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May 27, 2011

BMR Morning Market Musings…

Gold seems ready to finish the month of May on a very bullish note…the yellow metal is breaking out above resistance at $1,530 this morning…a move to new highs next month seems likely given the “feel” of this market right now and the strong technicals…the turnaround in the CDNX also suggests something is brewing in Goldas of 7:15 am Pacific, Gold is up $15 an ounce at $1,534…Silver is 81 cents higher at $38.00 while crude oil has gained 69 cents to $100.92…Goldman Sachs’ reversal on its outlook for oil prices over the next six months is bizarre – they’ve gone from bearish to bullish in just six weeks, making one wonder why they made their April call in the first place…the U.S. Dollar Index is off over one-third of a penny to 75.11…real action on the U.S. deficit problem is unlikely until the 2012 presidential election, a stalemate that is helping make the stock market a better bet for investors than Treasurys, Pimco’s Bill Gross told CNBC this morning…G-8 leaders say a strengthening global economy will pave the way to cuts in the debt built up during the recession that followed the 2008 financial crisis…Europe vowed to fight its fiscal woes with “determination” while President Barack Obama promised a “clear and credible” U.S. deficit-reduction strategy…Japan was allowed to put off savings measures until its economy rebounds from the March earthquake and tsunami…“The global recovery is gaining strength and is becoming more self-sustained,” according to a statement after the two-day summit in Deauville, France…without mapping out binding targets, the leaders pledged to “remain focused on the action required to enhance the sustainability of public finances”…the G-8 also stated, ““The sharp increase in commodity prices and their excessive volatility pose a significant headwind to the recovery”…the truth, of course, is that the greatest underlying threat to the economic system across the developed world is government which has also grown insanely too big…a loss of confidence in government is clearly one of the factors driving Gold and even commodities in general…last weekend, we predicted the strong probability of a major reversal in the CDNX and indeed that has been confirmed after three trading days this week with the Index closing at 2072 yesterday, a 6% gain from last week’s important low of 1957 which was the bottom of a 20.6% correction that lasted 51 trading days…that correction was almost identical to the one in 2005…the early days of this reversal are also very similar so far to the recovery pattern in 2005…from its May low through the end of December in 2005, the CDNX climbed a whopping 40%…whether we see that this time remains to be seen but clearly the bulls are back in control for now and June is shaping up to be a very positive month…John’s updated chart this morning shows 2100 as the next level to watch in this new uptrend…

The CDNX is up another 14 points to 2086 through the first 45 minutes of trading this morning…yesterday we gave a list of quality situations for our readers’ due diligence, stocks outside the BMR model portfolio that have strong potential to be market leaders in the days and weeks ahead…those include Silver Quest Resources (SQI, TSX-V) which broke out yesterday on 3.6 million shares to close at 92 cents, a gain of 14%…it’s up another 6 pennies at the moment to 97 cents…Silver Quest holds 25% of the northern portion of Richfield Ventures’ (RVC, TSX-V) Blackwater deposit, a project we have followed closely and have been very bullish about since late 2009 (Richfield has gained nearly 900% since we introduced it to BMR readers in December, 2009)…Currie Rose Resources (CUI, TSX-V), which we started covering when it was around a dime last September, is one of our top picks in the under-20 cent category going into the month of June…the company’s Sekenke Project in Tanzania runs in between and surrounds two former producing high-grade mines and offers exceptional exploration potential which Currie Rose is soon going to test with a 5,000 metre Phase 1 drill program…we have studied Sekenke in detail and it’s one of our favorite properties – a significant discovery at this project this summer is clearly within the reach of CUI’s geological team headed by Michael Griffiths from Australia…we’ve spoken with Griffiths and he’s like a kid in a candy store when he looks at Sekenke…so the fundamentals are in place here – what about the technicals on the stock?…that’s where it gets even more interesting…John, our wizard of charts, was bang-on with the CDNX reversal and he sees patterns (including heavy accumulation since the end of March) that suggest Currie Rose is gearing up for a major breakout…it’s 50-day SMA is also just now beginning to reverse and that’s a sure sign of fresh bullishness coming into this stock…

As of 7:15 am Pacific, Currie Rose is up a penny at 18 cents on strong volume…Osisko Mining (OSK, TSX-V) has taken an interest in Threegold Resources‘ (THG, TSX-V) Adanac Project which should be a huge wake-up call for Gold Bullion Development (GBB, TSX-V) investors…Adanac is on strike with the LONG Bars Zone and the fact Osisko has cut a deal to earn as much as a 70% interest in Adanac suggests they are keeping a very close eye on developments at Granada…OSK has acquired a 9.2% stake in THG by buying shares on the open market, and a potential OSK takeover of both THG and GBB down the road cannot be ruled out…GBB is off half a penny at 41 cents – time to back up the truck and load up on GBB again…Richmont Mines (RIC, TSX), which is looking very strong both technically and fundamentally, is up another 28 cents this morning to $8.50…Richmont is turning into an earnings machine and we wouldn’t be surprised to see RIC reach new all-time highs as early as next month…iSignMedia Solutions (ISD, TSX-V) continues to trade in a bullish symmetrical triangle and is currently up a penny at 46 cents…Spanish Mountain Gold (SPA, TSX-V) is moving (up a nickel at 64 cents) and Gold Canyon Resources (GCU, TSX-V) is looking strong as well, up 3 pennies at $3.23…

8 Comments

  1. I was on the train in this am hoping that there would be some positive technical analysis from John on this site today.

    Since Tuesday, the sentiment out there feels totally different…like a breath of fresh air.

    To top it all off, good things brewing with CUI, I have been in CUI for a couple of years now and enjoy what a difference having solid analysis available from a reputable, independent group like BMR makes.

    Comment by Kennedy — May 27, 2011 @ 7:22 am

  2. Back in ABI: Renaud Hinse advised me that Joe Dwek was cleaned out 2 weeks ago – which has got to be positive! 🙂

    Comment by Andrew — May 27, 2011 @ 8:59 am

  3. Hi, Are there any actual events or news that are pushing CUI up today? or is it investors catching up for some upcoming news?
    It is becoming rather intersting turn now for this company that coinsides with surging gold!
    Thanks
    a

    Comment by Ali — May 27, 2011 @ 10:33 am

  4. I think i have a winner in HRC. They already have a 43101 out, with close to 1 million ozs indicated\inferred.
    They are drilling away in CUI territory, Tanzania that is & the drills are also churning on their newest property,
    Namibia. I could go on & on, but d.d. is the responsibility of anyone who may be interested, but i will state,
    news is imminent.

    R !

    Bert

    Comment by Bert Coish — May 27, 2011 @ 10:51 am

  5. Wow GBB +6% CUI +26% and finaly the ugly duckling CQX +40% nice!

    Comment by Stefan — May 27, 2011 @ 1:40 pm

  6. Technical breakout on the stock, company preparing to start drilling in Tanzania in June I’m sure. Sekenke is a first-rate target and it’s the reason we started following CUI last fall, but due to the rainy season they weren’t able to start drilling it until about now. We’ve speculated about this before as well and it would be great to see – CUI getting its hands on the former Sekenke Mine. That would be a huge development and I believe it’s possible. We put that question to Harold in an interview last January, given some interesting comments in a news release, and he was rather coy about it, saying “no comment”. Just speculation, but it wouldn’t surprise me if they’re trying to acquire that. It was Tanzania’s original gold producer at very nice grades. They’ve picked up a lot of ground around the former Sekenke Mine, and close to another past producer. This is a great story with a lot of geological merit and meat to it.

    Comment by Jon - BMR — May 28, 2011 @ 10:00 am

  7. Hello Stefan, discount the 40% pop on CQX it was a last minute cross trade. If you look at level 2 market depth you’ll see it. Sentiment has not changed with CQX.

    Comment by Andrew — May 29, 2011 @ 11:40 am

  8. I would agree with Andrew. Lots of potential opportunity with the Wasamac situation – Cadillac has to prove they can seize the moment and make things happen.

    Comment by Jon - BMR — May 29, 2011 @ 2:11 pm

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