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March 31, 2011

BMR Morning Market Musings…

Gold is stronger today, hitting a high of $1,441…as of 8:45 am Pacific, the yellow metal is ahead $13 an ounce at $1,437…Silver is 22 cents higher at $37.70 while the U.S. Dollar Index is off one-quarter of a point to 75.87…crude oil is firmer, up $1.51 a barrel to $105.78…new U.S. claims for unemployment benefits fell last week, generally in line with expectations and further evidence a material improvement in the labor market is underway…the all-important jobs report for March comes out tomorrow…unemployment claims have held beneath the 400,000 level that is generally associated with steady job growth three weeks in a row, with the four-week moving average below that mark for the fifth straight week…HSBC is cutting growth targets and raising inflation forecasts following dramatic rises in commodity prices that threaten the global recovery…HSBC chief economist Stephen King told CNBC, “Never before have we seen such large increases in the cost of raw materials so soon after the end of a deep and protracted recession in the Western world”…”It’s a marriage made in economic hell,” he wrote in a bearish note to investors…”Business and consumer confidence may currently be very high but they may not stay at these levels for very long.  Already, the Michigan consumer confidence survey has shown the third biggest decline in expectations since the series first began in 1978″…major markets continue to shrug off a wide variety of troubles including a continuing U.S. housing crisis, rising global inflation, debt problems, Middle East unrest, and the disaster in Japan…the Dow is up 6.7% for the quarter, its best quarter since 1999…the Fed has cheapened the Dollar and there appears to have been a flight to safety in the Dow this quarter…the S & P has gained 5.6%, its best first quarter since the more than 13% gain when the tech bubble was brewing in 1998…the CDNX is flat for the first quarter after very strong gains in the third and fourth quarters of last year…since the CDNX is an extremely reliable leading indicator, King’s comments cannot be taken lightly as this market seems to be telling us there could be problems down the road – just how soon we don’t know…the CDNX is currently up 6 points at 2292…it has shown impressive resilience this week after dropping below 2300 amid Gold’s four-day slide…the key thing to watch for in the CDNX is if it can close above 2330 on stronger volume for at least two consecutive days…there’s also the possibility by mid-to-late next week that the CDNX’s 20-day SMA could reverse to the upside…that is also an important technical event to watch for…so while we still remain cautious with the CDNX, and for good reason given a number of factors including the lower volume of late, there is the chance this market could ignite again very soon…quoting a very wise phrase from John, our chart expert, as investors we have to let the market tell us what it wants to do as opposed to telling the market what we think it should do…Gold Bullion Development (GBB, TSX-V) is off half a penny at 42 cents…the last two months have been difficult for GBB, in terms of its share price, but we encourage investors to keep focused on one very important dynamic which is the ever-increasing zone of mineralization at Granada…by this summer GBB will have a NI-43-101 resource estimate in its hands for the LONG Bars Zone and we believe that will be a game-changing event…we’re in the Gold bull market of a lifetime…the LONG Bars Zone is a potential multi-million ounce deposit, near-surface and in one of the best jurisdictions in the world for mining and exploration…yes, we wish there were more rigs on the property and even more money in the bank, but the Gold is there in abundance based on results to date and we’re certain the 43-101 will confirm that…Visible Gold Mines (VGD, TSX-V) has optioned the Joutel Property from Agnico-Eagle Mines (AEM, TSX)…Joutel is a former producer (it hosted the Eagle, Eagle Quest and Telbel Gold mines that combined for 1.1 million ounces between 1974 to 1993) and the property that launched Agnico-Eagle…to the best of our knowledge, this is the first time that Agnico-Eagle has optioned Joutel which likely has a lot to do with the fact that Robert Sansfacon is Visible Gold Mine’s senior geologist…we met Sansfacon during our trip to Rouyn-Noranda in January and he is a superb geologist and extremely well respected in the industry…he was with Lac Minerals for many years and played a key role in the discovery of Osisko’s (OSK, TSX) Malartic deposit…if anyone can unlock the value of Joutel, it’s Sansfacon…he must believe he can find extensions there…this is an extremely interesting development and it’s just another reason why we find Visible Gold Mines such an exciting opportunity…the company is armed with nearly $9 million in cash and has made it clear it intends to become a leader on the Gold exploration front in northwest Quebec…it has the business, geological and marketing expertise to do just that…Visible Gold Mines has a drill program in progress at Silidor, just a few kilometres west of Rouyn-Noranda, with another drill program underway shortly on ground optioned from Cadillac Mining (CQX, TSX-V) near Vantex Resources‘ (VAX, TSX-V) Moriss Zone Discovery…Visible Gold Mines has all the ingredients to develop into a major success story and we’ll be covering it in more detail in the coming days and weeks…technically, the stock’s 40-day SMA has reversed to the upside after being in decline since December…it appears the 50-day is about to reverse very soon as well, so a major turnaround here appears imminent after VGD got as high as 70 cents in early December…Visible Gold Mines is currently up 2 pennies at 41 cents on volume of 340,000 shares…Gold Canyon Resources (GCU, TSX-V) is up 4 cents at $3.34…there is growing speculation based on impressive results to date that GCU’s Springpole Project contains 5+ million ounces of Gold…do your due diligence on this one, folks, as quickly as possible because if those numbers prove out, Gold Canyon will be at much higher levels…GoldQuest Mining (GQC, TSX-V), which we haven’t mentioned for a while, is holding steady in the mid-30’s…investors are anxiously waiting for the first set of assay results from GoldQuest’s Escandalosa Property in the DR…Escandalosa is an exciting geological target and the company has an excellent chance to significantly increase resources there from 400,000 ounces to potentially 1 million ounces or more…GQC also has other projects of merit it’s developing in both the DR and Spain…Richfield Ventures (RVC, TSX-V) hit another new all-time high this morning of $7.60…the stock is currently up 29 cents at $7.50…we suspect funds have been aggressively accumulating recently…the stock is now up 525% since we introduced it to BMR readers in December, 2009…

12 Comments

  1. that was a good sumary on both gbb and vgd. Thank you .

    Comment by steve — March 31, 2011 @ 8:46 am

  2. Hi guys,

    Just bought SFF this morning at 30 cents, am i the only one seing a 10 baggers opportunity with this one! What wrong with this stocks now?

    Any tought,

    Good luck with your invesments

    Martin

    Comment by Martin — March 31, 2011 @ 10:26 am

  3. People may want to look INT – Intertainment Media.
    Likely to be the next Tech giant and a huge tech takeover target for Google, Facebook etc. Valued at only $75 million and Facebook at $50 billion. Over 9000% difference in valuation yet INT’s product Ortsbo has outpaced Facebook’s 3 year growth in 9 months. Take a look.

    V.INT

    Was at 0.96 cents a month ago and finally consolidated and ready for next move.
    It is 10% of Venture’s volume today

    Comment by Taylor — March 31, 2011 @ 11:07 am

  4. Hello Taylor, I’ve been watching INT. KNCTR is a big disappointment and that’s how the market saw it too. Today’s news release re the language course is better but there are lots to choose from. Ortsbo social network and auto translation is interesting and it’s apparently doing well in Brazil, India, China etc. I find the stock very volatile and although there is a constant stream of news releases the stock does not always respond well. If there is a big CDNX correction and the sp slides it would be worthwhile checking out. At present it’s very much a gamble – like today’s trading it looked like it was all done at .57 and then mid afternoon it takes off!

    Comment by Andrew — March 31, 2011 @ 11:41 am

  5. Alright you can have your opinion and I’ll have mine but I’ll see ya at $2.00 in July and you can blame yourself for not getting in before things went crazy. Their one product is growing at an exponential rate and they were offered $30 million dollars in September which they turned down on top of a NYSE listing they turned down. In this time they have grown over 1500% so if you don’t see value here maybe you can’t do DD but a takeover bid for $30 million for 1 of 4 products and a second takeover bid for 1 of the 4 products for “substantially higher” means the current market cap is trading at a discount to cash in hand, earnings as well as value of products or takeover bid. No one had heard of Groupon two years ago but today it’s doing an IPO for $5 billion. But ya there’s no value in INT so keep loading up on the juniors like Visible Gold and Cadillac that are doing so well. I gave this board INM, CUU and INT so hopefully people have taken notice and picked up shares.

    Comment by Taylor — March 31, 2011 @ 11:55 am

  6. int ‘S 10c last pp share are going to be free trading in mid may , it could be a good timing ..What was bought at 10c will be sold
    for the full warrant at least + profit taking , there will be a window there at ?? i say last corection’s low could come back then .

    Comment by steve — March 31, 2011 @ 12:08 pm

  7. CQX down .04 to 0.19, pathetic ! Why are they keeping this stock down ? You can be sure they are, when you
    see the same house hitting the bids with 100 lot shares. VGN is another winner, pathetic ! R !

    Comment by Bert — March 31, 2011 @ 12:16 pm

  8. Hello Taylor, I understand your points and I have held INT even today. I do see potential but perhaps more volatility than some juniors, it did meet resistance at .96 despite volume and news and quickly lost over half its value. I think you’re right that it’s on its way back up, that’s why I bought today! I think some of the news releases take time for investors to digest, perhaps that’s what happened today. The pp shares start trading 13th May and if the CDNX correction materializes I see an opportunity to purchase. We can’t compare INT with the gold and silver juniors but INM and CUU were certainly excellent picks.

    Comment by Andrew — March 31, 2011 @ 12:36 pm

  9. Completely agree and glad you bought today as this is the beginning of the ride. I’ve been watching and holding/trading INT since it’s first initial run to 35 cents the end of January and I can’t find a better opportunity for shareholders. Constant news release, unprecedented growth and 4 different vehicles with Ortsbo, Knctr etc. PP shares may dilute a little but they’ll be just in time for Mobile Release of Ortsbo warranting a $150 million dollar valuation minimum. Our numbers will be twice that then as well for Ortsbo. A Northern Securities client threw in $4.8 million dollars on February 8th at market which drove the price from 0.69 to 0.89 in seconds and even though MM’s kept it down to accumulate his $5 million dollar purchase isn’t looking as crazy after all now.

    I’ve made my case for anyone on this board do your DD now as this is your last chance.

    Comment by Taylor — March 31, 2011 @ 1:32 pm

  10. ABI is shown as #5 for Insider Sells today (215,000 or about 45% of today’s volume)- until Consolidated have stopped selling the stock price will remain stalled. PEM is #3 for Insider Buys today.

    Comment by Andrew — March 31, 2011 @ 3:58 pm

  11. you guys need to look at ldi , it as all the fundementals of a Warren Buffet penny stock, they just bought a mex co. +20 rigs

    Comment by steve — April 1, 2011 @ 6:32 am

  12. Thanks Steve, LDI held up very well throughout March and good volume (up from February, I think). Sheldon Inwentash and Pinetree have been accumulating around .30 – .32

    Comment by Andrew — April 1, 2011 @ 6:40 am

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