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December 17, 2013

BMR Morning Market Musings…

Gold has traded between $1,230 and $1,249 so far today…as of 6:45 am Pacific, the yellow metal is down $1 an ounce at $1,240…Silver is up 2 cents at $19.98…Copper, at a 6-week high, is flat at $3.31…Crude Oil is relatively unchanged at $97.52 while the U.S. Dollar Index is up slightly at 80.16…

Investors are dumping Gold-backed exchange-traded products at the fastest pace since the securities were created a decade ago, mirroring the steepest price drop in 32 years…holdings in the 14 biggest ETPs have plunged 31% to 1,813.7 metric tons since the start of January, the first annual decrease since the funds started trading in 2003, according to data compiled by Bloomberg…the removals erased $69.5 billion in the value of the assets as prices fell by the most since 1981…ETP investments reached a record $148 billion last year, helping sustain the bull market that drove a more than sixfold increase in prices since 2001 by offering a way to own bullion without needing to store it…a further 300+ tons will be withdrawn next year, according to the median of 11 analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg…it’s important to keep in mind, though, that China has effectively absorbed all of this year’s ETP selling…

Reuters reported this morning that India plans on keeping a tight leash on Gold imports despite a recent improvement in its trade deficit and lobbying by a bullion industry struggling with high premiums and a supply crunch…the government is worried that the country’s trade gap could worsen again and the already battered currency could weaken further if the Federal Reserve looks start tapering in the near future…wind of political change are blowing in India, however, and this could prove helpful to Gold in 2014…

The Fed and Taper Talk

The Fed’s two-day policy meeting begins today amid increasing speculation among many investors that the Fed is now more inclined to start scaling back its bond buying program given the budget deal in Washington and a labor market that continues to heal…Wall Street has indeed tightened its view of Fed policy in the months ahead and is now looking on average for the taper, or reduction in Fed stimulus to the economy, to come in February, according to the CNBC Fed survey for December…the expectation for February is two months earlier than the average in the CNBC survey in October, but most of the 42 respondents are actually more hawkish…a full 55% see the Fed tapering its bond purchases in January or December…that was the forecast of only 16% of respondents in October…

Today’s Markets

Asian stocks were mixed overnight…China’s Shanghai Composite fell 10 points to close at 2151, while Japan’s Nikkei jumped 126 points or nearly 1% to finish at 15279…

European stocks are modestly lower in late trading overseas despite some stellar data out of Germany…the closely-watched German ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment showed an uptick to 62.0 for December – its highest level since April 2006 and way above estimates of 55.0…

The Dow is flat after the first 15 minutes of trading this morning…the TSX is down 3 points while the Venture is also off 3 points at 888…the Venture has fallen on 8 consecutive Mondays, but with tax-loss season now virtually out of the way expect this market to strengthen as the week progresses…

Brigus Gold (BRD, TSX) Update

Brigus Gold (BRD, TSX) jumped 33% yesterday, closing at 84 cents on total volume of nearly 30 million shares, after Primero Mining Corp. (PM, TSX) launched an all-share, friendly $220 million bid for Brigus in which BRD shareholders will receive 0.175 of a Primero share for each Brigus share held, plus 0.1 shares in a newly incorporated company…this kind of activity is yet another example of the bargains that exist in this beaten-down sector…

CRB Index Updated Chart

A couple of key takeaways from this long-term CRB Index chart…first, have a look at the Slow Stochastics indicator…it’s in a bullish low position, similar to where it was when the CRB fell to important lows in 1999, 2001, 2009 and 2012…history tells us that a turnaround is imminent, and a rising CRB Index typically equates to a rising Venture Exchange…in early 2011, when everyone was bullish on the junior resource sector and buying everything in sight, the CRB SS indicator was flashing a warning sign as it was at an all-time high…right now it’s below 20 for just the fourth time in the last dozen years…RSI(14) is also bouncing up from support…

Barisan Gold Corp. (BG, TSX-V) Updated Chart

Barisan Gold (BG, TSX-V) has been very volatile since announcing an impressive drill hole result from its Upper Tengkereng prospect in Indonesia November 5…904 metres grading 0.41 g.t Au and 0.25% Cu, including 262 metres of 0.81 g/t Au and 0.49% Cu, deserves some serious attention – even if it’s in Indonesia…drilling continues as the company attempts to intersect the potassic core where even higher grades could exist…more results are expected early in the New Year, so speculation will keep this play active…strong technical support exists in the low 20′s…this one is not for the timid or the faint of heart, but certainly has the potential to produce some stellar returns if additional results are even better…as always, perform your own due diligence…the pullback from the recent high of 44.5 cents should be viewed in the context of a normal, healthy correction in the early stages of speculation…

Below is an updated 2+ year weekly chart from John…the technically overbought conditions that emerged in November, after the spectacular rise from under 10 cents, have gradually been unwinding – a positive development…very strong Fib. support exists between 15 and 21 cents, the “sweet spot” for accumulation as John pointed out earlier (as always, keep in mind that the Fib. targets aren’t price targets, just theoretical levels based on Fib. and technical analysis)…BG is off half a penny at 22 cents as of 6:45 am Pacific

True Gold Mining (TGM, TSX-V) Update

True Gold Mining (TGM, TSX-V) has released encouraging results this morning from an independent feasibility study of its Burkina Faso Gold Project in West Africa, an area that has seen some interesting recent merger and acquisition activity…the study supports a technically simple open-pit heap leach project that offers low capital and operating costs, rapid payback (43.1% IRR) and strong financial performance at $1,250 Gold

“The Karma Project stands out in the world of heap-leach Gold development projects,” explained Dwayne Melrose, TGM’s President and CEO…“With strong Gold grades, excellent infrastructure, low power and water requirements, strong recoveries from simple metallurgy and soft, free digging material, our operating and capital requirements are modest and our margins are high.  In addition, by design, the Karma Project has been engineered to provide flexibility to scale up and take advantage of the potential to deliver additional ounces as demonstrated by our exploration team’s efforts this year. The building blocks for a growth oriented gold producer are in place today, with a proven management team to lead us forward.”

The feasibility study supports a heap leach mine scenario from currently defined open-pit deposits containing 949,000 ounces of probable mineral reserves…the proposed Karma Project implementation schedule is over a period of 18 months with pre-stripping beginning 12 months prior to the first Gold pour, which is anticipated at the end of 2015…the project requires initial capital of $131.5 million (including onsite working capital and contingency) to support the construction of a mine and associated facilities…the mine would produce an average of 97,000 ounces of Gold per year over 8.5 years, with direct cash operating costs of approximately $591 per ounce…

Below is a 2.5-year weekly TGM chart…key resistance is 40 cents, and TGM is attempting to push through that today…as of 6:45 am Pacific, TGM is up 1.5 cents at 40 cents…

Wanted Technologies Corp. (WAN, TSX-V)

Many technology plays have been red-hot, and Wanted Technologies (WAN, TSX-V) is no exception as you can see from this 2.5-year weekly chart…WAN broke above a Fib. level yesterday and at some point seems destined for a vertical move but exact timing is uncertain as some consolidation may need to occur first…Wanted is headquartered in Quebec City with subsidiary offices in New York…it provides real-time business intelligence for the talent marketplace…it’s also the exclusive data provider for the Conference Board’s Help-Wanted OnLine Data Series™, the monthly economic indicator of hiring demand in the United States…only 24 million shares outstanding, and the company is making money…the market is developing an appetite for this stock and a strong year-end/Q1 move is certainly possible…as always, perform your own due diligence…WAN is up 6 cents at $1.38 through the first 15 minutes of trading…

Note: John and Jon both hold share positions in BG.

16 Comments

  1. Red Pine (RPX)… does anyone have any dirt?? has been on the volume list consistently… have finished surface testing, but no reports or news..
    TIA for any thoughts..
    DeMark technical company is predicting a huge gold move in 2014… based on history and recurring human nature..:)

    Comment by JeremY — December 17, 2013 @ 7:01 am

  2. zerohedge.com/news/2013-12-16/silver-gold-surge-pomo-demark-tells-santelli-big-move-coming

    Comment by JeremY — December 17, 2013 @ 7:01 am

  3. BERT have you checked gta lately the other stock I said could be a 10 to 30 bagger .What is your chart saying.Do your own DD

    Comment by gil — December 17, 2013 @ 8:02 am

  4. Anyone out there have an update on GGI online conference yesterday? It seems interest is starting to build in this one.

    Comment by Dan — December 17, 2013 @ 8:18 am

  5. Gil

    No i haven’t checked out gta yet, as for chart reading,
    you better ask a professional, ie John.

    For those holding LXV, i am disappointed today, there
    is someone they have added or there is just something
    the market don’t like. Although disappointed, i feel they
    will realize with time & correct what they are not doing
    right, or something like that. R !

    Comment by Bert — December 17, 2013 @ 8:43 am

  6. @Dan – The GGI webinar was quite fascinating this time actually. Enjoyed the overview of the La Patilla property. Easy to understand as they broke it down first to the Murcielago breccia and then the vein/stockwork system right beside it. The company has obviously done its homework on this property and the channel sampling grades speak for themselves. With the other projects in Mexico and of course the Grizzly, I think January could be GGI’s breakout month. Looking very positive right now. They’re pushing hard which most companies aren’t.

    Comment by Bucky — December 17, 2013 @ 8:43 am

  7. It’s been about 2 months since SAM launched a surface exploration program so I’d thing results would be coming any day now. Stock looks ready to run to me once the pressure on gold finally clears.

    Comment by Justin — December 17, 2013 @ 8:53 am

  8. Thanks for the update.

    Comment by Dan — December 17, 2013 @ 9:03 am

  9. XME

    The question remains, will there be a financing
    & if so, will it be at 0.15 or at 0.10. The stock
    is being dragged back down & is it for a reason.
    If there is a financing, it may now be at 0.10,
    but who knows. That’s why we very seldom win at
    this game, as we are never in the know, but the
    Gangsters out there, can’t do without us. It’s
    our hard earned dollars,that keeps them going,
    blah, blah & blah. R !

    Comment by Bert — December 17, 2013 @ 9:51 am

  10. Gil

    I bought a few of XME this morning at 0.12, wasn’t
    smart enough to catch the bottom. Anyway, i notice
    there’s approximately 325K there at 0.10, so we
    have our bottom. R !

    Comment by Bert — December 17, 2013 @ 11:29 am

  11. I am glad this trading day is over, so much for the denture,
    i mean venture trading up starting this week. I bought XME
    today & after i bought, i regretted it, although i have wanted
    a graphite play for sometime. What convinced me ? i don’t suppose
    it was buddy Gil was it ? i felt he is an acute trader & knew
    what he was talking about, after all, he backed up his pickup
    & filled it with XME shares. Anyway, i am only joking, buying
    shares is my responsibility & i blame no one. I notice with one
    minute left, a sell order appeared for over 300K shares. This
    means we may be going lower or it could be a box, to keep the
    price at around 0.10 range. If its a financing we will find
    out soon enough. Anyway, don’t ever get the feeling that any
    company out there cares about us. I class the majority of them
    as varmints. R!

    Comment by Bert — December 17, 2013 @ 1:16 pm

  12. Bert you made a good choice you will be smiling all the way to the bank with in 30 to 90 days.I bought some more at 11 cents

    Comment by gil — December 17, 2013 @ 3:09 pm

  13. BERT no one knows how low xme will go short term . long term 30 to 90 days you will have only one regret and that is that you didn’t buy more. hang on tight to your shares I talked to investor relations and they are applying for a drilling permit and hope to have it in about a month.they will drill three targets shallow for now and they have about 4 hundred thousand working capital . It took gta a little longer than a month to get the permit closer to 3 months .first jump in price will be when they get the permit second jump in price will be when they hit paydirt and that could be huge we may have another zen on are hands only better All this is my opinion do your own dd

    Comment by gil — December 17, 2013 @ 4:52 pm

  14. V.GGI 37.50%

    V.HBK 0.00%

    T.SAM -8.11%

    V.IO -12.50%

    V.TGK -66.67%

    V.GTA 9.38%

    V.KWG -10.00%

    V.RBW -12.50%

    V.FMS -20.59%

    V.PGX -1.45%

    V.GBB -12.50%

    V.GMZ -37.50%

    120.32 106.84 -13.47 -11.
    bmr members stock picks

    Comment by gil — December 17, 2013 @ 5:28 pm

  15. Gil – XME XME XME zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

    Bert – Wake up Gil, you are dreaming & not only that, you have a flat tire
    on your pickup

    Gil – Flat tire !!!!! How did that happen i wonder

    Bert – No doubt, you bought too many shares & that caused too much weight on the tires.

    Gil – By the way Bert, i talked to XME’s IR

    Bert – For goodness sake, why didn’t you tell me that before i bought my shares

    Gil – Why, what difference would that have made ?

    Bert – I don’t believe in IR guys

    Gil – You will do ok in 90 days

    Bert – 90 days, that’s 3 months, more money tied up. Lord help me, i know not what
    i am doeth.

    Comment by Bert — December 17, 2013 @ 6:05 pm

  16. XMet about to do these once they begin drilling…

    Next Steps

    1) Drill test the ‘Prime’ Target and high potential target #’s 2 and 3

    2) Drilling four ~300m DDH should be sufficient to test and confirm any graphite occurrences

    3) If Graphite is confirmed with drilling, Xmet will be compared to Zenyatta

    Read more at stockhouse.com/companies/bullboard/v.xme/xmet-inc?postid=22016596#Ce3HmspTIbE7tCib.99

    Comment by gil — December 17, 2013 @ 9:06 pm

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