BullMarketRun   BullMarketRun.com

A Daily, Vibrant Voice Focused on Speculative Opportunities,
Commodities, and Economic & Political Trends Impacting
The Resource Sector & Equity Markets
 

"Market-Trouncing Returns Through Unbeatable
Technical & Fundamental Analysis of Niche Sectors"

February 23, 2012

BMR Morning Market Musings…

After an impressive move yesterday that has opened the door to a near-term challenge of the $1,800 resistance area, Gold is up another $7 an ounce at $1,783 as of 6:00 am Pacific…Silver is 63 cents higher at $34.89…Copper is off a penny at $3.81…Crude Oil is up 43 cents at $106.71 while the U.S. Dollar Index has fallen one-quarter of a point to 78.95…

Stock index futures as of 6:00 am Pacific are pointing toward a positive open on Wall Street this morning…China’s Shanghai Composite Index is now above the 2400 level for the first time since last fall…it gained 6 points overnight to close at 2410…as we illustrated last month, there has been quite a close correlation in recent years between the speculative Chinese market and the Venture Exchange…we noticed a potential change in trend with the Shanghai Composite last month and that’s indeed what has occurred as the technicals have turned bullish…all the stars are lining up nicely for the CDNX

China’s central bank has come out with a landmark report that outlines the path to a critical reform for the economy including an acceleration in the loosening of capital controls…foreigners would be given far greater access to the Chinese stock and bond markets within a decade under a three-phase plan to liberalise investment flows into and out of the country…the central bank said the plan would also allow Chinese companies to take advantage of a “strategic opportunity” to buy cheap foreign assets and help transform the renminbi into an important international currency…

Venture Closes In On 1700

Volumes are picking up and the Venture Exchange will be gunning for its sixth consecutive daily advance today…for the last two sessions the Index has closed above its November high of 1675…after falling to an intra-day low of 1671 yesterday, the CDNX reversed and closed up 6 points at 1685 as Gold moved higher…Nevada is certainly heating up…Gold Standard Ventures (GV, TSX-V) jumped 66 cents yesterday and was the sixth most active CDNX stock, trading just under 6 million shares, after releasing drill results from its Railroad Project on the Carlin Trend…RR-11-16 intersected what appears to be a flat-lying mineralized zone from 169.2 to 225.6 metres (56.4 metres grading 4.26 g/t Au)…drilling of that hole and two other holes to the east continues…this story appears to have a lot of legs to it, so GV should remain very active…another situation we like at the moment in Nevada is Corvus Gold (KOR, TSX) which closed yesterday at 80 cents…

Cascadero Copper (CCD, TSX-V)

One of the keys, of course, to making big money in the speculative junior resource market is finding a company like Gold Standard before it reports a significant discovery…that search is never easy but we believe we’ve uncovered another potential gem in Cascadero Copper (CCD, TSX-V) which is very active with large-scale projects in Argentina, British Columbia and Ontario…the stock closed yesterday at 18 cents for a market cap of $22 million…there’s a lot going on with CCD, as you’ll notice when you visit the company’s web site as part of your due diligence, but this morning we want to briefly touch on what we believe investors have overlooked with CCD which is not one but three very promising porphyry systems within a short distance of each other in northwest Argentina, home to some of the largest porphyry deposits in the world…first, let’s take a quick look at the Cascadero chart which shows this stock is starting to stir after trading in a horizontal channel for the last two-and-a-half years…given Cascadero’s fundamentals, and our bullish outlook for the overall market, the likelihood of CCD busting through this horizontal channel over the short-term appears very realistic…where it could go from there is anyone’s guess, but Gold Standard and Cadillac Mining (CQX, TSX-V) have shown this week what can happen in this bullish new environment when a company reports a very good drill result…

Note: Jon holds a position in CCD (John and Terry do not).

Earlier this month, Cascadero completed a $1.5 million over-subscribed private placement…in early January, the company bolstered its already strong board of directors by adding Brian Causey of Hunter Dickinson

So what is the potential short-term “trigger event” for Cascadero?…the company’s major focus at the moment is on its huge land package in Argentina…Cascadero is in “elephant” country and has the potential to be the next Lumina Copper (LCC, TSX-V)…CCD’s property portfolio there consists of more than a dozen projects covering 226,000 hectares or nearly 900 square miles…what really has us excited is what the company is doing in the rich Pancho Arias mineral district…using a hockey analogy, CCD could be on the verge of a “hat trick” with its Pancho Arias, Las Burras and Incahuasi properties (along a 19 km stretch) as each has large tonnage potential (Copper, Gold and Moly) based on existing drill data (Pancho Arias and Las Burras) and geophysics (Incahuasi)…a 2012 drill program is expected to begin soon…if you’re looking for “blue sky”, there’s plenty of it with CCD just based on the PALBI Porphyry Potential (our acronym for Pancho Arias, Las Burras and Incahuasi)…for some fascinating geological details on these properties, we suggest as part of your due diligence that you check out the corporation presentation President and CEO Bill McWilliam has put together under the “Investors” section on the company’s web site…2012 is Cascadero’s best chance ever for a major breakout, so it’s a situation we’re going to follow closely in the weeks and months ahead…

Abcourt Mines (ABI, TSX-V)

Abcourt (ABI, TSX-V) continues to strengthen and closed yesterday at 15.5 cents…the company expects to have an updated resource estimate for its Elder-Tagami Gold Project near Rouyn-Noranda by the end of March followed by a Preliminary Economic Assessment…we expect very good news on the updated 43-101 resource estimate given the fact the company has completed nearly 20,000 metres of successful drilling at Elder-Tagami since the last estimate in 2009…the past producing Elder Mine is currently being dewatered…meanwhile, the company’s other major asset is its Abcourt-Barvue Silver-Zinc deposit near Val-d’Or where drilling has also been successful…Abcourt may need a fresh face at the helm to truly unlock shareholder value but there’s no denying the quality of the company’s assets…this has the potential of being a very good year for Abcourt, especially if Silver and Gold continue to climb…below is John’s updated chart…some patience will be required, however, as the stock deals with a resistance band between 16 and 18 cents…

Note: John, Jon and Terry do not hold positions in ABI.

Adventure Gold (AGE, TSX-V)

Adventure Gold (AGE, TSX-V) is heating up as a 15,000 metre drill program is now underway at the company’s very promising Pascalis-Colombiere Gold Property near Val-d’Or…AGE has outlined a Gold trend at Pascalis over at least a three-kilometre strike and up to 900 metres depth and 500 metres wide…immediately adjacent to Pascalis is Richmont’s (RIC, TSX) Beaufor Mine which is just one reason we’re so bullish on Adventure Gold – Pascalis could turn out to be a very strategic fit for Richmont and that raises the possibility of AGE getting taken over…Pascalis is definitely on Richmont’s radar screen…we visited Pascalis last summer and we have some more pictures to share with our readers tomorrow, but for now John gives us his own picture of a very bullish-looking AGE chart…the stock gained another penny yesterday to close at 47 cents…

Note: John, Jon and Terry do not hold positions in AGE.


21 Comments

  1. RBW

    RBW is overbought & has been for a couple of days. The market is
    saying, at this point in time you, rbw is only worth around 0.26,
    you are going to have to pony up with news, or something to entice
    us to buy & move you up. R !

    Comment by bert — February 23, 2012 @ 6:56 am

  2. BTW.. does anyone have any updates on Canada Rare Earths..??? or did we just get taken in by Dave the Pumper..????
    Like we are STILL awaiting those awesome drill results yes???? TMX news flow has nothing since Dec 9th last yea::…. thx all

    Comment by Jeremy — February 23, 2012 @ 7:20 am

  3. Jeremy, not sure that we got taken in, there did seem to be prospects with CJC and for those that bought in mid .30’s and got out in .60s they did the right thing. If you check out the management and their other companies I wouldn’t touch it with a 10 foot barge pole! 🙂

    Comment by Andrew — February 23, 2012 @ 7:56 am

  4. Thx Andrew… I am on the other end… in at 60 now at 30:) so its your fault eh!!!:) LOL…
    anyway, will calll the company and see what gives:)

    Comment by Jeremy — February 23, 2012 @ 8:41 am

  5. Oh geez, Jeremy, sorry! There’s always the possibility that they will find something in the latter holes – those were the ones that, I think, had the most prospect. The extra testing was to include Platinum group and there was a rumour that one hole was copper. So, just like GV and CQX if they hit, you’ll be laughing and I’ll be crying – actually no, I no longer have an emotional response – 2011 extinguished it! 🙂

    Comment by Andrew — February 23, 2012 @ 8:51 am

  6. One has to be careful of pumpers, in particular, when they claim
    they have inside information. Aren’t you a pumper Bert ? well, sort
    of, but i pump on my own d.d. & if i am wrong, i will admit it & will
    try my best to do better the next time.

    I am still positive on RBW, feeling they have a plan. Also positive
    on CEV & SGC. Expecting big things March/April. By the way, i held
    shares in CQX, didn’t do as well as i should have, but i did well
    just the same & am very thankful. I must once again emphasize that
    often patience pays off. For the past year or so, i was a trader,
    but today, i am more comfortable with the market & willing to try
    investing for a change.

    Comment by bert — February 23, 2012 @ 9:09 am

  7. Scorpio (SPM – TSX) looking good. BMR brought it to our attention recently.

    Comment by Andrew — February 23, 2012 @ 9:17 am

  8. Thx Andrew and Bert:) and agreed on the prospects for CJC… but thought they had delivered all their assays… maybe not..??
    and I agree with 2011 + emotion= yikes!!!! and we are in a better place now yes?? D V V is one I am holding based on Berts DD:) and the fact that it is in the blackwater area can mean good things..
    CQX will retrace somewhat until they announce new drill plans, and they will need more dough as well (Jon.. is this accurate based on your knowledge??)

    Comment by Jeremy — February 23, 2012 @ 11:40 am

  9. Jeremy – I’m not aware that CJC have released any assays, so if you have a link to results please share. Last nr I have other than MD&A was 9th December: Canada Rare Earths Announces Pre-Development Agreement with The Grand Council of the Crees (EI)/Cree Regional Authority and The Cree First Nation of Waswanipi

    Comment by Andrew — February 23, 2012 @ 11:50 am

  10. CQX will need to a financing very quickly….

    Comment by Jon - BMR — February 23, 2012 @ 11:51 am

  11. Jon

    CQX granted their employees 2,200,000 options today at 0.17… They are
    in the money already & would give the company $374,000.00. Maybe that’s
    their route to the almighty dollar.. I understand last year, they couldn’t
    raise any cash & had to do a small financing from their own pockets.

    Comment by Bert — February 23, 2012 @ 12:16 pm

  12. Jon

    Re previous post, if they exercise their options right away, maybe
    there will be a holding period on the shares, but i don’t see it in
    the NR.

    Bert

    Comment by Bert — February 23, 2012 @ 12:31 pm

  13. RBW seems poised for a move higher in short order :-)!

    Comment by Martin — February 23, 2012 @ 12:44 pm

  14. when we getting part 2 of Johnston interview BMR?

    Comment by db — February 23, 2012 @ 12:52 pm

  15. Possibly tomorrow or Monday at the latest…

    Comment by Jon - BMR — February 23, 2012 @ 1:10 pm

  16. andrew… I am going from memory, and that CJC released assyas from a few ‘holes’ but didnt show the promise that was expected thus the drop back down… but I cant freakin remember if tat was all or if there were others…. our buddy Dave said that the results were supposed to very ‘heavy’ … so just not sure.. havent called the company but will to get some guidance…

    thx Jon re CQX… and indeed they will need money… at 25 the financing should be an average of 14 daze yes???? doing it now makes a bunch of sense but as with BRD, the $ figure could be in the teeens. and the stock drops to that level for a bit b4 picking back up!

    and I dindt notice a holding period either.. wonder if 17 is the lowest end of the sale for the averaging for issuing options..:)

    Comment by Jeremy — February 23, 2012 @ 1:14 pm

  17. CQX

    Regarding NR from CQX today, it is disappointing to see them issue options at 0.17, while the
    stock traded at 0.265-0.27. That don’t give me much confidence, unless they have something else
    coming. I called the IR today & guess who answered, the President/CEO., no doubt, they need cash.
    Anyway, i am out now, but to see it at 0.08 one day & in the 40’s the next day ,reminds me of
    the good old days.

    Comment by Bert — February 23, 2012 @ 1:26 pm

  18. This is the year, ALL the cards are lining up for TSX-V-ABI!!!! Silver prices set to explode and ABI has the verified resource estimate which is to be updated even higher next month. Infastructure in place and a past producing mine shaft only days away from being completely dewatered! What do you think is going to happen to this companies share price? BMR called this one over a year ago…even though last year ended up being a less than stellar year. I thank You BMR (John) for bringing this one to my attention…I am loaded up and holding strong for a serious return on my money! Everything is taking its place! Thanks again!

    Comment by Reuben — February 23, 2012 @ 7:04 pm

  19. Fraser Institute’s annual survey puts my backyard, New Brunswick, as the best jurisdiction in the world for mining, BC way back at 31st.
    timescolonist.com/business/Brunswick+best+mining/6203572/story.html

    Comment by Andrew — February 24, 2012 @ 5:37 am

  20. Andrew

    You failed to mention Newfoundland, # 1 i assume.

    Comment by Bert — February 24, 2012 @ 6:00 am

  21. No, Bert, Newfoundland & Labrador is #1 1/2 🙂

    Comment by Andrew — February 24, 2012 @ 6:10 am

Sorry, the comment form is closed at this time.

  • All Posts: