the Capoose Property…”In between,” he said, “there is a lot of interesting geochemistry”…Lassonde’s prediction bodes well for several juniors in the area including one of our favorites, Parlane Resource Corp. (PPP, TSX-V), which just recently made a drilling discovery at its Big Bear Property in a hole that’s right on strike between Blackwater and Capoose…geologically and for infrastructure purposes, it makes perfect sense for New Gold to take out Parlane which is gearing up for a second round of drilling at Big Bear in the spring…

Cap-Ex Ventures (CEV, TSX-V)

Cap-Ex Ventures (CEV, TSX-V) released a stellar maiden resource estimate for its Block 103 iron ore property yesterday, and the stock climbed as high as 50 cents before closing at 47 cents for a gain of 2 pennies on total volume (all exchanges) of 1.7 million shares…below is an updated chart from John…note the 52-cent Fibonacci level where stiff resistance can be expected…

Mart Resources (MMT, TSX-V) Chart Update

Mart Resources (MMT, TSX-V) continues to be a terrific performer and has remained in an upsloping channel since late 2011…

Note: John and Jon hold share positions in RBW.

19 Comments

  1. With RBW down again on it’s recent discovery it seems the gold and silver they have been finding has mostly been in vain.

    Comment by Rick — February 5, 2013 @ 6:50 am

  2. VENTURE STILL APPEARS TO BE A ‘VERY SLOW MOVING TRAIN’. ANY IDEA WHEN YOU GUYS THINK IT COULD GET GOING? DOW OVER 14K AGAIN THIS MORNING!

    Comment by STEVEN — February 5, 2013 @ 7:12 am

  3. what do you think of GBB’s news release from yesterday?

    Comment by M. — February 5, 2013 @ 7:45 am

  4. It’s gonna be a dilutive month for RBW holders. Their last financial statement of november the 30th shows a negative work capital of $100.000. Good luck in plugging this hole in this market!

    Comment by Aldie — February 5, 2013 @ 8:11 am

  5. “you could almost shovel it out” speaking of shoveling it out did you get the interview with Mr Johnston?

    Comment by Rick — February 5, 2013 @ 10:01 am

  6. Steven – perhaps the venture is slow moving because of the nature of what it comprises – saw this this morning and had to laugh (OR CRY) — Amid the euphoria of today’s crossing of the Dow’s Maginot Line at 14,000, Kyle Bass provided a few minutes of sanity this morning in an interview with CNBC’s Gary Kaminsky. Bass starts by reflecting on the ongoing (and escalating) money-printing (or balance sheet expansion as we noted here) as the driver of stock movements currently and would not be surprised to see them move higher still (given the ongoing printing expected). However, he caveats that nominally bullish statement with a critical point, “Zimbabwe’s stock market was the best performer this decade – but your entire portfolio now buys you 3 eggs” as purchasing power is crushed. Investors, he says, are “too focused on nominal prices” as the rate of growth of the monetary base is destroying true wealth. Bass is convinced that cost-push inflation is coming (as the velocity of money will move once psychology shifts) and investors must not take their eye off the insidious nature of underlying inflation – no matter what we are told by the government (as they will always lie when its critical).

    Comment by pete — February 5, 2013 @ 10:10 am

  7. Hi John, V.IBC reported yesterday on a good first hole on the LH, just beside the DVN Willa, showing a good 50 meter stepout from previous operators discovery. Might be early, but nevertheless is more good news for the Slocan camp……what are your thoughts ?

    Comment by Larry J — February 5, 2013 @ 10:53 am

  8. Folks prepare to stomach another new low with the ventures – as for RBW, it looks like we’re officially dry on bids until the next round ofdrilling proves that these guys have something tangible and not just a few meters of mineralization. 8-9 cents, here we come.

    Good idea on the options at 15 cents RBW management – the SP won’t see a close above 15 until every one of those 1mm shares are sold – it’s free money to our hard-working consultants lol.

    BMR – “I’ve spoken today to several major investors I respect, and a couple of geologists, and they believe these results are fantastic.”

    My question is are these esteemed business contacts of yours the ones buying the 1000 and 5000 share lots? Something doesn’t add up here – we’re talking about “fantastic” drill results and the stock is near its all-time low. Your response?

    Comment by alex — February 5, 2013 @ 11:27 am

  9. This is just getting better and better!

    Comment by Kalkan - Sweden — February 5, 2013 @ 11:47 am

  10. alex- maybe you should buy the t.v. if you think rbw is going places. as for jon, he can’t say sell now thats for sure. I did a bunch of dd on one and its up over 200%. I tried to give it to you bout a month and a half ago but it was quickly deleted. good luck to all you rbw holders.

    Comment by dave — February 5, 2013 @ 11:52 am

  11. Jon,

    Any comments on the latest GBB news release?

    Comment by Steven — February 5, 2013 @ 12:05 pm

  12. Dead on again BMR.

    Comment by OldMan — February 5, 2013 @ 1:03 pm

  13. Is it just me or is David Johnston looking more every day like Frank Basa Lite?

    Comment by Rick — February 5, 2013 @ 1:12 pm

  14. GBB may hit 5 cents low…. reverse split may be the next step if the stock continues to slide. RBW may drop to 10 cents. GQC will go down to 45 cents.

    Comment by Theodore — February 5, 2013 @ 5:05 pm

  15. There will be no reverse split on gbb Theodore. Stop your fear mongering. Gbb is in fine shape. Smart money on the bid

    Comment by Heath — February 5, 2013 @ 5:47 pm

  16. theo, we missed your insight.

    Comment by sean — February 5, 2013 @ 6:22 pm

  17. Too many good stocks are down too much; gryphon gold, kaminak gold, quest rare minerals, olivut, intertainment media, encanto potash, abcourt, cap-ex ventures, gold quest, and not to mention the GBBs and RBWs of BMR. On my list, only Eastmain and Aurcane are getting some respect. Even Detour Gold is down by 30% from its recent high.

    Comment by Alexandre — February 5, 2013 @ 8:41 pm

  18. heath.now thats funny.

    Comment by tom — February 6, 2013 @ 6:37 am

  19. Peruvian government to spend $68 million USD in infrastructure near Las Huaquillas Gold Project in Northern Peru (Inca One’s flagship property) V.io is the ticker symbol and if you do a little DD you’ll be greatly surprised at what you find.

    http://incaone.com/news/news_releases/index.php?&content_id=64

    incaone.com

    Comment by Tony T. — February 7, 2013 @ 3:49 am

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