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November 14, 2019

7 @ 7:00

Visit the BMR comments section throughout the day for updates and helpful information!

1. Gold has traded between $1,463 and $1,471 so far today…as of 7:00 am Pacific, the yellow metal is up $an ounce at $1,465…Silver is off 7 cents at $16.88 after briefly pushing past $17 earlier in the session…Nickel is down another 10 cents at $6.87…Copper is flat at $2.64, trading at the bottom of a 2-month up channel, while Zinc and Cobalt are both unchanged at $1.11 and $16.10, respectively…China is still calling for the U.S. to roll back tariffs as part of any “Phase 1” agreement, as trade negotiations between the world’s 2 largest economies drag on…“The trade war was begun with adding tariffs (actually, it was started by China more than 2 decades ago and Trump is the first President to stand up to them) and should be ended by canceling these additional tariffs. This is an important condition for both sides to reach an agreement,” China’s Ministry of Commerce spokesperson Gao Feng said at a weekly press conference today, according to a CNBC translation…U.S. producer prices were up last month but inflation still presents no threat unless Oil prices climb much, much higher…the Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 0.4% in October following a drop of 0.3% in September, the Labor Department reported this morning…economists were expecting an increase of 0.3%…core inflation, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, was up 0.3% in October…annual core inflation came in at only 1.6% versus the expected 1.5% following September’s 2.0% increase…Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison has threatened to outlaw climate protests, accusing them of increasingly disrupting the country’s lucrative mining industry…“We are working to identify serious mechanisms that can successfully outlaw these indulgent and selfish practices that threaten the livelihoods of fellow Australians,” Morrison said…his proposal came a day after protesters attempted to blockade a mining conference in Melbourne, which at one point triggered clashes with police…“The right to protest does not mean there is an unlimited license to disrupt people’s lives and disrespect your fellow Australians”

2. Yields on U.S. government bonds have rebounded from near-historic lows hit just 2 months ago, sending one of the clearest signals yet that investors’ recent recession fears have waned…a series of developments have combined to boost the economic outlook, spurring selling in bonds and powering a steep climb in the 10-year Treasury yield – a key benchmark that helps set borrowing costs on everything from corporate debt to mortgages…those include the Federal Reserve’s cuts to short-term interest rates, steps toward an initial trade agreement between the U.S. and China, a strong corporate earnings season and a series of economic reports that turned out better than some investors had feared…

3. China’s industrial output grew significantly slower than expected in October, as weakness in global and domestic demand and the drawn-out Sino-U.S. trade war weighed on activity in the world’s 2nd-largest economy…industrial production rose 4.7% year-on-year in October, data from the National Bureau of Statistics released today showed, below the median forecast of 5.4% growth in a Reuters poll…indicators showed other sectors also slowing significantly and missing forecasts with retail sales growth back near a 16-year trough and fixed asset investment growth the weakest on record…the disappointing economic data adds to the case for Beijing to roll out fresh support for the economy after China’s economic growth slowed to its weakest pace in almost 3 decades in the 3rd quarter as the bruising U.S. trade battle hit factory production…broad activity in China’s manufacturing sector remains weak with data on the weekend showing factory gate prices falling at their fastest pace in more than 3 years in October…President Trump is in a good bargaining position and he knows it…

4. Quebec, the spoiled child of Confederation, has loved taking welfare from the rest of Canada in the form of equalization payments (mostly wealth generated from the West to help support Quebec’s inefficient and corruption-infested provincial economy) but now it’s time for the West to stand up and say “Enough is Enough” and stop the money flow (and maybe the Oil flow, too)…Bloc Quebecois Leader Yves-Francois Blanchet, a separatist, socialist and naive Oil Demand Denier, continues to sow the seeds of Western alienation with this comment yesterday after a meeting with Trudeau: “If they were attempting to create a green state in Western Canada, I might be tempted to help them.  If they are trying to create an Oil state in western Canada, they cannot expect any help from us” (meanwhile, of course, Quebec still imports Oil from Saudi Arabia)…Alberta Premier Jason Kenney rightfully shot back, “You cannot have your cake and eat it too.  Pick a lane.  Either you can say as Quebec that you no longer are going to take the energy and equalization resources that come from Western Canada’s Oil and gas industry, or you can do what we do as Canadians, coming together to support each other”...the bottom line is that liberals, socialists and separatists (all of whom are climate change alarmists because pushing that scam has helped them gain power and grow government) are going to spark both a national unity crisis and an economic crisis in this country – only then will Canada come to its senses and get back on the right track…

5. Drilling activity in Western Canada is poised to remain flat over the next year as drillers believe Oil and gas sentiment is nearing an “all-time low” in the face of fresh forecasts that predict weak Canadian industry growth over the longer term…the Canadian Association of Oilwell Drilling Contractors’ annual activity forecast released yesterday predicted there will be 13,731 direct and indirect jobs losses in the Oilfield during 2020…the association has said its member companies have already moved 29 drilling rigs to the United States “in order to find work and generate cash flow” (that’s the Trudeau and Quebec way of building the Canadian economy – send jobs south) and those rigs include the larger, higher-technology rigs used to drill deep, horizontal wells in new formations in Western Canada…what a disgrace, all in the name of creating a “green state” and “saving the planet”…

6. The Dow is flat through the first 30 minutes of trading…in Toronto, the TSX has inched 11 points higher while the Venture has given up 2 points to 529Wallbridge Mining (WM, TSX) has jumped 6 cents to 63 cents after reporting “abundant visible Gold with assay results pending from additional drill holes that undercut the spectacular intercept released last month at its Fenelon Property in Quebec (27 g/t Au over 36 m)…“The last 2 weeks have provided us with an additional 3 wide intersections of strong Gold mineralization at depth in the Tabasco zone, all being between 35 to 100 m step-outs and undercuts to existing holes…we are also just as encouraged by other intersections of mineralization in both the Tabasco and the Area 51 corridors which may not be as well-endowed as those in holes such as FA-19086, 094 and 096 but show the continuity of the zones with potentially economic grades over significant widths,” stated President and CEO Marz Kord…below 400 m vertical depth, the Lower Tabasco zone changes its dip, becomes more continuous and wider, thereby getting significantly more Gold endowed…neighbor Balmoral Resources (BAR, TSX), which also has results pending, is steady at 23 cents as of 7:00 am Pacific

7. Galway Metals (GWM, TSX-V) has been a Venture out-performer this year, up more than 50% for 2019 and not once dipping below 26 cents on a closing basis…yesterday, GWM closed at 29 cents with the company providing an after-market update on its Clarence Stream drill program with impressive results that included 20.7 g/t Au over 9.5 m plus 14.2 g/t over 7.5 m (core lengths), starting at vertical depths of 185 m and 151 m, respectively, in 19BL-72 from the Richard Zone…new intersections represent step-outs of 54 m to 91 m to the west at Richard (the Richard Zone discovery hole earlier this year returned 7.3 g/t Au over 36.7 m, starting at a vertical depth of 36 m)…the Richard Zone was first reported in January 2019 and lies midway between the Jubilee Zone and the company’s first discovery, the George Murphy Zone (initially reported in December 2017)…it is thought that all 3 zones, which cover 2.5 km of strike length, are part of the same system…none of these zones is in the resource…technically, GWM remains in an overall uptrend supported by a rising 300-day SMA at 28 cents…GWM is up a penny at 30.5 cents through the first 30 minutes of trading…

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November 13, 2019

7 @ 7:00

Visit the BMR comments section throughout the day for updates and helpful information!

1. Gold has traded between $1,457 and $1,467 so far today…as of 7:00 am Pacific, the yellow metal is up $6 an ounce at $1,462 after a test of support yesterday around $1,450…in recent weeks, both Washington and Beijing have hinted they were making progress toward an agreement that could likely scale back some tariffs, but a lack of information is starting to perturb investors…that can only be positive for precious metals…Silver is up 12 cents at $16.85 as it begins to emerge from oversold conditions on the short-term chart…nearest support is in the $16.60’s…the bullish primary trend remains fully intact…Copper is 2 cents lower at $2.65, trading at the bottom of a 2-month up channel…Nickel has retreated 8 cents to $7.00, Zinc is off a penny at $1.13 while Cobalt remains unchanged at $16.10…in prepared remarks released 30 minutes ago, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the path of Fed interest rates is unlikely to change as long as the economy keeps growing…“We see the current stance of monetary policy as likely to remain appropriate as long as incoming information about the economy remains broadly consistent with our outlook of moderate economic growth, a strong labor market, and inflation near our symmetric 2% objective”…however, he cautioned that challenges such as low inflation and weakness overseas remain…Powell provides testimony on the economy today and tomorrow before congressional committees…Google will offer checking accounts next year, according to a Wall Street Journal report this morning, representing big tech’s boldest move yet into the consumer banking business as most have focused on credit cards and payment platforms…the accounts for the project will be run by Citigroup and the Stanford Federal Credit Union…as part of a project code-named Cache, the company will become the latest Silicon Valley leader to try its hand at the banking space…previous attempts by Apple and Facebook faced obstacles, with consumers growing increasingly skeptical over providing big tech companies with their personal information…

2. Tariffs are emerging as the main stumbling block in efforts by the U.S. and China to come to a limited trade deal, a month after the 2 countries called a truce in their nearly 2-year battle…the logjam centers on whether the U.S. has agreed to remove existing tariffs in the so-called “Phase 1” deal that the 2 sides have been working toward – or whether the U.S. would only cancel tariffs set to take effect December 15…President Trump, who obviously likes the leverage of tariffs, said yesterday that a “significant Phase 1 trade deal with China could happen, could happen soon”…but he added that he is prepared to increase pressure on China if the 2 sides can’t reach an agreement…“If we don’t make a deal, we’re going to substantially raise those tariffs, they’re going to be raised very substantially,” Trump said in a speech to the Economic Club of New York..much of that speech was devoted to criticizing Fed interest rate policy…

3. U.S. consumer prices rebounded more than expected in October as underlying inflation picked up…the Labor Department said this morning that its consumer price index increased 0.4% last month as households paid more for energy products, healthcare, food and a range of other goods…that was the largest gain in the CPI since March and followed an unchanged reading of 0.1% in September…in the 12 months through October, the CPI increased 1.8% after climbing 1.7% in the 12 months through September…the Fed has been hoping for a sustained pick-up in inflation which stubbornly remains below the central bank’s 2% target…Oil prices remain well below levels that could spark significant inflationary pressures…

4. “More of the same from Trudeau”…Saskatchewan Premier Scott Moe came out of a meeting yesterday with Prime Minster Trudeau “disappointed” with what he says is a lack of commitment to address Western needs highlighted by a battered Oil sector, strangled by Bill C-69 and in desperate need of new pipeline capacity…“We have provided some options for (Trudeau) to support the people of the province and today I did not hear a commitment to moving forward on those items,” said Moe who walked into the meeting with a set of demands he’d been articulating since the Liberals won a minority government: a 1-year pause on the federal carbon tax in Saskatchewan, a reworked equalization formula and more overseas Oil markets opened by completing pipelines beyond the Trans Mountain Project…Moe also said Bill C-69, the “No More Pipelines bill” which will revise the regulatory review process of major energy projects, must be viewed as a limitation to economic growth…“It will hinder our ability not only for new minds, but will hinder our ability to get our products to market,” said Moe…

5. The Dow opened down nearly 100 points but is now off just 15 points through the first 30 minutes of trading…in Toronto, the TSX has gained 18 points while the Venture has given up 3 points to 533 with cannabis stocks under renewed pressure…Martello Technologies (MTLO, TSX-V), showing fresh technical strength, is up 2 cents at 38 cents after announcing a strategic partnership with WatchGuard Technologies, a global leader in advanced security solutions…the Canadian Marijuana Index has hit a fresh 2-year low of 240…it’s possible it may have to test the 200 level or a little lower before capitulation sets in…tough times for the cannabis sector as reality continues to set in: Organigram Holdings (OGI, TSX), steady at $3.58 in early trading so far, sent more shock waves through the sector on Monday evening when the company revealed a dramatic revenue miss…Organigram now expects its quarterly sales to decline 34% compared with the previous quarter…the announcement sent the company’s shares tumbling yesterday…producers are now growing more cannabis than is being sold in legal retail stores, and wholesale price compression and product returns are starting to show up in financial statements…Organigram does not report its 4th quarter financial results until November 25, but it is expecting to announce $16.4 million in sales, down from $24.8 million the preceding quarter…the company said it shipped $20 million worth of product, but expects $3.7 million to be returned unsold…“While we have largely anticipated little to no top-line growth for upcoming Canadian LP [licensed producer] results, the magnitude of the sequential decline is unexpected,” wrote Eight Capital analyst Graeme Kreindler in a note yesterday…Organigram blamed its poor quarter in part on the low number of retail stores in Ontario, where only 24 legal stores are open…investors have put misguided faith into a sector that government plays such a critical role in…

6. First Vanadium (FVAN, TSX-V) is evaluating the potential significance of a high-grade Gold target at its Carlin Vanadium Project near Elko, Nevada…to assist the company with that effort, it has hired Dave Mathewson, a former regional exploration manager with Newmont Goldcorp (NGT, TSX; NEM, NYSE)…First Vanadium said it was Mathewson who has interpreted a Carlin-style high grade Gold target at depth on the Vanadium project which is located within Nevada’s prolific Carlin Trend…the target is largely unexplored and has been identified at depth, the company said…Mathewson was involved in a number of Gold discoveries in Nevada, both as regional exploration manager of Newmont Goldcorp, and more recently as founder of Gold Standard Ventures (GSV, TSX)…“A very real and significant gold target exists on the Carlin Vanadium Project,’’ Mathewson said…it occurs at the intersection of large structures, oriented north-south, northwest and northeast, respectively…“These structural orientations are important controls of Gold mineralization on the Carlin Gold Trend,’’ he added…Mathewson went to say that the target is coincident with a gravity high that suggests a large hydrothermal alteration system at depth, coupled with the strong possibility of favourable Gold-hosting lithologies being at a reasonable range of drill depths on the property…from a technical perspective, FVAN may have bottomed in the high teens last month…it’s up 2 pennies at 29 cents as of 7:00 am Pacific

7. A majority of the most wealthy investors around the world are bracing for a big sell-off next year, according to a UBS survey…55% of more than 3,400 high net worth investors surveyed by UBS expect a significant drop in the markets at some point in 2020…amid intensifying geopolitical risks, the super-rich have increased their cash holding to 25% of their average assets, the survey showed…“Investors see reasons to be cautious in the new year,” said UBS Global Wealth Management’s client strategy office in a note today…“Two in three global investors believe markets now are driven more by geopolitical events than business fundamentals such as profitability, revenue and growth potential”…the ultra-wealthy’s top geopolitical concerns include U.S.-China trade tensions and the 2020 U.S. elections…

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November 12, 2019

7 @ 7:00

Visit the BMR comments section throughout the day for updates and helpful information!

1. Gold has traded between $1,457 and $1,448 so far today…as of 7:00 am Pacific, the yellow metal is off $4 an ounce at $1,451…President Trump is scheduled to speak at noon ET (9:00 am Pacific) at the Economic Club of New York where he could give clues to the status of trade talks between the U.S. and China…his speech comes amid questions regarding plans to sign a “Phase 1” trade deal in the coming weeks…Gold is trying to stabilize at and just above $1,450 support after experiencing its worst week in nearly 3 years…the latest trade data from the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) shows money managers still have a lot of bullish bets in Gold…the COT report for the week ending November 5 showed money managers increased their speculative gross long positions in Comex Gold futures by 2,503 contracts to 233,167…at the same time, short bets rose at a faster pace by 3,814 contracts at 35,920Gold’s net-long positioning currently stands at 197,247 contracts, relatively unchanged from the previous week, but the data doesn’t cover the significant selling pressure seen at the end of last week as Gold prices dropped to a 3-month low…Silver is off 11 cents at $16.73 but oversold conditions have formed on the short-term chart…nearest support is in the $16.60’s…the bullish primary trend remains fully intact…Copper is steady at $2.65, trading at the bottom of a 2-month up channel…Nickel is 2 cents higher at $7.08 while Zinc and Cobalt are both steady at $1.14 and $16.10, respectively…Hong Kong police fired tear gas today in the Central financial district, over the harbour in Mong Kok and at universities to break up pro-democracy protests which they said were leading the city to the “brink of total breakdown”…the clashes came a day after police shot a protester at close range and a man was doused with petrol and set on fire (by so-called pro democracy protestors) in some of the worst violence in the Chinese-ruled city in decades…a flash mob of more than 1,000 protesters, many wearing office clothes and face masks, rallied in Central for a 2nd day during lunch hour, blocking roads below some of the city’s tallest skyscrapers and most expensive real estate…

2. The left in Canada has gone insane, and Canadians need to wake up to the damage that’s being done…common sense this morning from Terence Corcoran in The Financial Post: As the political convulsions within Canada over Alberta’s fossil fuel future unfold, including divisive talk of separation and Wexit, one has to wonder what alternative planet Canadians inhabit.  After an election filled with emergency calls to end fossil fuel use within a decade or two, the country that was built on natural resources is now being torn apart over whether to build a pipeline to carry a few driblets of Oil through the Trans Mountain pipeline to the West Coast.  Driblets is the right word in the context of Planet Earth. Global Oil production may already exceed 100 million barrels a day.  The additional volume of Oil to be delivered through the proposed TMX expansion line – about 600,000 barrels a day – is equivalent to 0.6% of global production.  By way of comparison, imagine standing in front of a supermarket aisle of 2,000 cans of beer; proportionately, TMX would add 2 six-packs.  While Planet Earth is cranking out more and more Oil and other fossil fuels, Planet Canada is off in another orbit, internally obsessed with carbon emissions as though it exists in complete isolation, as if the future of global energy and emissions somehow depended on what Canada does.  No other region is engaging in serious internal battles to curtail production of fossil fuels.  In fact, on Planet Earth the opposite trends prevail”…

3. Saudi Arabia’s middle class is preparing to invest billions of dollars in Aramco shares, as ownership of the kingdom’s prized asset – the world’s Oil giant and most profitable company – transfers to the populace for the first time…fueled by a mix of national pride and fear of missing out, Saudi citizens are getting ready to shell out to be part of Aramco’s IPO which promises to be the largest ever…a bombardment of marketing around the long-awaited sale is aimed directly at them…Saudi banks are offering customers loans to buy Aramco stock while billboards and ATMs across the kingdom advertise the IPO and state-controlled newspapers are urging citizens to invest…Saudi Arabian Oil Co., known as Aramco, plans to offer 0.5% of the company to retail customers, at least a quarter of the share sale, and the company promises to give a bonus share for every 10 shares to individuals who hold their listing allocation for at least 180 days..depending on the size and valuation, the listing on Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul exchange could raise up to $50 billion from investors…

4. The Dow is up 49 points through the first 30 minutes of trading…the Dow and S&P 500 have both climbed by more than 3% over the past month while the NASDAQ has risen 5.4% during that time as record highs continue…in Toronto, the TSX is up 35 points while the Venture has added 1 point to 536Vulcan Minerals (VUL, TSX-V) jumped 10-fold early yesterday, from 2 cents to 21 cents, on a bullish CBC News report about the company’s salt project on the east coast…the move was on less than 2 million shares as the stock was quickly halted, pending company contact…VUL has come back down to Earth this morning…Probe Metals (PRB, TSX-V) has arranged a $10 million bought deal flow-through private placement at $1.80 per share…Sprott Capital Partners LP and Canaccord Genuity will act as co-lead underwriters (the PP includes a half warrant exercisable at $1.30 for 2 years)…gross proceeds from the offering will be used to finance exploration at Probe’s advanced-stage Val d’Or East Project…also in Northwest Quebec, Amex Exploration (AMX, TSX-V) has announced it’ll be carrying out an additional 100,000 m of drilling at its Perron near Rouyn-Noranda through 202027,500 m has been drilled to date with 12,500 m remaining to year-end, followed by another ~90,000 m next year…drilling has focused on the 3 distinct high-grade Gold zones discovered in 2019, namely the Eastern Gold zone (EGZ), the Gratien and Upper Gratien zones, and the Grey Cat zone…multiple prospective areas elsewhere have yet to be tested…Cronos Group (CRON, TSX; NASDAQ) fell short of quarterly revenue estimates today as the Canadian cannabis producer’s revenue per gram of cannabis sold fell in a market suffering from surplus supply…meanwhile, total operating expenses rose nearly 5-fold to $34.8 million, driven by a surge in general and administrative expenses…

5. Drilling has commenced at Pure Nickel’s (NIC, TSX-V) Neal Gold Project located nearly 30 km southeast of Boise, Idaho…the program consists of approximately 1,000 m of reverse circulation drilling and is designed to target un-mined quartz-Gold vein structures downdip and on strike of known historic mines and mineralized structures…results from this initial exploration program will form the basis for a larger spring dual reverse circulation and diamond drilling program…the company acquired the operating and 51% controlling interest in Neal Development LP earlier this year from Eric Sprott…the Neal LP holds a lease to operate the Neal Gold Project…pursuant to terms of the acquisition, the company issued Sprott 10.2 million shares of Pure Nickel, making him a significant strategic shareholder who currently holds 11.8% of the issued and outstanding shares of the company…Pure Nickel has an option to earn in an additional 27% interest in the Neal LP…upon completion of the earn-in option, ownership interest in the Neal LP will be 78% Pure Nickel, 20% Sprott and 2% minority party…the stock is trading at a nickel with nearly 90 million shares outstanding…

6. RBC is exploring building a cryptocurrency trading platform for investments, as well as in-store and online purchases, according to a Financial Post report this morning…the trading platform would facilitate the buying and selling of individual digital coins, including Bitcoin and Ether, as well as the transfer of funds combining different types of cryptocurrencies…the bank is also looking into letting customers open bank accounts containing cryptocurrency…RBC would be the first Canadian bank to launch a cryptocurrency exchange or offer its customers crypto accounts…

7. A majority of the most wealthy investors around the world are bracing for a big sell-off next year, according to a UBS survey…55% of more than 3,400 high net worth investors surveyed by UBS expect a significant drop in the markets at some point in 2020…amid intensifying geopolitical risks, the super-rich have increased their cash holding to 25% of their average assets, the survey showed…“Investors see reasons to be cautious in the new year,” said UBS Global Wealth Management’s client strategy office in a note today…“Two in three global investors believe markets now are driven more by geopolitical events than business fundamentals such as profitability, revenue and growth potential”…the ultra-wealthy’s top geopolitical concerns include U.S.-China trade tensions and the 2020 U.S. elections…

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BMR Morning Alert!

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November 11, 2019

Daniel’s Den

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BMR Morning Alert!

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