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November 30, 2019

The Week In Review And A Week Ahead!

We’re now about to start the best 3-month period on the calendar for the Venture.

Historically, over the past 2 decades, December, January and February have produced a combined return on the Venture of more than 11%.  Since the heavy lifting comes from less than 20% of the market, gains in certain stocks during this period can be quite spectacular.

December typically starts slow but then kicks into high gear immediately before or just after Christmas.

Do your Christmas shopping early on the Venture, especially this year as most of the tax loss selling appears to have already occurred.

There are also indications that the “December-January-February” effect this time around could be more intense than usual as we’ll explain in today’s Week In Review And A Look Ahead.

BMR subscribers have enjoyed market-trouncing returns through our boots-on-the-ground research and unbeatable technical and fundamental analysis of speculative niche sectors.

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Questions for us? Email us at: info@bullmarketrun.com.

Comments (9)

November 29, 2019

7 @ 7:00

Visit the BMR comments section throughout the day for updates and helpful information!

1. Gold has traded in a narrow range between $1,453 and $1,460 on this final trading day of the month following U.S. Thanksgiving…as of 7:00 am Pacific, Gold is up $2 an ounce at $1,457…key support in the $1,440’s continues to hold…Silver is also flat at $16.89…Nickel has fallen 12 cents to $6.24 while Copper, Zinc and Cobalt are all relatively unchanged at $2.65, $1.05 and $16.10, respectively…Crude Oil has tumbled $1.56 a barrel to $56.55OPEC watchers expect an extension to a pact to throttle Oil output but no deeper cuts to be agreed by the producer group and its allies next week…the U.S. Dollar Index is up slightly at 98.42…persistent negative government bond yields have fundamentally changed the investment risk landscape and as a result, Gold is now the preferred safe-haven asset within a diversified portfolio, according to a prominent private Swiss asset management firm…Lombard Odier Group said that in the current investment environment, Gold becomes a necessity rather than an optional allocation”…U.S. consumers splurged more than $2 billion online in the first hours of Thanksgiving shopping yesterday…crowds were largely thin at retailers on the eve of Black Friday, reflecting the broader trend away from shopping at brick-and-mortar stores…the divergence between most commodities and stocks partly reflects the differing fortunes of the American economy in comparison to that of China and other nations…U.S. GDP rose at a 2.1% annual rate in the 3rd quarter, suggesting the expansion remained on solid ground heading into the final stretch of 2019…a decline in industrial profits, meanwhile, showed China is on a weaker footing…the Trudeau economy slowed to 1.3% annual GDP growth in Q3, Stats Canada reported this morning…this was in line with expectations…beyond the 3rd quarter, economists predict another 1.3% reading in the final 3 months of 2019…next year doesn’t look much better, with growth seen running at about 1.5% in 2020…that’s a sufficiently prolonged period of below-potential growth for markets to anticipate the Bank of Canada will cut interest rates as early as January…

2. Gordon Chang, the author of “The Coming Collapse of China”, said yesterday that Beijing’s threats of taking “countermeasures” over the U.S. law backing the protests in Hong Kong are “laughable” and that the nation is in no position to “anger its best customer” as its economy slumps…Beijing was quick to admonish President Trump and Congress for passing 2 bills aimed at supporting human rights in Hong Kong…the Chinese foreign ministry said in a statement that the bills will only “strengthen the resolve of the Chinese people, including the Hong Kong people, and raise the sinister intentions and hegemonic nature of the U.S.”,  and promised vague “countermeasures”…Chang told Fox News that anything Beijing can do “will hurt itself more than us, and given how close its economy is to the edge of the cliff the regime could end up doing itself in by retaliating”…he continued, “For 4 decades, we were told by elites and policymakers that we could not afford to upset China.  Wednesday, President Trump did what his predecessors would not do – defend America from a China that is going after us.  The same power that is encroaching on Hong Kong’s autonomy is attacking our society across the board”

3. Eric Sprott has dramatically increased his position in DynaCERT (DYA, TSX-V), taking a 9.12% stake in the company through a $14 million private placement at 50 cents per unit…Sprott now beneficially owns or controls 29.9 million shares and 14 million warrants of the company…“DynaCERT presents an unusual once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to participate at the commercial stage of what is a proven and compelling transformative technology to reduce carbon emissions in diesel engines, globally,” stated Sprott…“I support the successful international mission of DynaCERT and I see this new investment as a means to participate in the important world-wide demand for carbon credits resulting from socially-conscious users of mining equipment, trucking, transportation and power generation”…in late October, DynaCERT announced that its HydraGEN Technology has been approved for underground mining applications in Canada pursuant to a formal risk assessment commissioned by Total Equipment Services (TES), DynaCERT’s dealer based in Sudbury, and one of TES‘s major underground mining customers in Northern Ontario…Jim Payne, President & CEO of DynaCERT, noted, “Eric Sprott’s endorsement of DynaCERT today is yet another one of the most significant turning points of our company’s history.  We are confident that our mutual alignment with personal and corporate objectives will continue to result in ongoing significant global achievements.  With Eric’s strong support, we are much further ahead, faster and better than we could have imagined, even just a few months ago.  In the last few months, our team has solidified. We have brought together many enviable professionals, international business leaders, experts and expertise, loyal employees and consultants from many countries and multiple disciplines.  We, our board, our management, our clients, our dealers and distributors, and our shareholders, now welcome Mr. Sprott, and look forward to our beneficial associations together for years to come”

4. Newmont Goldcorp (NGT, TSX; NEM, NYSE) is increasing its stake in GT Gold (GTT, TSX-V)...the major is investing another $8.3 million through a hard dollar private placement in GTT at a price of $1.20 per share…upon completion of the financing, Newmont Goldcorp will own 14.9% of GT Gold, an increase from the 9.9% it acquired last May…“I am delighted that the world’s leading Gold producer, Newmont Goldcorp, has increased its stake in GT Gold through this financing, which further supports the thesis that the Saddle North Gold-rich Copper porphyry discovery has the pedigree to become a Tier 1 asset,” stated GT Gold President and CEO Paul Harbidge…“The drill results from the 2019 field season continue to delineate a project with scale, grade and bulk mining options while exploration results from within the 46,827 hectare Tatogga Project are providing a pipeline of future targets for drill testing, in what we believe to be a new porphyry district in British Colombia (sic), Canada (Harbidge just needs to learn the correct spelling of the province he’s operating in)…“Matched with excellent infrastructure, this project makes for a compelling investment.  Newmont Goldcorp is an excellent partner and is providing significant technical expertise to the GT Gold team in accelerating the advancement of Saddle North to a geological model, expected end of the first quarter of 2020, followed by the release of an inaugural resource, expected by the end of the 2nd quarter of 2020 and a Preliminary Economic Assessment (“PEA”) by late 2020″…following the completion of the financing, GT Gold expects cash on hand to be sufficient to fund all expenditures up to and including the PEA, as well as a provide a sizeable buffer for work following the PEA into 2021, to be planned based on the results of the 2020 technical program…GTT is up a penny at 92 cents as of 7:00 am Pacific

5. The Dow is down 68 through the first 30 minutes of trading amid worries around U.S.-China trade relations…however, this has been a banner month for U.S. equities…the Dow, S&P 500 and NASDAQ are up 4.1%, 3.8% and 5%, respectively, the best month since June…meanwhile, the small-cap Russell has hit a new 52-week high…the index’s breakout this week has emboldened the bulls as it clears the way for broader stock market gains as well as small-cap outperformance…in Toronto, the TSX is off 18 points as of 7:00 am Pacific…the Venture is up a point at 533 after its 6-session winning streak was snapped yesterday…DynaCERT (DYA, TSX-V) is leading the way in early trading, up 7.5 cents at 55 cents…K92 Mining (KNT, TSX-V), now at its best levels since July, is up another penny at $2.61…last week the company announced spectacular high-grade Gold results from infill drilling at its deposit in Papua New Guinea…drilling is encountering extremely high grades in the southern part of Kora North, including 13 m (6.15 m true width) of 288.7 g/t Au, 104 g/t Ag and 0.77% Cu…Tudor Gold (TUD, TSX-V) announced this morning that it’s raising $3 million in a flow-through private placement at 50 cents per share…

6. The sledgehammer environmental campaign that has shut down all Canadian Crude Oil pipelines to tidewater has a new target: shutting down Canadian exports of liquified natural gas to Asia, says respected independent researcher Vivian Krause…“They are coming for the LNG industry, absolutely,” Krause said in an interview…some in B.C. believe everything is fine and going ahead with LNG, and the low-carbon gas is going to help get China off of coal and curb global carbon emissions, Krause says…but wealthy U.S. foundations and the Canadian green and Indigenous groups they fund are focused on stopping an industry that is gearing up to bring billions to the Canadian economy…“Look at what all the groups say.  They’re all campaigning against the LNG projects”…Krause, who meticulously researched and documented how tens of millions of dollars from U.S. foundations helped landlock the Alberta Oil sands, is getting out her message in a new way through a recently released documentary, Over a Barrel…the project was developed by Edmonton filmmaker Shane Fennessey…Over a Barrel gives voice to folks we’ve rarely heard, the numerous Indigenous leaders who strongly support working with Oil and gas companies on pipelines and projects…many in B.C.’s northwest region (and elsewhere in Canada) have become disillusioned with the green movement…Indigenous activists helped shut down the supposed evil of Oil and gas pipelines only to realize their own poverty didn’t go away…this soured people like Ellis Ross of the Haisla Nation, now a B.C. Liberal MLA, who admits that a decade ago he got swept up in the anti-pipeline fervour…“What really cemented me with the idea of protecting these rainforests was because my community had no part in the economy up until then,” he states in the documentary…“But these environmentalists on the fringes said, ‘If we can protect the (Great Bear) rain forest, and protect it from logging, then we could create an economy for tourism and everybody could get jobs. Well, they protected the rainforest … and not one job materialized, except for a few key people that were inside the circle of the protest itself. And nothing changed for my community”

7. Fed wants higher inflation: With the final 2019 meeting of Federal Reserve policymakers just 2 weeks away, Chairman Jerome Powell reiterated Monday that interest rates are unlikely to rise anytime soon, saying the central bank remains firmly committed to meeting its inflation goals…the Fed considers a 2% inflation rate to be a sign of sustainable growth and a level that keeps interest rates high enough to allow for mobility in the event of an economic downturn…however, inflation has run well below that level for 2019 despite 3 interest rate cuts over the past 4 months…in fact, the Fed in recent years has consistently overestimated inflation expectations…in a speech in Providence, Rhode Island, Powell expressed a sense of urgency in meeting the inflation part of the Fed’s dual mandate…he said low inflation expectations feed on themselves and make it tougher for the Fed to support the economy…“It is essential that we at the Fed use our tools to make sure that we do not permit an unhealthy downward drift in inflation expectations and inflation.  We are strongly committed to symmetrically and sustainably achieving our 2% inflation objective so that in making long-term plans, households and businesses can reasonably expect 2% inflation over time”

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November 28, 2019

Daniel’s Den

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November 27, 2019

7 @ 7:00

Visit the BMR comments section throughout the day for updates and helpful information!

1. Gold has traded between $1,461 and $1,453 so far today…as of 7:00 am Pacific, the yellow metal is off $an ounce at $1,456…key support in the $1,440’s continues to hold…Silver has retreated 9 cents to $16.95 after a strong session yesterday…Nickel, Copper, Zinc and Cobalt are all relatively unchanged at $6.51, $2.68, $1.05 and $16.10, respectively…Crude Oil is flat at $58.42 while the Dollar Index is up slightly at 98.44…inflation is nowhere in sight, thanks to a high dollar and subdued Oil prices – the Department of Commerce said this morning that its Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Index increased 0.1% in October, missing economists’ expectations…annually, core inflation, which is the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, increased 1.6%, down from 1.7% reported in September…inflation is now at its lowest point since July…Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has suggested there won’t be another interest rate increase until inflation picks up significantly…the Fed releases its Summary of Commentary on Current Economic Conditions, also known as the Beige Book, later this morning…the commentary offers insight on the state of the world’s largest economy and a look into how the Fed views its monetary policy stance…

2. Fresh economic data released this morning shows the U.S. economy performing better than expected…U.S. Q3 GDP – the broadest measure of the U.S. economy – has been revised upward to 2.1%…it was expected to remain unrevised from its preliminary reading at 1.9%, down slightly from the 2% pace in the 2nd quarter…meanwhile, orders to U.S. factories for big-ticket manufactured goods rebounded last month on a surge in demand for military aircraft…the Commerce Department says orders for durable goods,  which are meant to last at least 3 years, rose 0.6% in October after dropping 1.4% in September…orders for military aircraft soared 18.1%…excluding defense, durable goods orders moved up up 0.1%…4th quarter GDP could exceed expectations (most economists are calling for growth below 2%) as the holiday shopping season is expected to be very healthy given solid job growth and robust consumer spending…

3. Investors beware – British Columbia has become the first jurisdiction in North America to formally implement the United Nations Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples…the bill was passed unanimously in the legislature (the Liberal Party reversed its stance on this issue from the Christy Clark days) with MP’s drunk on their own Kool-aid of “diversity and social justice”…all provincial laws and policies must align with “internationally recognized rights” of Indigenous people as defined by the United Nations…it’ll be interesting to see how this all works out, but it’s hard to imagine how First Nations in B.C. aren’t going to be emboldened by this legislation and act as if they have “veto power” over proposed resource projects…

4. Balmoral Resources (BAR, TSX) has staked 62 mineral claims adjacent to its existing Detour East Property in Quebec…this property, including these new claims, form part of the company’s Detour Gold Trend Project and are located along and proximal to the Ontario-Quebec border where they adjoin the holdings of Detour Gold (DGC, TSX) which is being acquired by Kirkland Lake Gold (KL, TSX, NYSE)…KL’s proposed acquisition of DGC and its Detour Lake mine, combined with recent exploration success by Balmoral and neighbor Wallbridge Mining (WM, TSX) in the GFA (“Grasset-Fenelon-Area 51“) district 80 km to the east, and the known resource and exploration potential of Balmoral’s Martiniere Gold system (located 45 km to the east), highlight the future growth potential of the Detour Gold Trend…Balmoral remains the dominant landholder in the region controlling approximately 75% of the known extent of the trend…meanwhile, Balmoral says it anticipates that final results for the 9 drill holes recently completed in Area 52 testing the high-grade Gold discovery announced by in September will be available within the next 710 days following the receipt of outstanding assay results…BAR has broken out above key resistance in the mid-20’s this week…as of 7:00 am Pacific, it’s up half a penny at 30 cents…

5. The Dow is down slightly through the first 30 minutes of trading but the S&P 500 and NASDAQ have hit new record highs…the major averages have been on fire over the past month as optimism around U.S.-China trade talks increases…the Dow and S&P 500 have gained 4.3% and 3.9%, respectively, in that time while the NASDAQ is up nearly 5%…today’s moves come ahead of the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday for which the market will be closed tomorrow and open for just half the day on Friday…typically, the Wednesday before Thanksgiving has been a great day for stocks…in Toronto, the TSX is up 8 points in early trading…the Venture, riding a 5-session winning streak, continues to emerge out of very oversold conditions…the Index is up another point at 533 as of 7:00 am Pacific…an important support band stretches from 540 to 520K92 Mining (KNT, TSX-V) has hit its best levels since August, touching $2.43 in early trading…last week the company announced spectacular high-grade Gold results from infill drilling at its deposit in Papua New Guinea…drilling is encountering extremely high grades in the southern part of Kora North, including 13 m (6.15 m true width) of 288.7 g/t Au, 104 g/t Ag and 0.77% Cu…

6. The price to achieve the delusional left’s mission of “saving the planet”:  According to a new report from an environmental economics group, Canada will either have to raise carbon prices to a whopping $210 per tonne or adopt more expensive policies funded by higher income taxes to meet its 2030 Paris targets (the same flawed deal our closest trading partner has wisely pulled out of)…Canada’s Ecofiscal Commission argues that carbon pricing is the most cost-effective way for Canada to hit its Paris targets, but also acknowledges that carbon taxes can be politically unpalatable…the report sets out other options for meeting the Paris targets that use a combination of regulations and subsidies, but it cautions that those measures could cost much more…“At this point, (governments) have told us they want to achieve 2030 emissions targets, but they haven’t yet put policies in place to get us there,” said Chris Ragan, chair of the Ecofiscal Commission…“Actions, I think, count louder than words at this point”…the commission’s estimate differs substantially from an analysis released by the parliamentary budget officer in June, which found the federal carbon tax would need to increase to “just” $102 per tonne in 2030 to meet the Paris targets. so even the so-called experts can’t agree on the numbers…one thing’s for certain, though – this emphasis by the left on bigger government, higher taxes and a huge suite of new regulations to combat “climate change” and meet the “Paris targets” is undermining Canada’s economic competitiveness vs. the United States…we’re now underperforming the U.S. in virtually every economic category…in an attempt to “save the planet”, these globalists and climate change alarmists are destroying Canada…

7. Fed wants higher inflation: With the final 2019 meeting of Federal Reserve policymakers just 2 weeks away, Chairman Jerome Powell reiterated Monday that interest rates are unlikely to rise anytime soon, saying the central bank remains firmly committed to meeting its inflation goals…the Fed considers a 2% inflation rate to be a sign of sustainable growth and a level that keeps interest rates high enough to allow for mobility in the event of an economic downturn…however, inflation has run well below that level for 2019 despite 3 interest rate cuts over the past 4 months…in fact, the Fed in recent years has consistently overestimated inflation expectations…in a speech in Providence, Rhode Island, Powell expressed a sense of urgency in meeting the inflation part of the Fed’s dual mandate…he said low inflation expectations feed on themselves and make it tougher for the Fed to support the economy…“It is essential that we at the Fed use our tools to make sure that we do not permit an unhealthy downward drift in inflation expectations and inflation.  We are strongly committed to symmetrically and sustainably achieving our 2% inflation objective so that in making long-term plans, households and businesses can reasonably expect 2% inflation over time”

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November 26, 2019

7 @ 7:00

Visit the BMR comments section throughout the day for updates and helpful information!

1. Gold has traded between $1,460 and $1,450 so far today…as of 7:00 am Pacific, the yellow metal is off $an ounce at $1,454 as key support continues to hold…Silver is up 4 pennies at $16.90…Nickel is off slightly at $6.51 while Copper, Zinc and Cobalt are all relatively unchanged at $2.66, $1.05 and $16.10, respectively…Crude Oil has added 45 cents to $58.46 while the Dollar Index is relatively unchanged at 98.35…a slew of U.S. economic data is on the menu today including the weekly Goldman Sachs and Johnson Redbook retail sales reports, advance economic indicators, the monthly house price index, the S&P-Case-Shiller home price index, the Richmond Fed business survey, new residential sales, and the consumer confidence index…the Conference Board just released its measure of consumer confidence which came in at 125.5 for November, slightly below expectations…that’s still a strong number but the 4th straight monthly decline, giving Gold a slight boost…

2. Physical Gold demand in Asia is yet to see a rebound after a significant drop during the last few months with October’s Gold imports by India and China once again disappointing…Gold imports by China and India remained at historically low levels in October…China’s Gold imports fell below 50 tonnes in October, according to the data released by the Chinese customs authority yesterday…major drops were noted in Gold imports from Switzerland, Singapore and South Africa…also, Chinese jewelry sales were below seasonal trends in October and Gold withdrawals from the Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) dropped by almost 40% on an annual basis…Capital Economics believes Chinese Gold imports are likely to remain weak amid growth concerns and rising inflation…in India, Gold imports had a modest 5% increase on a monthly basis but dropped nearly 15% year-over-year…between April and October, Gold imports declined 9% to $17.63 billion, according to Commerce Ministry data…India’s domestic Gold price now includes a 12.5% import tax and a 3% GST…even the Diwali festival failed to provide a meaningful lift to Indian Gold demand in October…a higher import duty has not been helpful…

3. Good news for the Canadian economy this morning – Teamsters Canada just issued a statement that a tentative agreement has been reached with Canadian National Railway to end an 8-day strike that has severed supply chains across the country…the union says the agreement must first be ratified by union members, but normal operations at CN will resume tomorrow at 6:00 am across Canada…some 3,200 striking conductors and yard workers have been demanding improved working conditions, including worker rest breaks, at Canada’s largest railroad…

4. Kirkland Lake Gold’s (KL, TSX, NYSE) 2nd biggest shareholder, Eric Sprott, says he was initially “shocked” and “disappointed” when he first heard about KL’s plan to buy Detour Gold (DGC, TSX), though he expects the move to be a success…“I’ve always been a great believer in the statement that you have to steal value,” Sprott stated…The value at Detour is that the production and grade can increase markedly”…when asked if there is a skills mismatch in an underground high-grade miner acquiring an open-pit specialist, Kirkland CEO Tony Makuch said he was confident Kirkland has the expertise to do both…“Mining is mining.  You just use larger equipment in an open-pit versus underground.  But for the most part there’s a lot of similar execution”with regard to Detour Lake, investors should also keep in mind that Detour Gold has made excellent progress at reducing absolute costs, and Q3 represented the company’s highest ever cash cost margin per ounce…the metrics are only going to get better, as Sprott alluded to…at first glance, the deal may seem like an odd marriage…Kirkland Lake operates 2 superb high-grade underground mines at some of the lowest cash costs in the industry, whereas Detour operates a single, low-grade bulk tonnage open-pit mine (20-year mine life) at comparatively higher costs…the acquisition would boost Kirkland’s annual Gold production significantly to more than 1.5 million ounces per year and add 15.41 million ounces to the company’s mineral reserve base…plenty of exploration upside also exists…KL tumbled $11 a share yesterday, touching its 200-day SMA for the first time since late last year (what a steal the stock was then), and is off another $1.39 to $50.99 in early trading today…that’s a 4th straight losing session and a 25% discount from the recent all-time high for the Apple of Gold stocks…a long-term uptrend line on the KL weekly chart cuts through the high 40’s, just above the rising 300-day SMA at $46.77 and strong Fib. support at $45…there needed to be an excuse for a healthy correction – Detour is it, but bargain hunters are getting an early Christmas gift…

5. The Dow has gained 41 points through the first 30 minutes of trading…in Toronto, the TSX is 29 points lower…Newmont Goldcorp (NGT, TSX; NEM, NYSE) has unloaded its Red Lake complex to Evolution Mining, an Australian Gold producer, for $375 million (U.S.) in cash and contingent payments of up to an additional $100 million tied to new resource discoveries…Balmoral Resources (BAR, TSX) has eased off 2.5 cents to 28.5 cents in early trading after breaking out above key resistance in the mid-20’sBAR hit a nearly 2-year high of 33 cents yesterday on total volume of 5 million shares…more results are pending from Area 52 next to Wallbridge Mining’s (WM, TSX) Fenelon Property where more high-grade numbers are also expected soon…the Venture, continuing to trade within a 540 to 520 support band, is off a point to 529White Gold (WGO, TSX-V) has firmed up in early trading after announcing that it has made a new high-grade Gold discovery, intersecting 72.8 g/t Au over 6.09 m from just 10.67 m depth, in first-pass drilling (RC) at its Titan target on the Hen Property in the Yukon…this included an impressive 136.4 g/t Au over 3.05 m from 12.19 m depth within a broader 32-m mineralized zone…Hen is contiguous to the JP Ross property, less than 15 km from the Vertigo discovery and 25 km from the Golden Saddle and Arc deposits…Skeena Resources (SKE, TSX-V) has arranged a $15 million flow-through financing at 82 cents per share (no warrants) as it advances Eskay Creek…Kraken Robotics (PNG, TSX-V) announced this morning that revenue for Q3 was $7.8 million compared to $1.6 million in the year ago quarter…year-to-date revenues are $10.5 million vs. $5.2 million for the same period in 2018, representing growth of 102%…Kraken expects continued strong revenue growth into Q4 that will be led by the delivery of sensors, batteries and a number of robotics for service projects…as a result, it expects to maintain its objective of generating 2019 revenues of approximately $15 million…net income in Q3 was $100,000 vs. a net loss of $1.1 million in the year ago quarter…the Canadian Marijuana Index is under renwewed pressure after a sharp but brief rally…more red ink…Khiron Life Sciences (KHRN, TSX-V) recorded a net loss of $10.6 million in Q3 compared with a net loss of $5.2 million for the same period in 2018…the company ended the quarter with $47.9 million balance in cash and short-term investments, but how long will that last?…Torino Power Solutions (TPS, CSE) was halted pre-market…rumor has it that a new deal is being put into the company…

6. Fed wants higher inflation: With the final 2019 meeting of Federal Reserve policymakers just 2 weeks away, Chairman Jerome Powell reiterated yesterday that interest rates are unlikely to rise anytime soon, saying the central bank remains firmly committed to meeting its inflation goals…the Fed considers a 2% inflation rate to be a sign of sustainable growth and a level that keeps interest rates high enough to allow for mobility in the event of an economic downturn…however, inflation has run well below that level for 2019 despite 3 interest rate cuts over the past 4 months…in fact, the Fed in recent years has consistently overestimated inflation expectations…in a speech in Providence, Rhode Island, Powell expressed a sense of urgency in meeting the inflation part of the Fed’s dual mandate…he said low inflation expectations feed on themselves and make it tougher for the Fed to support the economy…“It is essential that we at the Fed use our tools to make sure that we do not permit an unhealthy downward drift in inflation expectations and inflation.  We are strongly committed to symmetrically and sustainably achieving our 2% inflation objective so that in making long-term plans, households and businesses can reasonably expect 2% inflation over time”…

7. Choosing to go long Gold after the precious metal settles at a solid support level will pay off next year, according to TD Securities…even though the metal can weaken to as low as $1,425 in the short-term, the long-term picture is looking very supportive of prices reaching the $1,650 level, TD says in its 2020 outlook…“Our analysis still shows that $1,650/oz Gold next year is in the cards, once the weak longs get shaken out and as modest global growth assure a low rate environment and continued Fed monetary accommodation,” the bank’s strategists said…Gold’s major rebound will come in the 2nd quarter of next year, according to TD (historically, Q1 is Gold’s strongest quarter), triggered by further Federal Reserve easing, slower economic growth, and central bank Gold buying…“The likelihood that the Fed will deliver more monetary accommodation, central banks will continue to buy Gold at a record clip and investors demand in the metal to hedge against equity market volatility, weaker U.S. dollar and negative interest rates are all factors making us ready to go long – once the yellow metal firmly settles at technical support levels,” the strategists said…the bank’s outlook projects that the Fed will cut rates twice by mid-2020 in moves that will be mirrored by the European Central Bank…“U.S. economic numbers are likely to print quite weak in the coming months.  This should prompt markets to once again price in more Fed cuts.  Weaker U.S. growth should continue to keep fiscal deficits elevated.  This along with the potential of a Democratic win next election season implies that markets will worry about monetization via a modern monetary theory framework, which typically is remedied by Gold as a hedge”, TD concluded…

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Two Big Plays Emerge in B.C., Setting The Stage For A Summer To Remember

How To Bring A Junior Resource Market To Life!

The Dramatic New Chase For A Nickel-Copper-Rich Massive Sulphide Deposit In The Heart Of A Famous Gold Camp

Northern Ontario Cobalt Junior Attracts Interest From Metal Trading Companies

The Most Important Venture Development Since The New Bull Market Began

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November 25, 2019

BMR Evening Alert!

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1. Gold has traded between $1,462 and $1,454 so far today…as of 7:00 am Pacific, the yellow metal is off $an ounce at $1,460…in 12 out of the last 15 years, Gold has dropped in value between November 25 and December 20…however, seasonal factors start working in Gold’s favor after that…Silver is 4 cents lower at $16.92…Nickel has lost 3 pennies to $6.57…Copper is unchanged at $2.65…since hitting a 3-and-a-half month high on November 7, Copper prices have fallen 3.8%…Zinc and Cobalt are both flat at $1.06 and $16.10, respectively…Crude Oil has retreated 20 cents to $57.27 while the Dollar Index is steady at 98.26Goldman Sachs has issued a report that says raw commodity prices will rise in 2020 and for the next decade due to a worldwide move to “decarbonize” the planet, including less investment in carbon-based industries…that scenario would lead to supply shortages of some key commodities, the report said…the best returns in 2020 will like come from Oil but the firm is also predicting $1,600 GoldU.S. national security adviser Robert O’Brien said Saturday that the so-called Phase 1 trade deal with China could happen by the end of the year, and emphasized that President Trump would not ignore ongoing protests in Hong Kong…“We were hoping to have (a Phase 1) deal done by the end of the year.  I still think that’s possible,” O’Brien told reporters at a security conference in Halifax…“At the same time, we’re not going to turn a blind eye to what’s happening in Hong Kong or what’s happening in the South China Sea, or other areas of the world where we’re concerned about China’s activity,” he said…meanwhile, the Chinese government’s top diplomat delivered a scathing attack against the United States at a G-20 meeting in Japan over the weekend…

2. This should prove interesting – Canada’s Q3 GDP reading will be released at the end of this week (we’ll see how it compares to the Trump economy)…last Friday, Stats Canada reported that retail sales for September lagged well behind the U.S. as they fell 1%…the Bank of Montreal’s senior economist, Robert Karcic, put it politely when he stated that the broader Canadian economy remains on pace for “slightly below potential growth in the near-term”meanwhile, the strike at Canadian National Railway is now into its 7th day, paralyzing shipments of Oil, aluminum, grain and consumer goods…Quebec has already warned it faces a looming propane shortage as the trains sit idle (Quebecers’ dreams of a world free of fossil fuels are quickly turning into a nightmare)…the Trudeau government has shown no signs it intends to legislate an end to the strike…the complacency and ignorance of Canada’s federal government when it comes to the economy is absolutely staggering…

3. President Trump’s national security adviser has issued a dire warning to Canada about Chinese telecom giant Huawei, saying Ottawa should reject the company’s plan to deploy its 5G network because the technology would be used as a “Trojan horse” to undermine national security…”When they get Huawei into Canada…they’re going to know every health record, every banking record, every social media post – they’re going to know everything about every single Canadian,” Robert O’Brien said at an international security conference in Halifax…“What the Chinese are doing makes Facebook and Google look like child’s play, as far as collecting information on folks”…he said the Chinese state could use data scraped from its 5G mobile network to “micro-target” Canadians with personalized texts aimed at undermining elections…the national security adviser, who was appointed to the job in September, says the fallout from such an intrusion into personal data would have an impact on Canada’s participation in the Five Eyes alliance, which includes the intelligence agencies in Australia, New Zealand, the United Kingdom and the United States…“The Huawei Trojan horse is frightening, it’s terrifying,” O’Brien said on the first full day of the Halifax Security Forum, which has attracted more than 300 delegates from government, the military and the academic community…“I find it amazing that our allies and friends in other liberal democracies would allow Huawei in…I’m surprised that there’s even a debate out there”

4. Kirkland Lake Gold (KL, TSX, NYSE) is buying Detour Gold (DGC, TSX) in an all-stock transaction for $4.9 billion, furthering an M&A spree in the Gold sector that will likely intensify over the coming months…the deal values Detour at $27.50 a share, a 24% premium to Friday’s closing price…Tony Makuch, Kirkland Lake CEO, commented, “The acquisition of Detour Gold is an excellent fit for Kirkland Lake Gold.  We have already taken 2 mining operations, Macassa and Fosterville, and transformed them into high-quality assets that generate industry-leading earnings and free cash flow.  The addition of Detour Lake provides an opportunity to add a 3rd cornerstone asset that is located in our back yard in Northern Ontario.  Detour Lake will provide the pro forma company with a 20-plus year mine life which provides unparalleled optionality and excellent growth potential for the benefit of all shareholders.  The management team at Detour Gold has done an exceptional job in making improvements and building momentum at the mine.  Once the transaction is completed, we will continue efforts to optimize current operations and commence engineering work to evaluate expansion opportunities at Detour Lake, which we anticipate could lead to significant production growth, improved unit costs and higher levels of mineral reserves and mineral resources”Detour Lake has current production of approximately 600,000 ounces per year with substantial growth potential…the deal adds 15.4 million ounces to KL’s mineral reserve base…KL investors only see dilution in this deal this morning – the stock has plunged $10 a share to $53.18 in early trading, touching its 200-day moving average for the first time since late last year, while Detour is up 80 cents at $23.01

5. The Dow has jumped 123 points through the first 30 minutes of tradingCharles Schwab (SCHW, NYSE) announced plans this morning to buy discount brokerage rival TD Ameritrade (AMTD, NASDAQ) in an all-stock deal valued at $26 billion…the merging of the 2 biggest publicly traded discount brokers will create a mammoth with more than $5 trillion in client assets, $3.8 trillion from Schwab and $1.3 trillion from TD Ameritrade…the combined company will serve more than 24 million clients…in Toronto, the TSX is 29 points lower…Balmoral Resources (BAR, TSX) has pushed above key resistance in the mid-20’s, hitting a nearly 2-year high of 33 cents in early trading with results pending from Area 52 drilling next to Wallbridge Mining’s (WM, TSX) Fenelon Property…Balmoral will also have a powerful new neighbor in Kirkland Lake Gold through its buyout of Detour…the Venture, continuing to trade within a 540 to 520 support band, is up 2 points a 532Victoria Gold (VIT, TSX-V) reported this morning that excluding pre-development work, approximately 4.4 million tonnes of material has already been mined from the Eagle pit in the Yukon including approximately 2.2 million tonnes of ore…the mine plan is performing to expectations including the waste to ore strip ratio…ore Gold grade to the heap pad is on plan and early grade reconciliations continue to perform well between actual mining results and the published resource estimate…production to date is 10,400 ounces of Gold and 1,600 ounces of Silver…the company’s cash inflows and precious metal sales exceed cash operating costs and sustaining capital…Canopy Growth (WEED, TSX; CGC, NYSE) reported this morning that it has received its operating and secure storage licence from Health Canada for its 150,000 sq. foot beverage facility located at company headquarters in Smiths Falls, Ontario…the new facility is operational and will begin producing cannabis-infused beverages immediately…the beverage facility adds to the complement of cannabis production facilities in Smiths Falls including a regional distribution centre with automated excise stamp lines, an automated manufacturing facility, a state-of-the-art bean-to-bar chocolate factory, and a first-of-its-kind Visitors Centre…WEED is up 42 cents at $24.90 as of 7:00 am Pacific…the average cannabis stock is down by about 60% over the past 8 months, wiping out nearly $60 billion in market capitalization from a group of 90 Canadian and U.S. stocks…

6. Another  important reason for Gold to continue its upward primary trend: After climbing above $250 trillion in the 1st half of 2019, the amount of global debt that’s owed by governments, the financial sector and non-financial sector is now forecast to touch a record $255 trillion by year’s end, according to the Washington, D.C.-based Institute of International Finance (IIF)…this mind-boggling sum is the equivalent of 320% of total global economic activity – the highest level ever, according to the IIF…to put it another way, for every $1 that’s produced today, an additional $3.20 in debt is created and thrown atop the heap…this cannot be sustainable…higher debt levels have put tremendous pressure on central banks around the globe to keep monetary policy “loose” or “very loose”..

7. Choosing to go long Gold after the precious metal settles at a solid support level will pay off next year, according to TD Securities…even though the metal can weaken to as low as $1,425 in the short-term, the long-term picture is looking very supportive of prices reaching the $1,650 level, TD says in its 2020 outlook…“Our analysis still shows that $1,650/oz Gold next year is in the cards, once the weak longs get shaken out and as modest global growth assure a low rate environment and continued Fed monetary accommodation,” the bank’s strategists said…Gold’s major rebound will come in the 2nd quarter of next year, according to TD (historically, Q1 is Gold’s strongest quarter), triggered by further Federal Reserve easing, slower economic growth, and central bank Gold buying…“The likelihood that the Fed will deliver more monetary accommodation, central banks will continue to buy Gold at a record clip and investors demand in the metal to hedge against equity market volatility, weaker U.S. dollar and negative interest rates are all factors making us ready to go long – once the yellow metal firmly settles at technical support levels,” the strategists said…the bank’s outlook projects that the Fed will cut rates twice by mid-2020 in moves that will be mirrored by the European Central Bank…“U.S. economic numbers are likely to print quite weak in the coming months.  This should prompt markets to once again price in more Fed cuts.  Weaker U.S. growth should continue to keep fiscal deficits elevated.  This along with the potential of a Democratic win next election season implies that markets will worry about monetization via a modern monetary theory framework, which typically is remedied by Gold as a hedge”, TD concluded…

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November 24, 2019

Sunday Sizzler (Part 2)!

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